# 2024 North Carolina gubernatorial election — what pundits predicted

Governors · Election Day 2024-11-05 · certified.

## The ballot

- **Josh Stein (Democratic) — won** · 54.9%
- Mark Robinson (Republican) · 40.1%
- Mike Ross (Libertarian) · 3.2%
- Vinny Smith (Constitution) · 1.0%
- Wayne Turner (Green) · 0.9%

Result: Josh Stein by 14.8 points (general); held by the Democratic party going in. Source: wikipedia-2024-governor.

## What the field called

- Josh Stein: 3 picks (won)

## Every claim about this race (4)

- **Lakshya Jain** — Josh Stein wins NC governorship (2024) — “Safe Democratic” (Race Winners, Nov 4, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5a57d1ed-c7db-49ba-b385-900b5d93d6c5)
- **Krystal Ball** — Mark Robinson: probably gonna lose, but definitely double digits, maybe fifteen, maybe twenty in NC governorship (2024) (Race Margins, Nov 4, 2024) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ed63bda8-2b48-4746-b4c8-609323f8ca80)
- **David Nir** — Josh Stein wins NC governorship (2024) — “was favored to win the governorship” (Race Winners, Nov 1, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/aaee6970-3e68-4c18-a211-0a05f2df0e12)
- **David Nir** — Josh Stein wins NC governorship (2024) — “favored to win the governorship” (Race Winners, Oct 29, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8a48e65d-c0d6-4cd8-b37e-7ace2c8a6fe8)