# 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Florida — what pundits predicted

Senate · special election · Election Day 2026-11-03 · no result loaded yet.

## The ballot

- Angie Nixon (Democratic)
- Ashley Moody (Republican, incumbent)
- Neil Gillespie (Independent)

## What the field called

- Ashley Moody: 1 pick

## Every claim about this race (2)

- **Ryan Girdusky** — Ashley Moody: by 10 points or more in FL Senate (special) (2026) (Race Margins, Sep 30, 2026) · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1de8ad30-d7f0-426c-8e1b-0ab5bb283e6d)
- **David Nir** — Ashley Moody wins FL Senate (special) (2026) — “already favored in November” (Race Winners, Sep 24, 2026) · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b97db646-9bd6-4635-b74e-9f01dd405272)