# 2024 U.S. presidential election in Michigan — what pundits predicted

Presidency · Election Day 2024-11-05 · certified.

## The ballot

- **Donald Trump (Republican) — won** · 49.7% · 15 electoral votes
- Kamala Harris (Democratic) · 48.3%
- Jill Stein (Green) · 0.8%
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (Independent) · 0.5%
- Chase Oliver (Libertarian) · 0.4%
- Cornel West (Independent) · 0.1%

Result: Donald Trump by 1.4 points (general); held by the Democratic party going in; flipped. Source: fec-2024-president.

## What the field called

- Kamala Harris: 12 picks (lost)
- Donald Trump: 7 picks (won)

## Every claim about this race (21)

- **Tim Miller** — Kamala Harris wins MI's presidential vote (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 5, 2024) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5506a84f-61ca-4667-8670-a8fb3229ae2d)
- **Robby Soave** — Kamala Harris wins MI's presidential vote (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 5, 2024) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/51b2250d-7167-4f78-987c-b410831699d8)
- **Ben Shapiro** — Donald Trump wins MI's presidential vote (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 5, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/41065840-38b7-4207-b0de-b7ebb6151443)
- **Seth Keshel** — Donald Trump: a three to four point Trump state in MI's presidential vote (2024) (Race Margins, Nov 5, 2024) — scored 84.2 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f667ed22-d09d-4ebd-a7db-acbe426c36bb)
- **Lakshya Jain** — Kamala Harris wins MI's presidential vote (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 4, 2024) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5a57d1ed-c7db-49ba-b385-900b5d93d6c5)
- **Saagar Enjeti** — Kamala Harris wins MI's presidential vote (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 4, 2024) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/bb989d94-53f2-4927-816b-85a994fc98b4)
- **Krystal Ball** — Kamala Harris wins MI's presidential vote (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 4, 2024) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dcc4d72f-d3a8-46e2-8152-5630053196f9)
- **Isaac Saul** — Donald Trump wins MI's presidential vote (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 3, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0d01685b-46fd-4c8e-b897-d661b3ee0b28)
- **Sean Spicer** — Donald Trump wins MI's presidential vote (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 3, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/04bf47f5-382a-4338-8255-e7f6fbf3fe68)
- **Steve Deace** — Kamala Harris wins MI's presidential vote (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 1, 2024) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/227fccef-c6ae-4b9b-a30d-4eb9c2431b39)
- **Emily Jashinsky** — Kamala Harris wins MI's presidential vote (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 1, 2024) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a133fad0-e078-4436-9070-3fb57cede6a9)
- **Ryan Grim** — Kamala Harris wins MI's presidential vote (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 1, 2024) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/79e9ecc9-a660-43e9-bed3-3bf1a67921d8)
- **Francesca Fiorentini** — Donald Trump wins MI's presidential vote (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 1, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/bec9c88e-74a0-4c02-9e3a-29f88e56be2b)
- **Lakshya Jain** — Kamala Harris: about a point and a half, two points or so in MI's presidential vote (2024) (Race Margins, Oct 30, 2024) · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/308da49d-b785-4223-92bc-513468257e86)
- **Steve Deace** — Kamala Harris wins MI's presidential vote (2024) (Race Winners, Oct 29, 2024) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e92d1a64-147b-44d6-971c-aff6790f7d6f)
- **Isaac Saul** — Donald Trump wins MI's presidential vote (2024) (Race Winners, Oct 28, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1a5b20df-0116-4ce8-aca3-6f88f9d7dce6)
- **Isaac Saul** — Donald Trump wins MI's presidential vote (2024) (Race Winners, Oct 28, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2e19977b-068d-411c-a9d0-bf7e7a35b7c2)
- **Lakshya Jain** — Kamala Harris wins MI's presidential vote (2024) — “the narrowest of favorites” (Race Winners, Oct 26, 2024) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/aa2e619b-e345-474e-8e76-8853e0ad14f4)
- **Bill Scher** — Kamala Harris wins MI's presidential vote (2024) (Race Winners, Oct 25, 2024) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4029b386-4347-4985-a8ea-649dbdce602b)
- **Saagar Enjeti** — Kamala Harris wins MI's presidential vote (2024) — “it does look good for them” (Race Winners, Oct 24, 2024) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e6ff6232-ef24-4028-88d2-4a9d9ffaa619)
- **Brent Buchanan** — Donald Trump wins MI's presidential vote (2024) — “right now, it looks like Michigan” (Race Winners, Oct 23, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8a1f4bf9-1d65-4825-a99a-78ab20cf0a07)