# 2024 U.S. House election in New York's district 22 — what pundits predicted

House · Election Day 2024-11-05 · certified.

## The ballot

- **John Mannion (Democratic) — won** · 54.6%
- Brandon M. Williams (Republican, incumbent) · 45.4%

Result: John Mannion by 9.2 points (general); held by the Republican party going in; flipped. Source: wikipedia-2024-house.

## What the field called

- John Mannion: 3 picks (won)

## Every claim about this race (3)

- **Sam Wang** — John Mannion wins NY-22 House seat (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 5, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/cf6c147d-478d-438a-848d-55fd3ac9c8d0)
- **Lakshya Jain** — John Mannion wins NY-22 House seat (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 4, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5a57d1ed-c7db-49ba-b385-900b5d93d6c5)
- **Jacob Rubashkin** — John Mannion wins NY-22 House seat (2024) — “lean democratic” (Race Winners, Oct 25, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/20225531-2741-4cbd-84d1-f9888f0b0709)