# Dolphins vs Raiders predictions, graded

Week 1, 2026: Miami Dolphins at Las Vegas Raiders

Sep 13, 2026 · final: Dolphins 13, Raiders 27 · 39 calls on record · updated Sep 18, 9:20 AM ET

Who do pundits pick in Dolphins vs Raiders? Of 19 pundits with a call on record, 15 take the Raiders and 4 take the Dolphins. 4 named a score; the median has the Raiders by 0.5. The Raiders won 27-13, so 15 of 19 had the winner. Their graded calls averaged 83 out of 100.

Picks by outlet. Each pundit counted once, at the outlet or show their latest call ran on. An outlet is listed when two or more of its pundits have picked.

- [Sports Illustrated](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/sports-illustrated): Raiders 8, Dolphins 2
- [CBS Sports](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/cbs-sports): all 2 Raiders
- [Fox Sports Radio (podcast)](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/fox-sports-radio-podcast): all 2 Raiders

The other 5 pundits write or talk elsewhere: Raiders 3, Dolphins 2.

Page: https://missedtakes.co/nfl/games/2026-week-1-dolphins-at-raiders

Picks:

- [John Breech](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/john-breech) took the Raiders; said Sep 13, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9da8cc61-bdc3-40fd-bd7f-c02c99fe7b00
- [Logan Lazarczyk](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/logan-lazarczyk) took the Raiders; said Sep 12, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3c2be39f-6afa-4429-992c-7f790d7a5dc2
- [Alain Poupart](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/alain-poupart) took the Dolphins, Dolphins 27–Raiders 24; said Sep 12, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; scored 23.81 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 65.4) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/6dfbbc26-d75a-4671-8e05-5595ae2a2bee
- [Dan Beyer](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/dan-beyer) took the Raiders; said Sep 11, 2026; on Fox Sports Radio (podcast); scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1901e3ab-68da-4256-ade2-bb6f2a111709
- John and Lance — ESPN Houston (podcast) took the Dolphins; said Sep 10, 2026; on John and Lance — ESPN Houston (podcast); scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100)
- [Mike Florio](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/mike-florio) took the Dolphins, Dolphins 13–Raiders 10; said Sep 9, 2026; on NBC Sports; scored 23.81 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 65.4) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4b20f46e-ebc0-462f-9e7a-2ab82f91a2ea
- [Albert Breer](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/albert-breer) took the Raiders; said Sep 9, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/81a0a660-de14-460e-a283-c357a6a1bcda
- [Conor Orr](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/conor-orr) took the Dolphins; said Sep 9, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/54ae8d21-7621-4c3d-816c-e879aed9b5c2
- [Gilberto Manzano](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/gilberto-manzano) took the Raiders; said Sep 9, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f6e2bb80-47ba-4803-9002-1ab10e7ee54c
- [John Pluym](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/john-pluym) took the Raiders; said Sep 9, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e7e5c159-21f2-4766-92de-857294ef51cf
- [Matt Verderame](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/matt-verderame) took the Raiders; said Sep 9, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e4f51f97-310d-4665-a47e-fdab93ff1fd1
- [Mike Kadlick](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/mike-kadlick) took the Raiders; said Sep 9, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/934613ff-97e3-4894-a383-faa755bdfc35
- [Eva Geitheim](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/eva-geitheim) took the Raiders; said Sep 9, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/599df4d8-af5a-4097-b802-1d21ce7b6ce1
- [Mitch Goldich](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/mitch-goldich) took the Raiders; said Sep 9, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/643de3da-467f-48c2-a141-4656c392ab89
- [Pete Prisco](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/pete-prisco) took the Raiders, Raiders 21–Dolphins 17; said Sep 9, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 76.19 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 65.4) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d6f9bde0-aad0-4013-967c-c197b2e9be19
- [Tom Strachan](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/tom-strachan) took the Raiders; said Sep 9, 2026; on FantasyPros; scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d3c1f9d4-6efe-4f13-bebb-7b31b88131d5
- [John Breech](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/john-breech) took the Raiders, Raiders 20–Dolphins 13; said Sep 8, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 83.33 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 65.4) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b823d5ce-fc63-4d24-9f48-839f494b538a
- [Rich Eisen](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/rich-eisen) took the Raiders; said Sep 7, 2026; on Overreaction Monday (podcast); scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/64dbb881-ecab-4c1d-b8be-e1f101265cac
- [Richard Sherman](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/richard-sherman) took the Raiders; said Sep 5, 2026; on The Richard Sherman Podcast (podcast); scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1105b396-46d7-45e5-8e6b-90261fd2a8ef
- [Logan Lazarczyk](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/logan-lazarczyk) took the Raiders; said Sep 2, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3e67b29c-46b7-46f4-bcdd-8f9755017677
- [Logan Lazarczyk](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/logan-lazarczyk) took the Raiders; said Aug 26, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/53588795-f3f7-4bff-8b62-c02a6d194ff2
- [John Breech](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/john-breech) took the Raiders; said Aug 19, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/50eb251e-cf6b-417d-a0d6-bccba95e06fc
- [Chris Plank](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/chris-plank) took the Raiders; said Aug 3, 2026; on Fox Sports Radio (podcast); scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f2f037ca-9557-4c61-9c43-f466a4676732

## How they came in

The Dolphins went 7-10 last season and the Raiders went 3-14 last season. On win totals, 18 pundits put the Dolphins at 2.8 wins on average, and 14 pundits put the Raiders at 6.6 wins on average.

