# 2024 U.S. House election in Virginia's district 2 — what pundits predicted

House · Election Day 2024-11-05 · certified.

## The ballot

- **Jen Kiggans (Republican, incumbent) — won** · 50.8%
- Missy Cotter Smasal (Democratic) · 47.0%
- Robert E. Reid Jr. (Independent) · 2.3%

Result: Jen Kiggans by 3.8 points (general); held by the Republican party going in. Source: wikipedia-2024-house.

## What the field called

- Jen Kiggans: 2 picks (won)
- Missy Cotter Smasal: 1 pick (lost)

## Every claim about this race (3)

- **Sam Wang** — Missy Cotter Smasal wins VA-02 House seat (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 5, 2024) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/cf6c147d-478d-438a-848d-55fd3ac9c8d0)
- **Nathan Gonzales** — Jen Kiggans wins VA-02 House seat (2024) — “Tilt republican” (Race Winners, Nov 1, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/948fc91a-5690-4ab6-9a67-69f6b0c6381a)
- **Nathan Gonzales** — Jen Kiggans wins VA-02 House seat (2024) — “tilt Republican” (Race Winners, Oct 25, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8efd86d9-fec9-49e2-9a51-f1f567a7899b)