# 2024 U.S. Senate election in Texas — what pundits predicted

Senate · Election Day 2024-11-05 · certified.

## The ballot

- **Ted Cruz (Republican, incumbent) — won** · 53.1%
- Colin Allred (Democratic) · 44.6%
- Ted Brown (Libertarian) · 2.4%

Result: Ted Cruz by 8.5 points (general); held by the Republican party going in. Source: wikipedia-2024-senate.

## What the field called

- Ted Cruz: 8 picks (won)
- Colin Allred: 1 pick (lost)

## Every claim about this race (11)

- **Lakshya Jain** — Ted Cruz wins TX Senate (2024) — “Leans Republican” (Race Winners, Nov 4, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5a57d1ed-c7db-49ba-b385-900b5d93d6c5)
- **Michael Cohen** — Ted Cruz wins TX Senate (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 1, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c7694aa9-ad38-4ce4-bdcc-58ae1e9e98cf)
- **Justin Robert Young** — Ted Cruz wins TX Senate (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 1, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c5ed254d-d1bc-4056-afbc-6c5a01006e15)
- **Nathan Gonzales** — Ted Cruz wins TX Senate (2024) — “tilt Republican” (Race Winners, Nov 1, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/948fc91a-5690-4ab6-9a67-69f6b0c6381a)
- **Kirk Bado** — Ted Cruz wins TX Senate (2024) — “too little too late here to really push that across the line” (Race Winners, Nov 1, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b5ccb123-99db-4def-abda-174f446c39f4)
- **David Pakman** — Ted Cruz wins TX Senate (2024) (Race Winners, Oct 30, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d11d656b-dfa3-43f7-a8c6-a4ed6538e638)
- **Amber Duke** — Ted Cruz: two or three points in TX Senate (2024) (Race Margins, Oct 25, 2024) — scored 45 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ea004074-4469-44cf-be28-b475e97d0ef5)
- **Tommy Vietor** — Colin Allred wins TX Senate (2024) (Race Winners, Oct 25, 2024) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/18826d0e-908b-4d4b-a076-e36ebe5e3782)
- **Bill Scher** — Ted Cruz wins TX Senate (2024) (Race Winners, Oct 25, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4029b386-4347-4985-a8ea-649dbdce602b)
- **Sean Spicer** — Ted Cruz wins TX Senate (2024) — “shored up” (Race Winners, Oct 23, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/714ad230-6ec2-4ee5-904a-e3b906c62fee)
- **Domenico Montanaro** — Ted Cruz: probably a three to four point race in favor of Republicans in TX Senate (2024) (Race Margins, Oct 22, 2024) — scored 55 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4bc06f52-ef67-4398-b9c5-29ca5b639bb0)