# Patriots vs Lions prediction: 28 of 32 pundits pick the Lions

Week 10, 2026: New England Patriots at Detroit Lions

Nov 15, 2026 · not played yet · 35 calls on record · updated Nov 14, 2:24 PM ET

Who do pundits pick in Patriots vs Lions? Of 32 pundits with a call on record, 28 take the Lions and 4 take the Patriots. 8 named a score; the median has the Lions by 6.5. Every call is graded once the game is final.

Picks by outlet. Each pundit counted once, at the outlet or show their latest call ran on. An outlet is listed when two or more of its pundits have picked.

- [Sports Illustrated](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/sports-illustrated): Lions 8, Patriots 2
- [First Things First (podcast)](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/first-things-first-podcast): all 5 Lions
- [CBS Sports](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/cbs-sports): all 4 Lions
- [The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-rich-eisen-show-podcast): all 3 Lions
- [Chris Simms Unbuttoned (podcast)](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/chris-simms-unbuttoned-podcast): Lions 1, Patriots 1
- [Football 301 with Nate Tice (podcast)](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/football-301-with-nate-tice-podcast): all 2 Lions
- [The Richard Sherman Podcast (podcast)](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-richard-sherman-podcast-podcast): all 2 Lions

The other 4 pundits write or talk elsewhere: Lions 3, Patriots 1.

Page: https://missedtakes.co/nfl/games/2026-week-10-patriots-at-lions

Picks:

- [Ethan Hurwitz](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/ethan-hurwitz) took the Patriots, Patriots 29–Lions 27; said Nov 14, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; not settled yet — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/6e1fbe4c-a262-4274-860b-c4aa5db92122
- [Zac Ventola](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/zac-ventola) took the Lions, Lions 37–Patriots 30; said Nov 14, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; not settled yet — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/649ef9e5-de6c-4bac-b474-b0537882dffd
- [Nick Wright](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/nick-wright) took the Lions; said Nov 13, 2026; on First Things First (podcast); not settled yet — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/62cf7f07-a58c-4d8a-bc3f-4501125a29b9
- [Greg Jennings](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/greg-jennings) took the Lions; said Nov 13, 2026; on First Things First (podcast); not settled yet — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9b142128-1e74-4c65-9072-d6d26bb3ebf5
- [Chris Broussard](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/chris-broussard) took the Lions; said Nov 13, 2026; on First Things First (podcast); not settled yet — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3066e5fc-88d3-4cae-932d-b1c1a07af336
- [Kevin Wildes](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/kevin-wildes) took the Lions; said Nov 13, 2026; on First Things First (podcast); not settled yet — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9e9fa367-f297-43db-b745-af9c1caa39a0
- [Danny Parkins](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/danny-parkins) took the Lions; said Nov 13, 2026; on First Things First (podcast); not settled yet — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f5e1f995-02e9-4071-bb76-8177307cb817
- [Gregg Rosenthal](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/gregg-rosenthal) took the Lions; said Nov 13, 2026; on Around the NFL (podcast); not settled yet — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/10118c19-5b4d-47b7-97cb-f208b7f370c6
- [Connor Rogers](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/connor-rogers) took the Lions; said Nov 13, 2026; on Chris Simms Unbuttoned (podcast); not settled yet — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/cff2902f-3aaa-4912-9d49-a005e3f2d93e
- [Chris Simms](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/chris-simms) took the Patriots, Patriots 27–Lions 24; said Nov 13, 2026; on Chris Simms Unbuttoned (podcast); not settled yet — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c75c9c0a-9fed-42f3-bd58-3afae1afa8e0
- [Mitchell Eisenstein](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/mitchell-eisenstein) took the Lions, Lions 31–Patriots 26; said Nov 13, 2026; on The Richard Sherman Podcast (podcast); not settled yet — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/db187fd1-9f1b-4682-a0c6-bd4700ca5380
- [Chris Long](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/chris-long) took the Lions; said Nov 13, 2026; on Green Light with Chris Long (podcast); not settled yet — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/bdd5a611-ca40-4248-9b7c-3444840975da
- [Matt Harmon](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/matt-harmon) took the Lions; said Nov 12, 2026; on Football 301 with Nate Tice (podcast); not settled yet — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/6e787ed6-3832-4ab8-bc64-ad4c42ce469f
- [Nate Tice](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/nate-tice) took the Lions; said Nov 12, 2026; on Football 301 with Nate Tice (podcast); not settled yet — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/75e16f11-790e-4b2b-bf75-3b4de810de62
- [Sam Monson](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/sam-monson) took the Lions; said Nov 12, 2026; on Check the Mic (podcast); not settled yet — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f4cb7a1e-1380-4f08-b39b-1432b97db846
- [Pete Prisco](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/pete-prisco) took the Lions, Lions 30–Patriots 24; said Nov 12, 2026; on CBS Sports; not settled yet — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e142b910-0967-4de9-9429-c342bc079205
- [Jordan Dajani](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jordan-dajani) took the Lions, Lions 28–Patriots 20; said Nov 12, 2026; on CBS Sports; not settled yet — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e2531f3a-2140-40ac-9831-5ff8224e090f
- [Jared Dubin](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jared-dubin) took the Lions, Lions 30–Patriots 21; said Nov 12, 2026; on CBS Sports; not settled yet — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/08184feb-e542-42cf-8898-8074d73513d7
- [Eva Geitheim](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/eva-geitheim) took the Lions; said Nov 12, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; not settled yet — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c011abef-0b18-41ad-acad-6a67dfbd41fd
- [Mike Kadlick](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/mike-kadlick) took the Lions; said Nov 12, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; not settled yet — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/977f64b3-9ba2-42ef-a3cf-276f3a1d7944
- [Gilberto Manzano](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/gilberto-manzano) took the Lions; said Nov 12, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; not settled yet — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/84ac6f54-01af-44ab-b97a-f742b2aa3d39
- [Conor Orr](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/conor-orr) took the Lions; said Nov 12, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; not settled yet — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ba669379-043c-448a-a167-2f2e3695a52e
- [Mitch Goldich](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/mitch-goldich) took the Lions; said Nov 12, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; not settled yet — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/706c628f-bb25-4892-b33e-84c81bfb6e4a
- [Matt Verderame](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/matt-verderame) took the Lions; said Nov 12, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; not settled yet — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dfeb0994-1abf-414f-b153-d01b6e4e5365
- [Albert Breer](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/albert-breer) took the Lions; said Nov 12, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; not settled yet — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fdc16abc-9ae2-4bf4-a327-8e9d9ae283b6
- [John Pluym](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/john-pluym) took the Patriots; said Nov 12, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; not settled yet — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8a940f59-49e6-4c02-8e75-60671656da04
- [Connor "Boston Connor" Campbell](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/connor-boston-connor-campbell) took the Patriots; said Nov 11, 2026; on The Pat McAfee Show (podcast); not settled yet — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/26923db9-dd4e-4e4c-b7df-314e7f93f679
- [Richard Sherman](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/richard-sherman) took the Lions; said Nov 11, 2026; on The Richard Sherman Podcast (podcast); not settled yet — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/39e06dc2-2618-41f3-847d-0200aefe889a
- [Mitchell Eisenstein](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/mitchell-eisenstein) took the Lions, Lions 31–Patriots 26; said Nov 11, 2026; on The Richard Sherman Podcast (podcast); not settled yet — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/93ea028c-a732-43f2-aab4-dc35e873617c
- [Pete Prisco](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/pete-prisco) took the Lions, Lions 30–Patriots 24; said Nov 11, 2026; on CBS Sports; not settled yet — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/db757c4e-a3c5-4ad4-aae9-7ee84dd2edca
- [Mitchell Eisenstein](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/mitchell-eisenstein) took the Lions, Lions 31–Patriots 26; said Nov 11, 2026; on The Richard Sherman Podcast (podcast); not settled yet — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7a010aba-45a2-44f3-bf93-4623a68fea52
- [John Breech](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/john-breech) took the Lions, Lions 34–Patriots 27; said Nov 10, 2026; on CBS Sports; not settled yet — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/6cf76e62-6135-4cd9-9ac8-0c5294b6a759
- [Mark Wahlberg](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/mark-wahlberg) took the Lions; said Sep 3, 2026; on The Rich Eisen Show (podcast); not settled yet — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/14761919-29fa-4eda-a3d4-ba0f76f399c2
- [Rich Eisen](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/rich-eisen) took the Lions; said May 13, 2026; on The Rich Eisen Show (podcast); not settled yet — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/04528a2d-b0b7-4367-b629-a1cdde3716f3
- [Chris Brockman](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/chris-brockman) took the Lions; said May 13, 2026; on The Rich Eisen Show (podcast); not settled yet — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ecf298ec-5674-4848-84f0-040409c29bdd

## How they come in

The Patriots are 5-4; the Lions are 6-2 and have won 4 straight. On win totals, 17 pundits put the Patriots at 10 wins on average, and 13 pundits put the Lions at 10.4 wins on average.

Venue: FC Bayern Munich Stadium, Munich, Germany

- New England Patriots: 5-4 (211 scored, 207 allowed)
  - Last games: L 27-45 vs Packers; W 24-19 at Dolphins; L 24-30 at Bears
  - Unit ranks this season: offense 11th, defense 17th of 32
  - Last season: 14-3
  - Win-total calls: 18 pundits, average 10, 9 to 17 wins
  - The side most pundits took won 8 of 9 Patriots games
- Detroit Lions: 6-2, won 4 straight (222 scored, 189 allowed)
  - Last games: W 19-9 at Dolphins; W 19-15 vs Vikings; W 20-17 vs Packers
  - Unit ranks this season: offense 5th, defense 11th of 32
  - Last season: 9-8
  - Win-total calls: 13 pundits, average 10.4, 3 to 12 wins
  - The side most pundits took won 7 of 8 Lions games

## Players to watch

Each club's starting quarterback, leading rusher, receiver and tight end, and its sack and tackle leaders, with their 2026 regular season so far, with the latest call on each from a pundit ranked on the leaderboard whose record beats the naive pick, made since the 2026 schedule came out ("No." is that rank). Leaderboard: https://missedtakes.co/nfl/leaderboard

- [Drake Maye](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/drake-maye) (Starting QB, QB): 2,282 passing yards · 18 TD, 11 INT · 65.4% completions · 219 rushing yards · 9 games; 6th in the NFL in passing yards
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Oct 9, 2026: Drake Maye to finish QB1 (1–12) at his position, by fantasy points (not settled yet)
  - No. 12 Derek Brown, Sep 6, 2026: Drake Maye to finish top 5 at his position, by fantasy points (not settled yet)
- [Rhamondre Stevenson](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/rhamondre-stevenson) (RB1, RB): 399 rushing yards on 102 carries · 4 TD · 26 catches for 258 · 9 games; 22nd in the NFL in rushing yards
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Nov 13, 2026: Stevenson is dealing with a knee tendon issue. It won't require surgery, but Stevenson is expected to miss New England's Week 10 game against Detroit (not settled yet)
  - No. 12 Derek Brown, Sep 8, 2026: Rhamondre Stevenson to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
- [DeMario Douglas](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/demario-douglas) (WR1, WR): 31 catches for 434 yards · 4 TD · 9 games; 31st in the NFL in receiving yards
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Nov 2, 2026: DeMario Douglas to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
  - No. 33 Alain Poupart, Oct 31, 2026: DeMario Douglas to be 3rd on the depth chart (not settled yet)
- [Hunter Henry](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/hunter-henry) (TE1, TE): 32 catches for 361 yards · 2 TD · 9 games; 49th in the NFL in receiving yards
- [Elijah Ponder](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/elijah-ponder) (Sack leader, LB): 7.5 sacks · 14 solo tackles · 9 games; 4th in the NFL in sacks
- [Christian Elliss](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/christian-elliss) (Tackle leader, LB): 1.5 sacks · 32 solo tackles · 9 games; 34th in the NFL in solo tackles
  - No. 32 Connor Rogers, Oct 22, 2026: Christian Ellis logged full practices. He's questionable. I think he'll play. (not settled yet)
- [Jared Goff](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jared-goff) (Starting QB, QB): 2,134 passing yards · 15 TD, 2 INT · 67.8% completions · 8 games; 9th in the NFL in passing yards
  - No. 4 Bryan DeArdo, Nov 3, 2026: Jared Goff to stay with Detroit Lions (not settled yet)
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Sep 6, 2026: Jared Goff to outplay his draft cost (An 11th round pick in real time ADP) (not settled yet)
- [Jahmyr Gibbs](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jahmyr-gibbs) (RB1, RB): 847 rushing yards on 177 carries · 11 TD · 34 catches for 285 · 8 games; 3rd in the NFL in rushing yards
  - No. 12 Derek Brown, Sep 7, 2026: Jahmyr Gibbs to finish top 1 at his position, by fantasy points (not settled yet)
  - No. 16 Mike Kadlick, Nov 12, 2026: Jahmyr Gibbs to win Offensive Player of the Year (not settled yet)
- [Amon-Ra St. Brown](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/amon-ra-st-brown) (WR1, WR): 61 catches for 657 yards · 5 TD · 8 games; 11th in the NFL in receiving yards
  - No. 26 Bucky Brooks, Aug 17, 2026: Amon-Ra St. Brown to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
  - No. 30 Andrew Erickson, Sep 16, 2026: Amon-Ra St. Brown to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
- [Sam LaPorta](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/sam-laporta) (TE1, TE): 35 catches for 399 yards · 3 TD · 8 games; 36th in the NFL in receiving yards
  - No. 4 Bryan DeArdo, Oct 21, 2026: Sam LaPorta to sign a new deal (not settled yet)
  - No. 18 Carter Bahns, Sep 12, 2026: Sam LaPorta to move to Detroit Lions (not settled yet)
- [Alim McNeill](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/alim-mcneill) (Sack leader, DT): 5.5 sacks · 8 solo tackles · 8 games; 12th in the NFL in sacks
- [Jack Campbell](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jack-campbell) (Tackle leader, LB): 30 solo tackles · 7 games; 48th in the NFL in solo tackles

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The room is counted in pundits, each one's latest call standing. Accuracy is out of 100; the naive pick is the home team.
The week: https://missedtakes.co/nfl/games/2026-week-10
Method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology
