# 2024 U.S. presidential election in North Carolina — what pundits predicted

Presidency · Election Day 2024-11-05 · certified.

## The ballot

- **Donald Trump (Republican) — won** · 50.9% · 16 electoral votes
- Kamala Harris (Democratic) · 47.6%
- Jill Stein (Green) · 0.4%
- Chase Oliver (Libertarian) · 0.4%
- Cornel West (Independent) · 0.2%

Result: Donald Trump by 3.2 points (general); held by the Republican party going in. Source: fec-2024-president.

## What the field called

- Donald Trump: 19 picks (won)
- Kamala Harris: 2 picks (lost)

## Every claim about this race (25)

- **Erick-Woods Erickson** — Donald Trump wins NC's presidential vote (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 6, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1dff06ac-6afd-4cba-8d04-66989cafbd39)
- **Ben Shapiro** — Donald Trump wins NC's presidential vote (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 5, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/41065840-38b7-4207-b0de-b7ebb6151443)
- **Saagar Enjeti** — Donald Trump wins NC's presidential vote (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 5, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/61489914-d6fd-4a7d-bd9a-3659925654f5)
- **Seth Keshel** — Donald Trump: at least four points in NC's presidential vote (2024) (Race Margins, Nov 5, 2024) — scored 92.1 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f667ed22-d09d-4ebd-a7db-acbe426c36bb)
- **Steve Bannon** — Donald Trump wins NC's presidential vote (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 4, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f645b783-648c-479c-88bf-adc2df4d7a1a)
- **David Axelrod** — Donald Trump wins NC's presidential vote (2024) — “more likely than not” (Race Winners, Nov 4, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/49ab4f5c-6979-4b31-b461-470aa4a84819)
- **Saagar Enjeti** — Kamala Harris wins NC's presidential vote (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 4, 2024) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/bb989d94-53f2-4927-816b-85a994fc98b4)
- **Krystal Ball** — Kamala Harris wins NC's presidential vote (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 4, 2024) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dcc4d72f-d3a8-46e2-8152-5630053196f9)
- **Spencer Kimball** — Donald Trump: leaning to Trump by about one to two points in NC's presidential vote (2024) (Race Margins, Nov 3, 2024) — scored 87.9 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/583de0e9-4851-4c45-8f80-efbc988f33e9)
- **Sean Spicer** — Donald Trump wins NC's presidential vote (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 3, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/04bf47f5-382a-4338-8255-e7f6fbf3fe68)
- **Clay Travis** — Donald Trump wins NC's presidential vote (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 2, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b52a600f-eb6e-4089-9800-a16771f4af93)
- **Josh Holmes** — Donald Trump wins NC's presidential vote (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 2, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3f756a38-73f7-47de-8b14-039c1eba96a4)
- **Harrison Lavelle** — Donald Trump wins NC's presidential vote (2024) — “Leans Republican” (Race Winners, Nov 1, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/48d2ce98-1022-46fd-b76c-727b908c54bb)
- **David Pakman** — Donald Trump wins NC's presidential vote (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 1, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/cf1606d4-631b-4001-a353-7d9a74d64d98)
- **Ben Shapiro** — Donald Trump wins NC's presidential vote (2024) — “The most likely scenario right now” (Race Winners, Nov 1, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/443d38b4-c8a0-43ea-b216-25c3b9a96836)
- **Megyn Kelly** — Donald Trump wins NC's presidential vote (2024) — “definitely leaning Trump” (Race Winners, Oct 31, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2eee3e90-e770-43d8-a861-2de5de69252b)
- **Spencer Kimball** — Donald Trump: about one to two points in NC's presidential vote (2024) (Race Margins, Oct 31, 2024) — scored 87.9 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/cb89ae96-e13d-4945-a01a-d5defaddc6ba)
- **Buck Sexton** — Donald Trump wins NC's presidential vote (2024) (Race Winners, Oct 30, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/01d66e40-e434-4e69-b4fa-2f02547c3ef3)
- **Lakshya Jain** — Donald Trump: a margin of +1 points in NC's presidential vote (2024) (Race Margins, Oct 30, 2024) — scored 77.9 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/308da49d-b785-4223-92bc-513468257e86)
- **Cenk Uygur** — Donald Trump wins NC's presidential vote (2024) (Race Winners, Oct 30, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4adb058c-ad55-45c8-b384-6f308eb9e37d)
- **Josh Holmes** — Donald Trump wins NC's presidential vote (2024) (Race Winners, Oct 29, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e148dd4c-2141-4b94-b122-ce9662866d06)
- **Lakshya Jain** — Donald Trump wins NC's presidential vote (2024) — “a slight edge” (Race Winners, Oct 26, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/aa2e619b-e345-474e-8e76-8853e0ad14f4)
- **Josh Holmes** — Donald Trump wins NC's presidential vote (2024) (Race Winners, Oct 26, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3015963c-9ee8-4b7e-a212-bc5c6ea0160c)
- **Scott Rasmussen** — Donald Trump wins NC's presidential vote (2024) — “he should feel pretty good about Arizona, Georgia and North Carolina” (Race Winners, Oct 24, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/45c72b0c-189b-4348-967f-4b8330cca5e0)
- **Brent Buchanan** — Donald Trump wins NC's presidential vote (2024) (Race Winners, Oct 23, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8a1f4bf9-1d65-4825-a99a-78ab20cf0a07)