# 2024 U.S. presidential election — what pundits predicted

Presidency · Election Day 2024-11-05 · certified.

## The ballot

- **Donald Trump (Republican) — won** · 49.8% · 312 electoral votes
- Kamala Harris (Democratic) · 48.3% · 226 electoral votes
- Jill Stein (Green) · 0.6%
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (Independent) · 0.5%
- Chase Oliver (Libertarian) · 0.4%
- Cornel West (Independent) · 0.1%

Result: Donald Trump by 86.0 points (electoral-college); held by the Democratic party going in; flipped. Source: fec-2024-president.

## What the field called

- Donald Trump: 81 picks (won)
- Kamala Harris: 36 picks (lost)

## Every claim about this race (133)

- **Erick-Woods Erickson** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 6, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1dff06ac-6afd-4cba-8d04-66989cafbd39)
- **Lanny Davis** — Kamala Harris wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 6, 2024) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/97e9f11b-43c2-490c-9869-1f6e5bb956dc)
- **Sam Wang** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 5, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/cf6c147d-478d-438a-848d-55fd3ac9c8d0)
- **Steve Deace** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 5, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7b7565db-4811-4dd0-8830-872386b9e74f)
- **Steve Deace** — Donald Trump: an easy over 46% of the popular vote in the presidency (2024) (Race Margins, Nov 5, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7b7565db-4811-4dd0-8830-872386b9e74f)
- **Henry Olsen** — Kamala Harris: up in the popular vote by about a point and some tenths in the presidency (2024) (Race Margins, Nov 5, 2024) · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/95ac712b-4c9a-4c59-ad58-88552ecace4c)
- **Henry Olsen** — Donald Trump: 297 electoral votes in the presidency (2024) (Race Margins, Nov 5, 2024) — scored 85 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/95ac712b-4c9a-4c59-ad58-88552ecace4c)
- **Tim Miller** — Kamala Harris: 276 electoral votes in the presidency (2024) (Race Margins, Nov 5, 2024) — scored 50 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5506a84f-61ca-4667-8670-a8fb3229ae2d)
- **David Frum** — Donald Trump: 47% of the vote in the presidency (2024) (Race Margins, Nov 5, 2024) — scored 72 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d801b47f-11b1-4078-a15e-6a8670c71670)
- **Robby Soave** — Kamala Harris: 270 electoral votes in the presidency (2024) (Race Margins, Nov 5, 2024) — scored 56 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/51b2250d-7167-4f78-987c-b410831699d8)
- **Rising (The Hill)** — Kamala Harris wins the presidency (2024) — “a landslide” (Race Winners, Nov 5, 2024) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/92be81d0-8769-4102-84f1-6231d15e0925)
- **Ben Shapiro** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 5, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/41065840-38b7-4207-b0de-b7ebb6151443)
- **Ryan Grim** — Kamala Harris: 270 electoral votes in the presidency (2024) (Race Margins, Nov 5, 2024) — scored 56 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/288de674-5846-4f43-83c5-eef91155984c)
- **Erick-Woods Erickson** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) — “I think Trump still has the edge” (Race Winners, Nov 5, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/613e2ef4-8a44-48bf-99d4-93b7895c638d)
- **Michael Duncan** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 5, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/85ec093a-dac8-4e6a-8b3c-a2f231ed0415)
- **David Shuster** — Kamala Harris wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 5, 2024) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d909e4c0-1a07-456b-b4fd-69ba6eb7e68c)
- **Mark McKinnon** — Kamala Harris wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 5, 2024) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9b33434a-2b4c-47c1-b04e-e016e2fe2e78)
- **Lakshya Jain** — Kamala Harris: 270 electoral votes in the presidency (2024) (Race Margins, Nov 4, 2024) — scored 56 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5a57d1ed-c7db-49ba-b385-900b5d93d6c5)
- **Lakshya Jain** — Kamala Harris wins the presidency (2024) — “a 53% chance of winning” (Race Winners, Nov 4, 2024) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5a57d1ed-c7db-49ba-b385-900b5d93d6c5)
- **Steve Bannon** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 4, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/cf346610-bc74-4549-a144-5c4a967080d6)
- **Buck Sexton** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 4, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1ce3a830-98c0-43a1-80a8-0462832e2d0d)
- **Bob Vander Plaats** — Donald Trump: a knock on the door of 300 electoral college votes in the presidency (2024) (Race Margins, Nov 4, 2024) · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/472325ec-b86c-433a-b135-6134e4d70f47)
- **Bob Vander Plaats** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 4, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/472325ec-b86c-433a-b135-6134e4d70f47)
- **Steve Deace** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 4, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d86d0e2d-d087-42f0-a984-9da56aee6d3f)
