# 2022 U.S. Senate election in Pennsylvania — what pundits predicted

Senate · Election Day 2022-11-08 · certified.

## The ballot

- **John K. Fetterman (Democratic) — won** · 51.2%
- Mehmet Oz (Republican) · 46.3%
- Erik Gerhardt (Libertarian) · 1.4%
- Richard L. Weiss (Green) · 0.6%
- Daniel Wassmer (Other parties) · 0.5%

Result: John K. Fetterman by 4.9 points (general); held by the Republican party going in; flipped. Source: fec-2022.

## What the field called

- Mehmet Oz: 27 picks (lost)
- John K. Fetterman: 2 picks (won)

## Every claim about this race (29)

- **Jim Geraghty** — John K. Fetterman wins PA Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Nov 9, 2022) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dabb97cc-0add-4f98-8cc7-65db2bacb4e2)
- **Tom Bevan** — John K. Fetterman wins PA Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Nov 9, 2022) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3baef536-0bff-435d-8c59-9af2c6b32384)
- **Clay Travis** — Mehmet Oz wins PA Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Nov 8, 2022) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e760dae9-c2b5-491d-8dcc-9adaf4251b56)
- **Bob Vander Plaats** — Mehmet Oz wins PA Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Nov 7, 2022) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1e89575d-24f3-4758-a15d-944457bbd73b)
- **Lakshya Jain** — Mehmet Oz wins PA Senate (2022) — “LEANS REPUBLICAN” (Race Winners, Nov 7, 2022) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f35c3695-b686-4a59-81d0-81552ac724c4)
- **Saagar Enjeti** — Mehmet Oz wins PA Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Nov 7, 2022) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a6d6bc54-b549-4286-bcfe-18e475864cfb)
- **Krystal Ball** — Mehmet Oz wins PA Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Nov 7, 2022) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5023102a-cc3e-4b05-9f5a-91068c820d50)
- **Robby Soave** — Mehmet Oz wins PA Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Nov 7, 2022) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3b20a8bd-dc59-4d1b-ba8f-bad40d53eaa6)
- **Clay Travis** — Mehmet Oz wins PA Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Nov 5, 2022) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d52f5a7f-de0a-4565-89c2-e6b504732e0f)
- **Sean Parnell** — Mehmet Oz wins PA Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Nov 2, 2022) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/99c9c098-44b8-40cb-982f-c5ae64e4fa62)
- **Josh Holmes** — Mehmet Oz wins PA Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Nov 2, 2022) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/43529c06-ad22-497c-90eb-364b60cb9741)
- **Newt Gingrich** — Mehmet Oz wins PA Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Nov 2, 2022) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4d7fdd3a-c067-4cf0-87a2-f25dc39fea13)
- **Mike Murphy** — Mehmet Oz wins PA Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Nov 2, 2022) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/88a3e0b7-e238-46e8-ad07-b72778e3d01b)
- **Clay Travis** — Mehmet Oz wins PA Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Nov 1, 2022) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/cbf83b22-22c8-4e3f-8d15-8ed5eb6d4e3c)
- **Robby Soave** — Mehmet Oz wins PA Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Nov 1, 2022) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3ec1448d-d61f-4e44-9ac7-05301f081462)
- **Saagar Enjeti** — Mehmet Oz wins PA Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Nov 1, 2022) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7c9a0bc1-bfc7-4627-bf64-b3f533f98436)
- **Josh Holmes** — Mehmet Oz wins PA Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Nov 1, 2022) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/52daa199-4f29-4abc-af96-1d0dc219cdf0)
- **Richard Hanania** — Mehmet Oz wins PA Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Oct 31, 2022) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/75e198fe-19b7-4060-8eb7-5dea6a88d1d2)
- **Saagar Enjeti** — Mehmet Oz wins PA Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Oct 29, 2022) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/13984093-7db9-407a-8919-7def8b3b8021)
- **Saagar Enjeti** — Mehmet Oz wins PA Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Oct 29, 2022) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/13984093-7db9-407a-8919-7def8b3b8021)
- **The Clay Travis and Buck Sexton Show** — Mehmet Oz wins PA Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Oct 28, 2022) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/68d7403c-29e0-4fe5-a181-063959b63958)
- **Ben Shapiro** — Mehmet Oz wins PA Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Oct 28, 2022) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/39290606-c767-4671-bb69-28e7f5cdc29e)
- **Sean Parnell** — Mehmet Oz wins PA Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Oct 27, 2022) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/066b7644-ab62-4082-b443-a7792ae569a1)
- **Saagar Enjeti** — Mehmet Oz wins PA Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Oct 27, 2022) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f0371c1d-d3ff-4340-b767-0da57c5ff7d1)
- **Ben Shapiro** — Mehmet Oz wins PA Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Oct 27, 2022) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/544c4d89-0f28-47b1-bc60-d86853929c28)
- **John Ashbrook** — Mehmet Oz wins PA Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Oct 26, 2022) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f08c9f27-5978-49bd-83d5-d571e71001cc)
- **Mike Murphy** — Mehmet Oz wins PA Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Oct 26, 2022) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/eef2febe-fa85-4afc-b622-802ff93b408f)
- **Newt Gingrich** — Mehmet Oz wins PA Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Oct 26, 2022) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/add2bcee-c664-46eb-a6c5-0aac96b3942a)
- **Brian Kilmeade** — Mehmet Oz wins PA Senate (2022) (Race Winners, Oct 26, 2022) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7b3a1a43-2019-40d0-bbe1-27d95ee8ca66)