# 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan — what pundits predicted

Senate · Election Day 2026-11-03 · no result loaded yet.

## The ballot

- Abdul El-Sayed (Democratic)
- Douglas P. Marsh (Green)
- Lydia Christensen (Libertarian)
- Mike Rogers (Republican)
- Tim Long (Constitution)
- Walter P. Kristy (Other parties)

## What the field called

- Abdul El-Sayed: 9 picks
- Mike Rogers: 4 picks

## Every claim about this race (13)

- **Tommy Vietor** — Abdul El-Sayed wins MI Senate (2026) (Race Winners, Oct 2, 2026) · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ed1ac06a-667f-4abc-baf2-d557a9c833d8)
- **Jessica Anderson** — Mike Rogers wins MI Senate (2026) (Race Winners, Oct 1, 2026) · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2bfc5448-0f01-425d-8bbf-21220a312547)
- **Ryan Girdusky** — Abdul El-Sayed wins MI Senate (2026) (Race Winners, Sep 30, 2026) · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1de8ad30-d7f0-426c-8e1b-0ab5bb283e6d)
- **Erick-Woods Erickson** — Mike Rogers wins MI Senate (2026) (Race Winners, Sep 30, 2026) · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c915841c-31d3-450c-a8e0-6213c8580366)
- **Mike Murphy** — Abdul El-Sayed wins MI Senate (2026) (Race Winners, Sep 29, 2026) · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f3300020-baf1-4c60-b7df-1af4cbe2bfce)
- **John Anzalone** — Abdul El-Sayed wins MI Senate (2026) (Race Winners, Sep 29, 2026) · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9c4b57b6-57f7-4eb1-a609-f981fe6dd3e9)
- **Nate Silver** — Abdul El-Sayed wins MI Senate (2026) (Race Winners, Sep 25, 2026) · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/25be3e18-925a-4a3c-ae8c-40db6c69d10b)
- **Kyle Kondik** — Abdul El-Sayed wins MI Senate (2026) — “Leans Democratic” (Race Winners, Sep 22, 2026) · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e221a7ef-45a6-4178-93e9-7dd3b92126d6)
- **Ryan Girdusky** — Abdul El-Sayed wins MI Senate (2026) (Race Winners, Sep 18, 2026) · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5c953ce9-6a0b-4500-a2cf-a15d5d25142a)
- **Clay Travis** — Mike Rogers wins MI Senate (2026) (Race Winners, Sep 17, 2026) · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/267107dc-bfd9-4ce0-84b7-f26d0821d12a)
- **Buck Sexton** — Mike Rogers wins MI Senate (2026) (Race Winners, Sep 17, 2026) · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/428b122f-ae08-4670-8631-984de54c5a4c)
- **Chuck Todd** — Abdul El-Sayed wins MI Senate (2026) (Race Winners, Sep 16, 2026) · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/6c14dceb-ced1-49e9-b979-520b37e1a159)
- **Chuck Todd** — Abdul El-Sayed wins MI Senate (2026) (Race Winners, Sep 16, 2026) · [the take](https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0adacf2f-cbbf-449f-b2d6-0cb96bb9eded)