- **Steve Bannon** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 4, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f645b783-648c-479c-88bf-adc2df4d7a1a)
- **Mike Murphy** — Kamala Harris wins the presidency (2024) — “low to medium confidence” (Race Winners, Nov 4, 2024) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4eb9d33e-5443-434c-8c70-683560c5cccf)
- **John Heilemann** — Kamala Harris wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 4, 2024) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/64f2a69a-a1f4-441b-97e5-706a0c45951e)
- **Bill Kristol** — Kamala Harris wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 4, 2024) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e81c5972-82b3-4b68-95b3-f5090ffe7fe3)
- **Elizabeth Stauffer** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 4, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/426536c3-b8d3-46ec-b7db-190034a24573)
- **Isaac Saul** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 4, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9f0d868d-0cbe-4cd5-9ad2-059bd6ccb7a1)
- **Ben Shapiro** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 4, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/6debf760-686a-4685-8222-68324f2d420c)
- **Isaac Saul** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 4, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/652fc278-a29c-4db4-a40d-ea6167503ea3)
- **Saagar Enjeti** — Donald Trump: 271 electoral votes in the presidency (2024) (Race Margins, Nov 4, 2024) — scored 59 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/bb989d94-53f2-4927-816b-85a994fc98b4)
- **Krystal Ball** — Kamala Harris wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 4, 2024) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dcc4d72f-d3a8-46e2-8152-5630053196f9)
- **Erick-Woods Erickson** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 4, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0de6667b-9595-4376-bf00-b6f52eb91641)
- **Erick-Woods Erickson** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 4, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0de6667b-9595-4376-bf00-b6f52eb91641)
- **Isaac Saul** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 3, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0d01685b-46fd-4c8e-b897-d661b3ee0b28)
- **Ben Shapiro** — Kamala Harris wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 3, 2024) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3bfdc054-23f3-4e11-b853-86b8cad09cdf)
- **Newt Gingrich** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) — “a very real likelihood” (Race Winners, Nov 3, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/528bbd7f-884c-4955-b6f6-81b1cbbf72a6)
- **Lakshya Jain** — Kamala Harris wins the presidency (2024) — “Kamala Harris at a 53% chance to win” (Race Winners, Nov 2, 2024) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c4ad6403-c190-4f2f-ace0-a917ca86ca3f)
- **Max McCall** — Kamala Harris wins the presidency (2024) — “Kamala Harris at a 53% chance to win” (Race Winners, Nov 2, 2024) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/23fb5e13-9731-48ab-90e2-fc26577162e9)
- **Clay Travis** — Kamala Harris wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 2, 2024) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b52a600f-eb6e-4089-9800-a16771f4af93)
- **Megyn Kelly** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 1, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7ffc53c1-37d9-49a8-9879-6715c3aee52a)
- **Clay Travis** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 1, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/74bb14b3-12ff-46ca-b63c-1d45efbd34cc)
- **Justin Robert Young** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 1, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7512910e-28e6-4892-a48b-4263aa65890f)
- **Steve Deace** — Donald Trump: 297 electoral votes in the presidency (2024) (Race Margins, Nov 1, 2024) — scored 85 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/227fccef-c6ae-4b9b-a30d-4eb9c2431b39)
- **Mehdi Hasan** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) — “Trump has a very good chance of being president again” (Race Winners, Nov 1, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/923fecd3-9b79-4677-95df-a8c5f24d438d)
- **Michael Cohen** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 1, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c7694aa9-ad38-4ce4-bdcc-58ae1e9e98cf)
- **Tom LoBianco** — Kamala Harris wins the presidency (2024) — “the fundamentals still favor Harris” (Race Winners, Nov 1, 2024) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1cc4d624-36cf-41fd-85e7-798499425638)
- **Justin Robert Young** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 1, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c5ed254d-d1bc-4056-afbc-6c5a01006e15)
- **Isaac Saul** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 1, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fae76e06-7347-4e3d-b978-448ce89230c0)
- **Ryan Grim** — Kamala Harris: 270 electoral votes in the presidency (2024) (Race Margins, Nov 1, 2024) — scored 56 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/79e9ecc9-a660-43e9-bed3-3bf1a67921d8)
