# Patriots vs Seahawks predictions, graded

Week 1, 2026: New England Patriots at Seattle Seahawks

Sep 10, 2026 · final: Patriots 10, Seahawks 13 · 27 calls on record · updated Sep 18, 9:20 AM ET

Who do pundits pick in Patriots vs Seahawks? Of 19 pundits with a call on record, 14 take the Seahawks and 5 take the Patriots. 7 named a score; the median has the Seahawks by 6. The Seahawks won 13-10, so 14 of 19 had the winner. Their graded calls averaged 79 out of 100.

Picks by outlet. Each pundit counted once, at the outlet or show their latest call ran on. An outlet is listed when two or more of its pundits have picked.

- [Sports Illustrated](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/sports-illustrated): Seahawks 7, Patriots 1
- [CBS Sports](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/cbs-sports): all 3 Seahawks
- [The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-rich-eisen-show-podcast): Seahawks 1, Patriots 1
- [The Richard Sherman Podcast (podcast)](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-richard-sherman-podcast-podcast): Seahawks 1, Patriots 1

The other 4 pundits write or talk elsewhere: Seahawks 2, Patriots 2.

Page: https://missedtakes.co/nfl/games/2026-week-1-patriots-at-seahawks

Picks:

- [Julian Edelman](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/julian-edelman) took the Patriots, Patriots 28–Seahawks 24; said Sep 9, 2026; on The Richard Sherman Podcast (podcast); scored 47.62 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ec6f039f-3212-4e37-8fdb-fb4e95248198
- [Richard Sherman](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/richard-sherman) took the Seahawks, Seahawks 28–Patriots 17; said Sep 9, 2026; on The Richard Sherman Podcast (podcast); scored 80.95 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3b4f1960-4810-4136-8023-c9a76a0598a3
- [Colin Cowherd](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/colin-cowherd) took the Seahawks, Seahawks 23–Patriots 20; said Sep 9, 2026; on The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast); scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/df2d0a12-0bc1-4438-92e2-e2faf15686bd
- [Mike Florio](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/mike-florio) took the Patriots, Patriots 24–Seahawks 21; said Sep 9, 2026; on NBC Sports; scored 50 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4b20f46e-ebc0-462f-9e7a-2ab82f91a2ea
- [Albert Breer](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/albert-breer) took the Seahawks; said Sep 9, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/81a0a660-de14-460e-a283-c357a6a1bcda
- [Eva Geitheim](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/eva-geitheim) took the Seahawks; said Sep 9, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/599df4d8-af5a-4097-b802-1d21ce7b6ce1
- [Mitch Goldich](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/mitch-goldich) took the Seahawks; said Sep 9, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/643de3da-467f-48c2-a141-4656c392ab89
- [Conor Orr](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/conor-orr) took the Patriots; said Sep 9, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/54ae8d21-7621-4c3d-816c-e879aed9b5c2
- [John Pluym](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/john-pluym) took the Seahawks; said Sep 9, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e7e5c159-21f2-4766-92de-857294ef51cf
- [Matt Verderame](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/matt-verderame) took the Seahawks; said Sep 9, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e4f51f97-310d-4665-a47e-fdab93ff1fd1
- [Mike Kadlick](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/mike-kadlick) took the Seahawks; said Sep 9, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/934613ff-97e3-4894-a383-faa755bdfc35
- [Gilberto Manzano](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/gilberto-manzano) took the Seahawks; said Sep 9, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f6e2bb80-47ba-4803-9002-1ab10e7ee54c
- [Jared Dubin](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jared-dubin) took the Seahawks; said Sep 9, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4ff572fd-4298-4f60-95ee-7fd6d9b2b148
- [Jared Dubin](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jared-dubin) took the Seahawks, Seahawks 23–Patriots 17; said Sep 9, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 92.86 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4ff572fd-4298-4f60-95ee-7fd6d9b2b148
- [Pete Prisco](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/pete-prisco) took the Seahawks, Seahawks 26–Patriots 14; said Sep 9, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 78.57 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d6f9bde0-aad0-4013-967c-c197b2e9be19
- [John Middlekauff](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/john-middlekauff) took the Seahawks; said Sep 9, 2026; on 3 and Out with John Middlekauff (podcast); scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d2b70076-c664-4ce6-a492-8cf573931a7b
- [John Breech](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/john-breech) took the Seahawks, Seahawks 27–Patriots 17; said Sep 8, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 83.33 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b823d5ce-fc63-4d24-9f48-839f494b538a
- [John Middlekauff](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/john-middlekauff) took the Seahawks; said Sep 8, 2026; on The Colin Cowherd Podcast (podcast); scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/410de741-e251-4fca-9bff-c628f5762eea
- [Colin Cowherd](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/colin-cowherd) took the Seahawks, Seahawks 24–Patriots 13; said Sep 8, 2026; on The Colin Cowherd Podcast (podcast); scored 80.95 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3b47f2da-bc06-4962-83b8-e34b43132116
- [Mark Wahlberg](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/mark-wahlberg) took the Patriots; said Sep 3, 2026; on The Rich Eisen Show (podcast); scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/14761919-29fa-4eda-a3d4-ba0f76f399c2
- [John Breech](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/john-breech) took the Seahawks; said Aug 19, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/50eb251e-cf6b-417d-a0d6-bccba95e06fc
- [Henry McKenna](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/henry-mckenna) took the Patriots; said Aug 3, 2026; on Fox Sports; scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/140adcc4-e29d-494e-9447-43fe2614eeed
- [Chris Brockman](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/chris-brockman) took the Seahawks; said May 22, 2026; on The Rich Eisen Show (podcast); scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b96d2b44-e541-487a-bafa-fa14d8e482a1

## How they came in

The Patriots went 14-3 last season and the Seahawks went 14-3 last season. On win totals, 17 pundits put the Patriots at 10 wins on average, and 11 pundits put the Seahawks at 10.5 wins on average.

