# 2026 U.S. Senate election in Arkansas — what pundits predicted

Senate · Election Day 2026-11-03 · called.

## The ballot

- Hallie Shoffner (Democratic)
- Jeff Wadlin (Libertarian)
- **Tom Cotton (Republican, incumbent) — won**

Result: Tom Cotton by — (general); held by the Republican party going in. Source: wikipedia-2026.

## What the field called

- Tom Cotton: 1 pick (won)

## Every claim about this race (1)

- **Geoffrey Skelley** — Tom Cotton wins AR Senate (2026) — “Arkansas 96%” (Race Winners, Oct 8, 2026) — scored 100 · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1b15295f-828d-4bee-a738-b8a8c637923b)