- **Ben Shapiro** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 1, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/443d38b4-c8a0-43ea-b216-25c3b9a96836)
- **Kirk Bado** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) — “it's still Trump's race to lose” (Race Winners, Nov 1, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b5ccb123-99db-4def-abda-174f446c39f4)
- **Jacob Rubashkin** — Kamala Harris wins the presidency (2024) — “You'd still rather be Harris than Trump at this point” (Race Winners, Nov 1, 2024) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/6529faa2-303c-4baf-8715-a5dc608dff88)
- **Stu Burguiere** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) — “I think the momentum is toward Trump... I'd rather be Donald Trump in this race” (Race Winners, Oct 31, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/51246a4d-4fe4-4076-a56b-815f0222a547)
- **Stephen L. Miller** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) — “The momentum seems to favor Trump... I would rather be Trump” (Race Winners, Oct 31, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dee674ea-fba2-4d93-9f45-b75082050fde)
- **Clay Travis** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Oct 31, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d08cb932-dc4e-4ad3-9c6b-0e1667f88db9)
- **Buck Sexton** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Oct 31, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/001ddd67-1ba0-49e1-af91-dc96bc013007)
- **Steve Deace** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Oct 31, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e11ee1a6-89eb-4cc0-a4f1-e1d1f3e5563c)
- **Ben Shapiro** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Oct 31, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/21dc75fb-904c-4382-abd2-82e318d037e2)
- **Brent Buchanan** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) — “a complete toss-up still with a slight Trump edge” (Race Winners, Oct 31, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d216001a-1d6a-4092-af61-f8990d3b95b2)
- **Josh Holmes** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Oct 31, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4c117158-63a6-42e0-bfd9-0248d122a3bf)
- **Nate Silver** — Kamala Harris wins the presidency (2024) — “a seventy one point four percent probability of winning the popular vote” (Race Winners, Oct 31, 2024) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/674f495e-0c97-4e44-bb2f-03eb31a92571)
- **Nate Silver** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) — “a forty five point three percent chance of winning the electoral college [for Harris]; basically fifty five forty five Trump” (Race Winners, Oct 31, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/674f495e-0c97-4e44-bb2f-03eb31a92571)
- **Hugh Hewitt** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Oct 30, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/de3e0d96-0410-49b8-8880-52d02959d35a)
- **Tim Miller** — Kamala Harris wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Oct 30, 2024) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/80989876-1302-491b-9b83-b2cb03d618f3)
- **Jon Lovett** — Kamala Harris wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Oct 30, 2024) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/38c2aa5a-6cbe-45fe-bebf-e6dcfae6f7d5)
- **Carol Markowitz** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Oct 30, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/727856db-ec5d-41e3-9de8-9bc0d9696aad)
- **Tim Miller** — Kamala Harris wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Oct 30, 2024) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4691bb90-4ffd-43f0-9ce6-3634e239c0dc)
- **Steve Deace** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Oct 30, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a5755a22-7aa5-4d37-a330-174fe2b1c173)
- **Isaac Saul** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) — “a campaign well positioned to win this election” (Race Winners, Oct 30, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d2531ca4-60d1-48ee-b96f-ed8c924704d8)
- **Nate Silver** — Kamala Harris wins the presidency (2024) — “a fifty three percent chance” (Race Winners, Oct 30, 2024) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/39472e32-c093-44c0-a660-5ec95fe72c88)
- **Steve Bannon** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Oct 30, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/59bce092-c5a6-47e3-abf5-c06beead5f24)
- **Gabe Fleisher** — Kamala Harris wins the presidency (2024) — “basically tossup with Harris' slight edge” (Race Winners, Oct 30, 2024) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/67c3e461-0cc4-48b4-9602-fcc3acd23989)
- **Cenk Uygur** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Oct 30, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4adb058c-ad55-45c8-b384-6f308eb9e37d)
- **Mike Murphy** — Kamala Harris wins the presidency (2024) — “definitely gonna win the popular vote” (Race Winners, Oct 29, 2024) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b4d62a13-5fbf-4290-946f-681ca7962ea8)
- **Mike Murphy** — Kamala Harris wins the presidency (2024) — “only by a whisker” (Race Winners, Oct 29, 2024) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b4d62a13-5fbf-4290-946f-681ca7962ea8)
