# 2022 U.S. Senate election in Ohio — what pundits predicted

Senate · Election Day 2022-11-08 · certified.

## The ballot

- **JD Vance (Republican) — won** · 53.0%
- Tim Ryan (Democratic) · 46.9%

Result: JD Vance by 6.1 points (general); held by the Republican party going in. Source: fec-2022.

## What the field called

- JD Vance: 17 picks (won)

## Every claim about this race (19)

- **Jim Geraghty** — JD Vance wins OH Senate (2022) — “looking pretty Republican” (Race Winners, Nov 9, 2022) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dabb97cc-0add-4f98-8cc7-65db2bacb4e2)
- **Tom Bevan** — JD Vance: a margin of +8 points in OH Senate (2022) (Race Margins, Nov 9, 2022) — scored 81.1 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3baef536-0bff-435d-8c59-9af2c6b32384)
- **Megyn Kelly** — JD Vance wins OH Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Nov 9, 2022) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1ae01889-13b0-43e6-bcbd-c98a82a5aa04)
- **Clay Travis** — JD Vance wins OH Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Nov 8, 2022) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e760dae9-c2b5-491d-8dcc-9adaf4251b56)
- **Ryan Girdusky** — JD Vance: win by over ten points in OH Senate (2022) (Race Margins, Nov 8, 2022) — scored 61.1 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/01115728-a6e9-41e1-8f03-06a00c9c9e12)
- **John Ashbrook** — JD Vance wins OH Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Nov 8, 2022) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/015a987a-67f8-4be6-8cb5-a511855ea58c)
- **Lakshya Jain** — JD Vance wins OH Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Nov 7, 2022) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f35c3695-b686-4a59-81d0-81552ac724c4)
- **Saagar Enjeti** — JD Vance wins OH Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Nov 7, 2022) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a6d6bc54-b549-4286-bcfe-18e475864cfb)
- **Sarah Isgur** — JD Vance wins OH Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Nov 4, 2022) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/472c7990-6aea-43fb-aa0b-9b487e8aeae4)
- **Clay Travis** — JD Vance wins OH Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Nov 3, 2022) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/134ecbfc-e4e4-4c59-a971-9a1fb5987000)
- **Robby Soave** — JD Vance wins OH Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Nov 3, 2022) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c303c16d-ae12-4797-ba5e-93e615644306)
- **Mary Katharine Ham** — JD Vance wins OH Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Nov 3, 2022) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f7e2fe4c-157b-43c7-802f-ed8cea9225ec)
- **Daniel Horowitz** — JD Vance wins OH Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Nov 2, 2022) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e38662de-79c1-468b-9846-f4e8f48b0621)
- **Newt Gingrich** — JD Vance wins OH Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Nov 2, 2022) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4d7fdd3a-c067-4cf0-87a2-f25dc39fea13)
- **Ben Shapiro** — JD Vance wins OH Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Oct 28, 2022) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/39290606-c767-4671-bb69-28e7f5cdc29e)
- **John Ashbrook** — JD Vance wins OH Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Oct 26, 2022) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f08c9f27-5978-49bd-83d5-d571e71001cc)
- **Saagar Enjeti** — JD Vance wins OH Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Oct 25, 2022) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c50c87b0-000f-49c7-8eb1-819e57125f61)
- **Kyle Kondik** — JD Vance wins OH Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Oct 25, 2022) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b78c0754-f362-4688-a9f1-962f7f762cab)
- **Krystal Ball** — JD Vance wins OH Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Oct 25, 2022) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0330841f-adf2-4459-8c86-ec27f7972b47)