Venue: Lumen Field, Seattle, Washington

- New England Patriots: 0-0
  - Unit ranks this season: offense 11th, defense 17th of 32
  - Last season: 14-3
  - Win-total calls: 18 pundits, average 10, 9 to 17 wins
- Seattle Seahawks: 0-0
  - Unit ranks this season: offense 18th, defense 2nd of 32
  - Last season: 14-3
  - Win-total calls: 12 pundits, average 10.5, 4 to 17 wins

## Players to watch

Each club's starting quarterback, leading rusher, receiver and tight end, and its sack and tackle leaders, with their 2026 regular season so far, with the latest call on each from a pundit ranked on the leaderboard whose record beats the naive pick, made since the 2026 schedule came out ("No." is that rank). Leaderboard: https://missedtakes.co/nfl/leaderboard

- [Drake Maye](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/drake-maye) (Starting QB, QB): 2,282 passing yards · 18 TD, 11 INT · 65.4% completions · 219 rushing yards · 9 games; 6th in the NFL in passing yards
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Oct 9, 2026: Drake Maye to finish QB1 (1–12) at his position, by fantasy points (not settled yet)
  - No. 12 Derek Brown, Sep 6, 2026: Drake Maye to finish top 5 at his position, by fantasy points (not settled yet)
- [Rhamondre Stevenson](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/rhamondre-stevenson) (RB1, RB): 399 rushing yards on 102 carries · 4 TD · 26 catches for 258 · 9 games; 22nd in the NFL in rushing yards
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Nov 13, 2026: Stevenson is dealing with a knee tendon issue. It won't require surgery, but Stevenson is expected to miss New England's Week 10 game against Detroit (not settled yet)
  - No. 12 Derek Brown, Sep 8, 2026: Rhamondre Stevenson to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
- [DeMario Douglas](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/demario-douglas) (WR1, WR): 31 catches for 434 yards · 4 TD · 9 games; 31st in the NFL in receiving yards
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Nov 2, 2026: DeMario Douglas to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
  - No. 33 Alain Poupart, Oct 31, 2026: DeMario Douglas to be 3rd on the depth chart (not settled yet)
- [Hunter Henry](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/hunter-henry) (TE1, TE): 32 catches for 361 yards · 2 TD · 9 games; 49th in the NFL in receiving yards
- [Elijah Ponder](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/elijah-ponder) (Sack leader, LB): 7.5 sacks · 14 solo tackles · 9 games; 4th in the NFL in sacks
- [Christian Elliss](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/christian-elliss) (Tackle leader, LB): 1.5 sacks · 32 solo tackles · 9 games; 34th in the NFL in solo tackles
  - No. 32 Connor Rogers, Oct 22, 2026: Christian Ellis logged full practices. He's questionable. I think he'll play. (not settled yet)
- [Drew Lock](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/drew-lock) (Starting QB, QB): 597 passing yards · 5 TD, 0 INT · 71.1% completions · 3 games; 36th in the NFL in passing yards
  - No. 10 Shanna McCarriston, Nov 13, 2026: Sam Darnold is sidelined, leaving Drew Lock to run things for a second straight week (Week 10 vs. Raiders) (not settled yet)
  - No. 18 Carter Bahns, Nov 9, 2026: Drew Lock has a good chance to recover enough from his oblique injury to play against the Las Vegas Raiders in Week 10. (not settled yet)
- [Emanuel Wilson](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/emanuel-wilson) (RB1, RB): 403 rushing yards on 111 carries · 4 TD · 6 catches for 65 · 7 games; 21st in the NFL in rushing yards
  - No. 23 Jordan Dajani, Oct 3, 2026: Emanuel Wilson to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
  - No. 60 Jared Dubin, Oct 15, 2026: Emanuel Wilson to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
- [Jaxon Smith-Njigba](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jaxon-smith-njigba) (WR1, WR): 71 catches for 1,036 yards · 9 TD · 9 games; 1st in the NFL in receiving yards
  - No. 15 Mike Florio, Oct 4, 2026: Jaxon Smith-Njigba to win NFL Offensive Player of the Year (not settled yet)
  - No. 24 Rich Hribar, Sep 7, 2026: Jaxon Smith-Njigba to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
- [AJ Barner](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/aj-barner) (TE1, TE): 23 catches for 210 yards · 1 TD · 9 games; 120th in the NFL in receiving yards
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Aug 23, 2026: AJ Barner to outplay his draft cost (late-round) (not settled yet)
- [Byron Murphy II](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/byron-murphy-ii) (Sack leader, DT): 4 sacks · 13 solo tackles · 9 games; 30th in the NFL in sacks
  - No. 22 Dan Graziano, Sep 6, 2026: Byron Murphy II to sign a new deal with Seattle Seahawks (not settled yet)
  - No. 26 Bucky Brooks, Sep 3, 2026: Byron Murphy II to make All-Pro (not settled yet)
- Ernest Jones (Tackle leader, LB): 3 sacks · 44 solo tackles · 1 interception · 9 games; 4th in the NFL in solo tackles

---

The room is counted in pundits, each one's latest call standing. Accuracy is out of 100; the naive pick is the home team.
The week: https://missedtakes.co/nfl/games/2026-week-1
Method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology
