# 2024 U.S. House election in Arizona's district 2 — what pundits predicted

House · Election Day 2024-11-05 · certified.

## The ballot

- **Eli Crane (Republican) — won** · 54.5%
- Jonathan Nez (Democratic) · 45.5%

Result: Eli Crane by 9.0 points (general); held by the Republican party going in. Source: wikipedia-2024-house.

## What the field called

- Eli Crane: 2 picks (won)

## Every claim about this race (2)

- **Jacob Rubashkin** — Eli Crane wins AZ-02 House seat (2024) — “likely Republican” (Race Winners, Oct 17, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/bde32958-5c7f-42b1-9b52-2a40709a685c)
- **Nathan Gonzales** — Eli Crane wins AZ-02 House seat (2024) — “likely Republican” (Race Winners, Sep 19, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d25c17ca-e83a-402e-a4b3-01f6e877cfda)