# 2024 U.S. Senate election in Wisconsin — what pundits predicted

Senate · Election Day 2024-11-05 · certified.

## The ballot

- **Tammy Baldwin (Democratic, incumbent) — won** · 49.3%
- Eric Hovde (Republican) · 48.5%
- Phil Anderson (Other parties) · 1.2%
- Thomas Leager (Other parties) · 0.9%

Result: Tammy Baldwin by 0.8 points (general); held by the Democratic party going in. Source: wikipedia-2024-senate.

## What the field called

- Eric Hovde: 4 picks (lost)
- Tammy Baldwin: 3 picks (won)

## Every claim about this race (7)

- **Ben Shapiro** — Eric Hovde wins WI Senate (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 5, 2024) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/41065840-38b7-4207-b0de-b7ebb6151443)
- **Erick-Woods Erickson** — Eric Hovde wins WI Senate (2024) (Race Winners, Nov 5, 2024) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2b8a0f54-ff84-4006-963c-d87a3a582528)
- **Lakshya Jain** — Tammy Baldwin wins WI Senate (2024) — “Leans Democratic” (Race Winners, Nov 4, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5a57d1ed-c7db-49ba-b385-900b5d93d6c5)
- **Sean Spicer** — Eric Hovde wins WI Senate (2024) — “really bullish” (Race Winners, Nov 3, 2024) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/04bf47f5-382a-4338-8255-e7f6fbf3fe68)
- **Nathan Gonzales** — Tammy Baldwin wins WI Senate (2024) — “tilt Democratic” (Race Winners, Nov 1, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/948fc91a-5690-4ab6-9a67-69f6b0c6381a)
- **Steve Deace** — Eric Hovde wins WI Senate (2024) (Race Winners, Oct 29, 2024) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e92d1a64-147b-44d6-971c-aff6790f7d6f)
- **Dave Weigel** — Tammy Baldwin wins WI Senate (2024) — “a competitive race with Baldwin the advantage” (Race Winners, Oct 24, 2024) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b827a276-09cd-49db-99aa-a49d932620ba)