# 2022 U.S. Senate election in Arizona — what pundits predicted

Senate · Election Day 2022-11-08 · certified.

## The ballot

- **Mark Kelly (Democratic, incumbent) — won** · 51.4%
- Blake Masters (Republican) · 46.5%
- Marc J. Victor (Libertarian) · 2.1%

Result: Mark Kelly by 4.9 points (general); held by the Democratic party going in. Source: fec-2022.

## What the field called

- Blake Masters: 12 picks (lost)
- Mark Kelly: 4 picks (won)

## Every claim about this race (16)

- **Glenn Beck** — Blake Masters wins AZ Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Nov 8, 2022) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f9c85b52-0829-4303-9e70-7fd00e9a17fc)
- **Clay Travis** — Blake Masters wins AZ Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Nov 8, 2022) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e760dae9-c2b5-491d-8dcc-9adaf4251b56)
- **Ben Shapiro** — Blake Masters wins AZ Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Nov 8, 2022) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1c0cbfad-0103-4466-b426-ad65b638d7f0)
- **Michael Duncan** — Mark Kelly wins AZ Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Nov 8, 2022) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9da8dbe2-dd3e-4600-bf1c-a206039819e3)
- **Lakshya Jain** — Mark Kelly wins AZ Senate (2022) — “LEANS DEMOCRATIC” (Race Winners, Nov 7, 2022) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f35c3695-b686-4a59-81d0-81552ac724c4)
- **Krystal Ball** — Mark Kelly wins AZ Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Nov 7, 2022) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5023102a-cc3e-4b05-9f5a-91068c820d50)
- **Erick-Woods Erickson** — Blake Masters wins AZ Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Nov 7, 2022) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4aa9495b-b70b-4426-a214-92293c26d66a)
- **John King** — Mark Kelly wins AZ Senate (2022) — “We still tilt Arizona Democratic” (Race Winners, Nov 6, 2022) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/eab976f0-942b-49dd-ac2b-32293a60a24b)
- **Marc Short** — Blake Masters wins AZ Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Nov 6, 2022) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/bdc6156a-a156-43e3-ad8f-489234dab4d5)
- **Clay Travis** — Blake Masters wins AZ Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Nov 5, 2022) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d52f5a7f-de0a-4565-89c2-e6b504732e0f)
- **Daniel Horowitz** — Blake Masters wins AZ Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Nov 2, 2022) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e38662de-79c1-468b-9846-f4e8f48b0621)
- **Saagar Enjeti** — Blake Masters wins AZ Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Oct 29, 2022) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/13984093-7db9-407a-8919-7def8b3b8021)
- **Saagar Enjeti** — Blake Masters wins AZ Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Oct 27, 2022) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f0371c1d-d3ff-4340-b767-0da57c5ff7d1)
- **Clay Travis** — Blake Masters wins AZ Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Oct 26, 2022) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9aef64bd-41be-44f2-8d76-0987851cae88)
- **Comfortably Smug** — Blake Masters wins AZ Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Oct 26, 2022) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c085a1ef-ab31-478b-909e-d63d3056dd50)
- **Ben Shapiro** — Blake Masters wins AZ Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Oct 26, 2022) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a5348988-574a-41cd-b368-a9fa8a005b4c)