# 2024 U.S. presidential election in California — what pundits predicted

Presidency · Election Day 2024-11-05 · certified.

## The ballot

- **Kamala Harris (Democratic) — won** · 58.5% · 54 electoral votes
- Donald Trump (Republican) · 38.3%
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (Independent) · 1.3%
- Jill Stein (Green) · 1.1%
- Chase Oliver (Libertarian) · 0.4%

Result: Kamala Harris by 20.1 points (general); held by the Democratic party going in. Source: fec-2024-president.

## What the field called

- Kamala Harris: 3 picks (won)

## Every claim about this race (3)

- **Mariel Garza** — Kamala Harris wins CA's presidential vote (2024) (Race Winners, Oct 29, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c46e8ca0-c0c2-48ed-a62b-225f7d7c962d)
- **Carl Cannon** — Kamala Harris wins CA's presidential vote (2024) — “carry her home state by 4,000,000 votes or more” (Race Winners, Oct 28, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7dc4b6fb-1181-42b4-8572-23fb20128608)
- **Carl Cannon** — Kamala Harris wins CA's presidential vote (2024) (Race Winners, Oct 25, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/359b8fa7-d430-4dfd-8a76-56ed90de8b56)