- **Clay Travis** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Oct 29, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a1d692b6-29fb-460c-ab4a-89228007ca74)
- **Bill O'Reilly** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Oct 29, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b78689b7-38a2-450d-958a-0b4dbac94547)
- **Steve Deace** — Donald Trump: 297 electoral votes in the presidency (2024) (Race Margins, Oct 29, 2024) — scored 85 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e92d1a64-147b-44d6-971c-aff6790f7d6f)
- **Steve Deace** — Kamala Harris: 241 electoral votes in the presidency (2024) (Race Margins, Oct 29, 2024) — scored 85 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e92d1a64-147b-44d6-971c-aff6790f7d6f)
- **Hugh Hewitt** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Oct 29, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fbe1ca0a-07bb-44eb-9cc6-8c81a366e1de)
- **Buck Sexton** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Oct 28, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c983688d-2b7f-45ee-8eac-72c3471b4d51)
- **Clay Travis** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Oct 28, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7c5633b4-769f-4b6f-855b-048aac969871)
- **Bob Vander Plaats** — Donald Trump: north of 300 in the presidency (2024) (Race Margins, Oct 28, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f6988c8c-13e5-49a8-8b08-84906d3eac55)
- **Bill Kristol** — Kamala Harris wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Oct 28, 2024) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d73d0f24-f506-4c05-aaf4-a9cecd5fc65c)
- **Saagar Enjeti** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) — “a more better than not shot of winning” (Race Winners, Oct 28, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/66318766-2b56-4a5f-a026-1de971c46a0e)
- **Krystal Ball** — Kamala Harris wins the presidency (2024) — “Probably not” (Race Winners, Oct 28, 2024) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/db59f0f5-a2ca-4bff-8bc8-62d603e33166)
- **Erick-Woods Erickson** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) — “tilting toward the Republicans” (Race Winners, Oct 28, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/39ca1222-1ce2-4a75-91c2-96f3fc1a7ee4)
- **Liz Cheney** — Kamala Harris wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Oct 27, 2024) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/de58a095-eee9-4592-8c97-270cd82329fd)
- **Buck Sexton** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Oct 26, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fe82f55f-85e5-4bb4-93cd-095c1c32fb04)
- **Clay Travis** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Oct 26, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/67c0dc84-a35c-4ba1-bee0-34e6acf13a7c)
- **Lakshya Jain** — Kamala Harris wins the presidency (2024) — “a 53% chance of winning the Electoral College” (Race Winners, Oct 26, 2024) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/aa2e619b-e345-474e-8e76-8853e0ad14f4)
- **Wosny Lambre** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) — “Kamala's inevitable defeat” (Race Winners, Oct 26, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/86d96ef2-2897-4eef-a385-a4d59a2962dc)
- **Cenk Uygur** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) — “My intuition says Trump” (Race Winners, Oct 26, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f6ad0525-7caa-403e-97c2-0febbe9e12ac)
- **Buck Sexton** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Oct 25, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/48a4e5ae-e91a-4cfc-b53d-1e90c1c4a984)
- **Clay Travis** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Oct 25, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b4ae249c-4717-4905-bd01-a667d2ebc3ef)
- **Clay Travis** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Oct 25, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b4ae249c-4717-4905-bd01-a667d2ebc3ef)
- **Nomiki Konst** — Kamala Harris wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Oct 25, 2024) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/eb44c58b-f1a5-4cd8-be69-8ff48abdd4a7)
- **Ben Shapiro** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Oct 25, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7001a898-d21e-4fba-a90c-af3addc40995)
- **Michael Knowles** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Oct 25, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7e2584c0-963b-42e1-9558-6c2dd260a78d)
- **Andrew Heaton** — Kamala Harris wins the presidency (2024) — “I am $5 confident Kamala Harris is gonna win” (Race Winners, Oct 25, 2024) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3fe00f91-ba78-4b47-a4aa-cf844773de96)
- **Bill Scher** — Kamala Harris wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Oct 25, 2024) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4029b386-4347-4985-a8ea-649dbdce602b)
- **Bill Scher** — Kamala Harris: 270 electoral votes in the presidency (2024) (Race Margins, Oct 25, 2024) — scored 56 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4029b386-4347-4985-a8ea-649dbdce602b)
- **AB Stoddard** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Oct 24, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8090a5f1-6fda-4fed-99a1-1773a6aaccab)
