# 2024 U.S. presidential election in New Mexico — what pundits predicted

Presidency · Election Day 2024-11-05 · certified.

## The ballot

- **Kamala Harris (Democratic) — won** · 51.9% · 5 electoral votes
- Donald Trump (Republican) · 45.9%
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (Independent) · 1.0%
- Jill Stein (Green) · 0.5%
- Chase Oliver (Libertarian) · 0.4%

Result: Kamala Harris by 6.0 points (general); held by the Democratic party going in. Source: fec-2024-president.

## What the field called

- Kamala Harris: 4 picks (won)

## Every claim about this race (4)

- **Seth Keshel** — Kamala Harris wins NM's presidential vote (2024) — “Democrat leaners” (Race Winners, Nov 5, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f667ed22-d09d-4ebd-a7db-acbe426c36bb)
- **Jon Favreau** — Kamala Harris wins NM's presidential vote (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 1, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/37b977a2-e9d3-4556-bcea-d14a4c65baae)
- **Krystal Ball** — Kamala Harris wins NM's presidential vote (2024) (Race Winners, Oct 28, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/db59f0f5-a2ca-4bff-8bc8-62d603e33166)
- **Saagar Enjeti** — Kamala Harris wins NM's presidential vote (2024) (Race Winners, Oct 28, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/66318766-2b56-4a5f-a026-1de971c46a0e)