# 2026 U.S. House election in Montana's district 1 — what pundits predicted

House · Election Day 2026-11-03 · called.

## The ballot

- Aaron Flint (Republican)
- Nick Sheedy (Libertarian)
- **Sam Forstag (Democratic) — won**

Result: Sam Forstag by — (general); held by the Republican party going in; flipped. Source: wikipedia-2026.

## What the field called

- Aaron Flint: 2 picks (lost)

## Every claim about this race (2)

- **Dane Strother** — Aaron Flint wins MT-01 House seat (2026) (Race Winners, Oct 28, 2026) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/691a2bf7-1104-449f-8d13-438948f70d41)
- **Kyle Kondik** — Aaron Flint wins MT-01 House seat (2026) — “Leans Republican” (Race Winners, Sep 29, 2026) — scored 0 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/92dcd5d6-4371-41a9-a905-c58360bc550b)