- **Ryan Girdusky** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) — “probably fifty five percent to forty five percent” (Race Winners, Oct 24, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/21042256-ddf0-4ffc-8955-951ae47f7192)
- **Clay Travis** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Oct 24, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/99a2785b-592d-46f9-9c93-05ea127dc1d6)
- **James Carville** — Kamala Harris wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Oct 24, 2024) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5d3f9cc3-36e2-48c7-b55c-b6ab518d9abb)
- **David Pakman** — Kamala Harris wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Oct 24, 2024) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4593d193-c1d3-4ea2-a92a-b355bddb1608)
- **Nate Silver** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) — “a fifty three percent chance of winning the electoral college” (Race Winners, Oct 24, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/23d4bc2f-f207-4adf-9d88-8c9233ce3264)
- **Ghad Saad** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Oct 24, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/59af8c35-67c8-4345-98d0-b76baf97914e)
- **Tom Bevan** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) — “I think Trump has probably got a slight edge right now” (Race Winners, Oct 23, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4f58fc26-9449-44c8-acbf-638eeb0b6d19)
- **Isaac Saul** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Oct 23, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/585f0133-b671-48ea-b0de-c290a8ed2294)
- **Simon Rosenberg** — Kamala Harris wins the presidency (2024) — “far more likely to break for Harris than Trump” (Race Winners, Oct 23, 2024) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/230751e1-a2a2-424b-88a3-45870efa40a8)
- **Buck Sexton** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) — “likely future president” (Race Winners, Oct 23, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dbd640fd-b348-440e-adb6-212f47d59e95)
- **Ben Shapiro** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) — “likely to be the next president of The United States” (Race Winners, Oct 23, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fb55fbc3-769f-4da5-b7f3-21b3421a7479)
- **Brent Buchanan** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) — “I would give Donald Trump an edge” (Race Winners, Oct 23, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8a1f4bf9-1d65-4825-a99a-78ab20cf0a07)
- **Erick-Woods Erickson** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Oct 23, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/576a2068-10e0-47dc-9f7c-dc38e47c1f6b)
- **Isaac Saul** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Oct 23, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b31db6af-6d98-4663-8517-5352a664234a)
- **Simon Rosenberg** — Kamala Harris wins the presidency (2024) — “far more likely to break for” (Race Winners, Oct 23, 2024) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/57de2d75-e352-40de-9549-fb1b713cb65b)
- **Erick-Woods Erickson** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Oct 23, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/21b73dab-8f6d-4ab2-8a02-ce3f47eddd69)
- **Kirk Bado** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Oct 23, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/03f2e069-9eee-4da8-866b-efe71827bc55)
- **Saagar Enjeti** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Oct 23, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1f86d426-f054-4303-b0ba-cd58cd0a0f43)
- **Erick-Woods Erickson** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Oct 22, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/78684e3a-51ec-4977-86c5-fef9deaca0a7)
- **Mike Murphy** — Kamala Harris wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Oct 22, 2024) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/64ed31eb-7b3b-4da5-8e54-9bcb3c60c5f9)
- **Clay Travis** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Oct 22, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c97fa43f-35db-4542-b221-7595f3f10d55)
- **Erick-Woods Erickson** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Oct 22, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0cd3d256-03e2-4f28-8617-9fbd63d5d205)
- **Doug Schoen** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) — “more likely than not to win” (Race Winners, Oct 22, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c94b947d-a0ff-4978-b114-fadbf289a806)
- **Doug Schoen** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) — “a narrow but clear favorite to win the election” (Race Winners, Oct 22, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c94b947d-a0ff-4978-b114-fadbf289a806)
- **Megyn Kelly** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Oct 22, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/52216d85-1f86-4d77-a107-a4401379a25e)
- **Douglas Wilson** — Donald Trump wins the presidency (2024) (Race Winners, Oct 22, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/51cac39b-a5f7-4b34-85d6-7fbb4252416a)
- **David Pakman** — Kamala Harris wins the presidency (2024) — “the most likely outcome” (Race Winners, Oct 22, 2024) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3ef0c251-9e50-4138-a342-5e585567ff3b)