# 2024 U.S. presidential election in Montana — what pundits predicted

Presidency · Election Day 2024-11-05 · certified.

## The ballot

- **Donald Trump (Republican) — won** · 58.4% · 4 electoral votes
- Kamala Harris (Democratic) · 38.5%
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (Independent) · 2.0%
- Chase Oliver (Libertarian) · 0.7%
- Jill Stein (Green) · 0.5%

Result: Donald Trump by 19.9 points (general); held by the Republican party going in. Source: fec-2024-president.

## What the field called

- Donald Trump: 1 pick (won)

## Every claim about this race (2)

- **Jeff Singer** — Donald Trump wins MT's presidential vote (2024) — “win by a lot” (Race Winners, Nov 1, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1a8c3708-969a-47bb-ae54-9e4de86da55d)
- **Domenico Montanaro** — Donald Trump: probably win the state by double digits or more in MT's presidential vote (2024) (Race Margins, Oct 22, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4bc06f52-ef67-4398-b9c5-29ca5b639bb0)