# 2022 U.S. Senate election in Nevada — what pundits predicted

Senate · Election Day 2022-11-08 · certified.

## The ballot

- **Catherine Cortez Masto (Democratic, incumbent) — won** · 48.8%
- Adam Paul Laxalt (Republican) · 48.0%
- Barry Lindemann (Independent) · 0.8%
- Neil Scott (Libertarian) · 0.6%
- Barry Rubinson (Constitution) · 0.5%

Result: Catherine Cortez Masto by 0.8 points (general); held by the Democratic party going in. Source: fec-2022.

## What the field called

- Adam Paul Laxalt: 26 picks (lost)
- Catherine Cortez Masto: 3 picks (won)

## Every claim about this race (31)

- **Jim Geraghty** — Adam Paul Laxalt wins NV Senate (2022) — “the safer bet of the two” (Race Winners, Nov 9, 2022) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dabb97cc-0add-4f98-8cc7-65db2bacb4e2)
- **Glenn Beck** — Adam Paul Laxalt wins NV Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Nov 8, 2022) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f9c85b52-0829-4303-9e70-7fd00e9a17fc)
- **Ryan Girdusky** — Adam Paul Laxalt wins NV Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Nov 8, 2022) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/01115728-a6e9-41e1-8f03-06a00c9c9e12)
- **Jim Geraghty** — Adam Paul Laxalt wins NV Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Nov 8, 2022) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4bdd2c52-9d51-432d-8366-c693d886726e)
- **Jim Geraghty** — Adam Paul Laxalt wins NV Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Nov 8, 2022) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e9684c02-ae93-4584-ad4d-356dcc03ec84)
- **Ben Shapiro** — Adam Paul Laxalt wins NV Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Nov 8, 2022) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1c0cbfad-0103-4466-b426-ad65b638d7f0)
- **Jon Ralston** — Catherine Cortez Masto wins NV Senate (2022) — “may stay Democratic” (Race Winners, Nov 8, 2022) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f7f72538-ac69-4273-b121-bb004f19c496)
- **Josh Holmes** — Adam Paul Laxalt wins NV Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Nov 8, 2022) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c85c6685-b060-4344-9707-2616d07845b1)
- **Steve Deace** — Adam Paul Laxalt wins NV Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Nov 7, 2022) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/65d9dec6-348b-4e7c-921c-f9ddd93ae844)
- **Lakshya Jain** — Catherine Cortez Masto wins NV Senate (2022) — “LEANS DEMOCRATIC” (Race Winners, Nov 7, 2022) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f35c3695-b686-4a59-81d0-81552ac724c4)
- **Saagar Enjeti** — Adam Paul Laxalt: a margin of +1 points in NV Senate (2022) (Race Margins, Nov 7, 2022) — scored 82.2 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a6d6bc54-b549-4286-bcfe-18e475864cfb)
- **Krystal Ball** — Catherine Cortez Masto wins NV Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Nov 7, 2022) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5023102a-cc3e-4b05-9f5a-91068c820d50)
- **Robby Soave** — Adam Paul Laxalt wins NV Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Nov 7, 2022) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3b20a8bd-dc59-4d1b-ba8f-bad40d53eaa6)
- **Erick-Woods Erickson** — Adam Paul Laxalt wins NV Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Nov 7, 2022) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4aa9495b-b70b-4426-a214-92293c26d66a)
- **Clay Travis** — Adam Paul Laxalt wins NV Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Nov 5, 2022) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d52f5a7f-de0a-4565-89c2-e6b504732e0f)
- **Erick-Woods Erickson** — Adam Paul Laxalt wins NV Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Nov 4, 2022) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f2f19b00-ffdb-4b1a-8673-c7edee49a3eb)
- **Clay Travis** — Adam Paul Laxalt: winning by five or six points in NV Senate (2022) (Race Margins, Nov 3, 2022) — scored 42.2 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d22c1c69-813c-4025-972c-1aefcd15a1b6)
- **Breaking Points with Krystal and Saagar** — Adam Paul Laxalt wins NV Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Nov 3, 2022) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8d3cf951-5607-4383-bf77-0cbc2bb40575)
- **Ben Shapiro** — Adam Paul Laxalt wins NV Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Nov 3, 2022) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/11c26116-48c0-41fe-9d55-43ad05b52d1c)
- **Josh Holmes** — Adam Paul Laxalt wins NV Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Nov 2, 2022) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/43529c06-ad22-497c-90eb-364b60cb9741)
- **Megyn Kelly** — Adam Paul Laxalt wins NV Senate (2022) — “GOP leaner” (Race Winners, Nov 2, 2022) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1d7347d9-fc84-42fb-932d-e5e9030ac6a6)
- **Newt Gingrich** — Adam Paul Laxalt wins NV Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Nov 2, 2022) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4d7fdd3a-c067-4cf0-87a2-f25dc39fea13)
- **Mike Murphy** — Adam Paul Laxalt wins NV Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Nov 2, 2022) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/88a3e0b7-e238-46e8-ad07-b72778e3d01b)
- **Rich Baris** — Adam Paul Laxalt wins NV Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Nov 1, 2022) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/22060eb4-90ce-4455-aca9-4db6fde7387f)
- **Robby Soave** — Adam Paul Laxalt wins NV Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Nov 1, 2022) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3ec1448d-d61f-4e44-9ac7-05301f081462)
- **Saagar Enjeti** — Adam Paul Laxalt wins NV Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Nov 1, 2022) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7c9a0bc1-bfc7-4627-bf64-b3f533f98436)
- **Ben Shapiro** — Adam Paul Laxalt wins NV Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Oct 28, 2022) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/39290606-c767-4671-bb69-28e7f5cdc29e)
- **Erick-Woods Erickson** — Adam Paul Laxalt wins NV Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Oct 28, 2022) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3a527e7e-f0ac-4efd-98ba-83a883029690)
- **Ben Shapiro** — Adam Paul Laxalt wins NV Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Oct 27, 2022) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/36e33807-0391-406a-9b7e-ab4d8386b069)
- **Comfortably Smug** — Adam Paul Laxalt wins NV Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Oct 26, 2022) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c085a1ef-ab31-478b-909e-d63d3056dd50)
- **Clay Travis** — Adam Paul Laxalt wins NV Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Oct 25, 2022) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/10be102e-ac83-4331-9a2e-ac66ba3117ad)