Venue: Allegiant Stadium, Paradise, Nevada

- Miami Dolphins: 0-0
  - Unit ranks this season: offense 27th, defense 27th of 32
  - Last season: 7-10
  - Win-total calls: 18 pundits, average 2.8, 0 to 7 wins
- Las Vegas Raiders: 0-0
  - Unit ranks this season: offense 17th, defense 31st of 32
  - Last season: 3-14
  - Win-total calls: 15 pundits, average 6.6, 3 to 17 wins

## Players to watch

Each club's starting quarterback, leading rusher, receiver and tight end, and its sack and tackle leaders, with their 2026 regular season so far, with the latest call on each from a pundit ranked on the leaderboard whose record beats the naive pick, made since the 2026 schedule came out ("No." is that rank). Leaderboard: https://missedtakes.co/nfl/leaderboard

- [Malik Willis](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/malik-willis) (Starting QB, QB): 1,396 passing yards · 6 TD, 6 INT · 58.2% completions · 232 rushing yards · 8 games; 27th in the NFL in passing yards
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Sep 8, 2026: Malik Willis to record 1,000 rushing yards (not settled yet)
  - No. 12 Derek Brown, Sep 6, 2026: Malik Willis to finish top 12 at his position, by fantasy points (not settled yet)
- [Ollie Gordon II](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/ollie-gordon-ii) (RB1, RB): 463 rushing yards on 107 carries · 4 TD · 7 catches for 23 · 7 games; 18th in the NFL in rushing yards
  - No. 33 Alain Poupart, Nov 5, 2026: Ollie Gordon II to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
- [Malik Washington](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/malik-washington) (WR1, WR): 33 catches for 350 yards · 1 TD · 8 games; 55th in the NFL in receiving yards
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Sep 21, 2026: Malik Washington to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
  - No. 33 Alain Poupart, Aug 28, 2026: Malik Washington to make the roster (scored 100 out of 100)
- [Greg Dulcich](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/greg-dulcich) (TE1, TE): 24 catches for 270 yards · 0 TD · 7 games; 85th in the NFL in receiving yards
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Aug 11, 2026: Greg Dulcich to outplay his draft cost (Late-Round) (not settled yet)
  - No. 12 Derek Brown, Aug 23, 2026: Greg Dulcich to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
- [Chop Robinson](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/chop-robinson) (Sack leader, LB): 4 sacks · 7 solo tackles · 7 games; 30th in the NFL in sacks
  - No. 33 Alain Poupart, Sep 25, 2026: Robinson will be back against Kansas City and told reporters Thursday he'll be wearing a Guardian cap (Week 3) (not settled yet)
- [Jacob Rodriguez](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jacob-rodriguez) (Tackle leader, LB): 1 sack · 34 solo tackles · 1 interception · 8 games; 25th in the NFL in solo tackles
  - No. 11 Lance Zierlein, Sep 15, 2026: Jacob Rodriguez to win Defensive Rookie of the Year (not settled yet)
  - No. 24 Rich Hribar, Sep 9, 2026: Jacob Rodriguez to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
- [Fernando Mendoza](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/fernando-mendoza) (Starting QB, QB): 48 passing yards · 0 TD, 0 INT · 75.0% completions · 1 game; 52nd in the NFL in passing yards
  - No. 4 Bryan DeArdo, Nov 11, 2026: Fernando Mendoza to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Oct 19, 2026: Fernando Mendoza to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
- [Ashton Jeanty](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/ashton-jeanty) (RB1, RB): 362 rushing yards on 114 carries · 4 TD · 42 catches for 371 · 9 games; 27th in the NFL in rushing yards
  - No. 12 Derek Brown, Aug 25, 2026: Ashton Jeanty to finish top 12 at his position, by fantasy points (not settled yet)
  - No. 18 Carter Bahns, Nov 2, 2026: Ashton Jeanty to disappoint at the next level (not settled yet)
- [Tre Tucker](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/tre-tucker) (WR1, WR): 33 catches for 529 yards · 4 TD · 9 games; 20th in the NFL in receiving yards
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Sep 21, 2026: Tre Tucker to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
  - No. 14 Hondo Carpenter, Nov 9, 2026: Tre Tucker to play out his deal with no new contract (not settled yet)
- [Brock Bowers](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/brock-bowers) (TE1, TE): 48 catches for 658 yards · 6 TD · 7 games; 10th in the NFL in receiving yards
  - No. 5 Tom Pelissero, Sep 18, 2026: But, you know, the Raiders, I... Bauer still doesn't practice. Seems unlikely that he plays this week. (not settled yet)
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Sep 4, 2026: Brock Bowers to outplay his draft cost (anywhere in the back half of the second round in 12-team drafts) (not settled yet)
- [Maxx Crosby](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/maxx-crosby) (Sack leader, DE): 4 sacks · 11 solo tackles · 9 games; 30th in the NFL in sacks
  - No. 3 Damonza Byrd, Aug 29, 2026: Maxx Crosby to move to Las Vegas Raiders (not settled yet)
  - No. 14 Hondo Carpenter, Nov 9, 2026: Maxx Crosby to stay with Las Vegas Raiders (not settled yet)
- [Jeremy Chinn](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jeremy-chinn) (Tackle leader, S): 1 sack · 44 solo tackles · 1 interception · 9 games; 4th in the NFL in solo tackles
  - No. 14 Hondo Carpenter, Nov 9, 2026: Jeremy Chinn to stay with Las Vegas Raiders (not settled yet)

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The room is counted in pundits, each one's latest call standing. Accuracy is out of 100; the naive pick is the home team.
The week: https://missedtakes.co/nfl/games/2026-week-1
Method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology