# 2024 U.S. presidential election in Texas — what pundits predicted

Presidency · Election Day 2024-11-05 · certified.

## The ballot

- **Donald Trump (Republican) — won** · 56.1% · 40 electoral votes
- Kamala Harris (Democratic) · 42.5%
- Jill Stein (Green) · 0.7%
- Chase Oliver (Libertarian) · 0.6%
- Cornel West (Independent) · 0.0%

Result: Donald Trump by 13.7 points (general); held by the Republican party going in. Source: fec-2024-president.

## What the field called

- Donald Trump: 7 picks (won)
- Kamala Harris: 1 pick (lost)

## Every claim about this race (8)

- **Tim Miller** — Donald Trump wins TX's presidential vote (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 5, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5506a84f-61ca-4667-8670-a8fb3229ae2d)
- **Rising (The Hill)** — Kamala Harris wins TX's presidential vote (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 5, 2024) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/92be81d0-8769-4102-84f1-6231d15e0925)
- **Seth Keshel** — Donald Trump wins TX's presidential vote (2024) — “Trump leaners less than ten” (Race Winners, Nov 5, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f667ed22-d09d-4ebd-a7db-acbe426c36bb)
- **Jeff Singer** — Donald Trump wins TX's presidential vote (2024) — “almost certainly” (Race Winners, Nov 1, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1a8c3708-969a-47bb-ae54-9e4de86da55d)
- **Krystal Ball** — Donald Trump wins TX's presidential vote (2024) (Race Winners, Oct 28, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1eabfac2-abff-4ea0-943d-6291f20a3bfc)
- **Carl Cannon** — Donald Trump wins TX's presidential vote (2024) (Race Winners, Oct 25, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/359b8fa7-d430-4dfd-8a76-56ed90de8b56)
- **Erick-Woods Erickson** — Donald Trump wins TX's presidential vote (2024) (Race Winners, Oct 23, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/21b73dab-8f6d-4ab2-8a02-ce3f47eddd69)
- **Erick-Woods Erickson** — Donald Trump wins TX's presidential vote (2024) (Race Winners, Oct 22, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/78684e3a-51ec-4977-86c5-fef9deaca0a7)