# Chiefs vs Bills prediction: pundits split 1–1

Week 12, 2026: Kansas City Chiefs at Buffalo Bills

Nov 27, 2026 · not played yet · 2 calls on record · updated Oct 9, 5:33 PM ET

Who do pundits pick in Chiefs vs Bills? Of 2 pundits with a call on record, the room is split, 1 each. Every call is graded once the game is final.

Page: https://missedtakes.co/nfl/games/2026-week-12-chiefs-at-bills

Picks:

- [Tucker Franklin](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/tucker-franklin) took the Chiefs; said Oct 9, 2026; on KC Sports Network (podcast); not settled yet — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ac0530aa-a2f6-42c8-918c-c33d51e17d31
- [Nick Wright](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/nick-wright) took the Bills; said Sep 2, 2026; on What's Wright? with Nick Wright (podcast); not settled yet — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d726dad7-b84e-421c-8274-380142c4ff2e

## How they come in

The Chiefs are 6-2; the Bills are 7-1 and have won 4 straight. On win totals, 8 pundits put the Chiefs at 10.4 wins on average, and 13 pundits put the Bills at 11.4 wins on average.

Venue: Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, NY

- Kansas City Chiefs: 6-2 (202 scored, 143 allowed)
  - Last games: W 35-12 vs Jets; L 24-28 at Broncos; L 3-20 at Seahawks
  - Unit ranks this season: offense 4th, defense 8th of 32
  - Last season: 6-11
  - Win-total calls: 8 pundits, average 10.4, 9 to 13 wins
  - The side most pundits took won 6 of 8 Chiefs games
- Buffalo Bills: 7-1, won 4 straight (256 scored, 187 allowed)
  - Last games: W 23-6 at Vikings; W 36-10 vs Ravens; W 33-30 at Raiders
  - Unit ranks this season: offense 1st, defense 12th of 32
  - Last season: 12-5
  - Win-total calls: 13 pundits, average 11.4, 10 to 14 wins
  - The side most pundits took won 5 of 8 Bills games

## Players to watch

Each club's starting quarterback, leading rusher, receiver and tight end, and its sack and tackle leaders, with their 2026 regular season so far, with the latest call on each from a pundit ranked on the leaderboard whose record beats the naive pick, made since the 2026 schedule came out ("No." is that rank). Leaderboard: https://missedtakes.co/nfl/leaderboard

- [Patrick Mahomes](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/patrick-mahomes) (Starting QB, QB): 2,037 passing yards · 14 TD, 4 INT · 67.3% completions · 8 games; 11th in the NFL in passing yards
  - No. 4 Bryan DeArdo, Nov 3, 2026: Patrick Mahomes to stay with Kansas City Chiefs (not settled yet)
  - No. 5 Tom Pelissero, Sep 4, 2026: Patrick Mahomes to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
- [Kenneth Walker III](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kenneth-walker-iii) (RB1, RB): 872 rushing yards on 159 carries · 11 TD · 26 catches for 172 · 8 games; 2nd in the NFL in rushing yards
  - No. 4 Bryan DeArdo, Oct 7, 2026: Kenneth Walker III to win MVP (not settled yet)
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Sep 26, 2026: Kenneth Walker III to finish top 4 at his position, by fantasy points (not settled yet)
- [Josh Downs](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/josh-downs) (WR1, WR): 33 catches for 354 yards · 1 TD · 9 games; 51st in the NFL in receiving yards
  - No. 4 Bryan DeArdo, Nov 6, 2026: Josh Downs to move to Pittsburgh Steelers (not settled yet)
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Oct 29, 2026: Josh Downs to move to Los Angeles Rams (not settled yet)
- [Travis Kelce](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/travis-kelce) (TE1, TE): 33 catches for 482 yards · 2 TD · 8 games; 26th in the NFL in receiving yards
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Sep 26, 2026: Travis Kelce to finish top 8 at his position, by fantasy points (not settled yet)
  - No. 10 Shanna McCarriston, Oct 4, 2026: Travis Kelce to record 78 receptions (not settled yet)
- [George Karlaftis](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/george-karlaftis) (Sack leader, DE): 4 sacks · 14 solo tackles · 1 interception · 8 games; 30th in the NFL in sacks
  - No. 23 Jordan Dajani, Sep 3, 2026: George Karlaftis to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
- [Nick Bolton](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/nick-bolton) (Tackle leader, LB): 38 solo tackles · 8 games; 11th in the NFL in solo tackles
- [Josh Allen](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/josh-allen) (Starting QB, QB): 2,027 passing yards · 12 TD, 6 INT · 66.1% completions · 285 rushing yards · 8 games; 12th in the NFL in passing yards
  - No. 2 Joe Marino, Sep 7, 2026: Josh Allen to finish top 1 at his position, by passing yards (not settled yet)
  - No. 4 Bryan DeArdo, Sep 23, 2026: Josh Allen to win MVP (not settled yet)
- [James Cook](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/james-cook) (RB1, RB): 814 rushing yards on 169 carries · 8 TD · 12 catches for 110 · 8 games; 5th in the NFL in rushing yards
  - No. 2 Joe Marino, Aug 28, 2026: James Cook to make the roster (scored 100 out of 100)
  - No. 12 Derek Brown, Sep 1, 2026: James Cook to finish top 3 at his position, by fantasy points (not settled yet)
- [Khalil Shakir](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/khalil-shakir) (WR1, WR): 31 catches for 412 yards · 1 TD · 8 games; 35th in the NFL in receiving yards
  - No. 2 Joe Marino, Aug 28, 2026: Khalil Shakir to make the roster (scored 100 out of 100)
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Sep 21, 2026: Khalil Shakir to be 2nd on the depth chart (not settled yet)
- [Dalton Kincaid](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/dalton-kincaid) (TE1, TE): 30 catches for 429 yards · 2 TD · 8 games; 32nd in the NFL in receiving yards
  - No. 2 Joe Marino, Aug 28, 2026: Dalton Kincaid to make the roster (scored 100 out of 100)
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Aug 11, 2026: Dalton Kincaid to fall short of his draft cost (TE11, Overall RK114 | ECR vs. ADP: -14) (not settled yet)
- [Greg Rousseau](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/greg-rousseau) (Sack leader, LB): 8 sacks · 17 solo tackles · 8 games; 2nd in the NFL in sacks
  - No. 2 Joe Marino, Aug 28, 2026: Greg Rousseau to make the roster (scored 100 out of 100)
- [Amani Hooker](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/amani-hooker) (Tackle leader, S): 32 solo tackles · 5 interceptions · 7 games; 34th in the NFL in solo tackles
  - No. 23 Jordan Dajani, Oct 29, 2026: Amani Hooker to move — “could be moved if they found a good offer” (not settled yet)

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The room is counted in pundits, each one's latest call standing. Accuracy is out of 100; the naive pick is the home team.
The week: https://missedtakes.co/nfl/games/2026-week-12
Method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology
