# 2024 U.S. presidential election in Nevada — what pundits predicted

Presidency · Election Day 2024-11-05 · certified.

## The ballot

- **Donald Trump (Republican) — won** · 50.6% · 6 electoral votes
- Kamala Harris (Democratic) · 47.5%
- Chase Oliver (Libertarian) · 0.4%

Result: Donald Trump by 3.1 points (general); held by the Democratic party going in; flipped. Source: fec-2024-president.

## What the field called

- Donald Trump: 14 picks (won)
- Kamala Harris: 7 picks (lost)

## Every claim about this race (22)

- **Tim Miller** — Kamala Harris wins NV's presidential vote (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 5, 2024) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5506a84f-61ca-4667-8670-a8fb3229ae2d)
- **Robby Soave** — Donald Trump wins NV's presidential vote (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 5, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/51b2250d-7167-4f78-987c-b410831699d8)
- **Ben Shapiro** — Donald Trump wins NV's presidential vote (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 5, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/41065840-38b7-4207-b0de-b7ebb6151443)
- **Erick-Woods Erickson** — Donald Trump wins NV's presidential vote (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 5, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2b8a0f54-ff84-4006-963c-d87a3a582528)
- **Ryan Grim** — Donald Trump wins NV's presidential vote (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 5, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/288de674-5846-4f43-83c5-eef91155984c)
- **Seth Keshel** — Donald Trump wins NV's presidential vote (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 5, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f667ed22-d09d-4ebd-a7db-acbe426c36bb)
- **Saagar Enjeti** — Donald Trump wins NV's presidential vote (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 4, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/bb989d94-53f2-4927-816b-85a994fc98b4)
- **Krystal Ball** — Kamala Harris wins NV's presidential vote (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 4, 2024) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dcc4d72f-d3a8-46e2-8152-5630053196f9)
- **Spencer Kimball** — Kamala Harris wins NV's presidential vote (2024) — “I still think it leans towards Harris” (Race Winners, Nov 3, 2024) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/583de0e9-4851-4c45-8f80-efbc988f33e9)
- **Sean Spicer** — Donald Trump wins NV's presidential vote (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 3, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/04bf47f5-382a-4338-8255-e7f6fbf3fe68)
- **Clay Travis** — Donald Trump wins NV's presidential vote (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 2, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b52a600f-eb6e-4089-9800-a16771f4af93)
- **Henry Olsen** — Donald Trump wins NV's presidential vote (2024) — “maybe I'll give them a slight edge” (Race Winners, Nov 1, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/948d1dc2-3d11-4f4c-a721-1d600f2006d1)
- **Daniel Horowitz** — an unnamed party wins NV's presidential vote (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 1, 2024) · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c587c5d9-5cd7-4f69-b12f-f9a0c678a913)
- **Steve Deace** — Donald Trump wins NV's presidential vote (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 1, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/227fccef-c6ae-4b9b-a30d-4eb9c2431b39)
- **Ben Shapiro** — Donald Trump wins NV's presidential vote (2024) — “There's a good shot that he picks up Nevada” (Race Winners, Nov 1, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/443d38b4-c8a0-43ea-b216-25c3b9a96836)
- **Spencer Kimball** — Kamala Harris wins NV's presidential vote (2024) — “I still think it leans towards Harris” (Race Winners, Oct 31, 2024) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/cb89ae96-e13d-4945-a01a-d5defaddc6ba)
- **Megyn Kelly** — Donald Trump wins NV's presidential vote (2024) — “seems so far to be leaning Republican” (Race Winners, Oct 31, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2eee3e90-e770-43d8-a861-2de5de69252b)
- **Logan Phillips** — Kamala Harris wins NV's presidential vote (2024) — “modestly favorite” (Race Winners, Oct 28, 2024) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e3e5905a-7f46-4127-8db4-b40d59aeb533)
- **Lakshya Jain** — Kamala Harris wins NV's presidential vote (2024) — “the narrowest of favorites” (Race Winners, Oct 26, 2024) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/aa2e619b-e345-474e-8e76-8853e0ad14f4)
- **Cenk Uygur** — Donald Trump wins NV's presidential vote (2024) — “Trump more likely to win there” (Race Winners, Oct 26, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f6ad0525-7caa-403e-97c2-0febbe9e12ac)
- **Sean Spicer** — Donald Trump wins NV's presidential vote (2024) — “solidly in Trump's camp” (Race Winners, Oct 23, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/714ad230-6ec2-4ee5-904a-e3b906c62fee)
- **Erick-Woods Erickson** — Kamala Harris wins NV's presidential vote (2024) (Race Winners, Oct 23, 2024) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/21b73dab-8f6d-4ab2-8a02-ce3f47eddd69)