# 2024 U.S. presidential election in Florida — what pundits predicted

Presidency · Election Day 2024-11-05 · certified.

## The ballot

- **Donald Trump (Republican) — won** · 56.1% · 30 electoral votes
- Kamala Harris (Democratic) · 43.0%
- Jill Stein (Green) · 0.4%
- Chase Oliver (Libertarian) · 0.3%

Result: Donald Trump by 13.1 points (general); held by the Republican party going in. Source: fec-2024-president.

## What the field called

- Donald Trump: 7 picks (won)
- Kamala Harris: 1 pick (lost)

## Every claim about this race (13)

- **Tim Miller** — Donald Trump wins FL's presidential vote (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 5, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5506a84f-61ca-4667-8670-a8fb3229ae2d)
- **Rising (The Hill)** — Kamala Harris wins FL's presidential vote (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 5, 2024) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/92be81d0-8769-4102-84f1-6231d15e0925)
- **Seth Keshel** — Donald Trump: between twelve and fifteen points in FL's presidential vote (2024) (Race Margins, Nov 5, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f667ed22-d09d-4ebd-a7db-acbe426c36bb)
- **Harrison Lavelle** — Donald Trump wins FL's presidential vote (2024) — “Likely Republican” (Race Winners, Nov 1, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/48d2ce98-1022-46fd-b76c-727b908c54bb)
- **Harrison Lavelle** — Donald Trump: expand their margin in Florida relative to 2020 in FL's presidential vote (2024) (Race Margins, Nov 1, 2024) · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/48d2ce98-1022-46fd-b76c-727b908c54bb)
- **Clay Travis** — Donald Trump: double digits in FL's presidential vote (2024) (Race Margins, Oct 30, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a0ceed9c-245b-40f8-8da5-c65e9419de69)
- **David Pakman** — Donald Trump wins FL's presidential vote (2024) — “most likely, Florida is gone to Trump” (Race Winners, Oct 29, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3a530696-c478-4064-9002-506b5184c8ec)
- **Erick-Woods Erickson** — Donald Trump wins FL's presidential vote (2024) (Race Winners, Oct 28, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/39ca1222-1ce2-4a75-91c2-96f3fc1a7ee4)
- **Carl Cannon** — Donald Trump wins FL's presidential vote (2024) (Race Winners, Oct 25, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/359b8fa7-d430-4dfd-8a76-56ed90de8b56)
- **Clay Travis** — Donald Trump: by let's say eight or more points in FL's presidential vote (2024) (Race Margins, Oct 24, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/99a2785b-592d-46f9-9c93-05ea127dc1d6)
- **Erick-Woods Erickson** — Donald Trump wins FL's presidential vote (2024) (Race Winners, Oct 23, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/21b73dab-8f6d-4ab2-8a02-ce3f47eddd69)
- **Erick-Woods Erickson** — Donald Trump wins FL's presidential vote (2024) (Race Winners, Oct 22, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/78684e3a-51ec-4977-86c5-fef9deaca0a7)
- **Steve Deace** — Donald Trump: eight to 12 points in FL's presidential vote (2024) (Race Margins, Oct 22, 2024) — scored 89 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/32076273-ecda-474c-9c0b-1b3b6f6204b5)