# 2024 U.S. House election in New York's district 4 — what pundits predicted

House · Election Day 2024-11-05 · certified.

## The ballot

- **Laura Gillen (Democratic) — won** · 51.1%
- Anthony P. D'Esposito (Republican, incumbent) · 48.9%

Result: Laura Gillen by 2.2 points (general); held by the Republican party going in; flipped. Source: wikipedia-2024-house.

## What the field called

- Laura Gillen: 2 picks (won)

## Every claim about this race (2)

- **Sam Wang** — Laura Gillen wins NY-04 House seat (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 5, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/cf6c147d-478d-438a-848d-55fd3ac9c8d0)
- **Lakshya Jain** — Laura Gillen wins NY-04 House seat (2024) — “Likely Democratic” (Race Winners, Nov 4, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5a57d1ed-c7db-49ba-b385-900b5d93d6c5)