# Patriots vs Chiefs prediction: all 3 pundits pick the Chiefs

Week 15, 2026: New England Patriots at Kansas City Chiefs

Dec 22, 2026 · not played yet · 3 calls on record · updated Sep 4, 9:11 AM ET

Who do pundits pick in Patriots vs Chiefs? Of 3 pundits with a call on record, all 3 take the Chiefs. Every call is graded once the game is final.

Page: https://missedtakes.co/nfl/games/2026-week-15-patriots-at-chiefs

Picks:

- [Mark Wahlberg](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/mark-wahlberg) took the Chiefs; said Sep 3, 2026; on The Rich Eisen Show (podcast); not settled yet — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/14761919-29fa-4eda-a3d4-ba0f76f399c2
- [Nick Wright](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/nick-wright) took the Chiefs; said Sep 2, 2026; on What's Wright? with Nick Wright (podcast); not settled yet — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d726dad7-b84e-421c-8274-380142c4ff2e
- [Chris Broussard](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/chris-broussard) took the Chiefs; said Sep 1, 2026; on First Things First (podcast); not settled yet — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/6f93579b-ba71-4cb8-b3f5-1c18a874989e

## How they come in

The Patriots are 5-4; the Chiefs are 6-2. On win totals, 17 pundits put the Patriots at 10 wins on average, and 8 pundits put the Chiefs at 10.4 wins on average.

Venue: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri

- New England Patriots: 5-4 (211 scored, 207 allowed)
  - Last games: L 27-45 vs Packers; W 24-19 at Dolphins; L 24-30 at Bears
  - Unit ranks this season: offense 11th, defense 17th of 32
  - Last season: 14-3
  - Win-total calls: 18 pundits, average 10, 9 to 17 wins
  - The side most pundits took won 8 of 9 Patriots games
- Kansas City Chiefs: 6-2 (202 scored, 143 allowed)
  - Last games: W 35-12 vs Jets; L 24-28 at Broncos; L 3-20 at Seahawks
  - Unit ranks this season: offense 4th, defense 8th of 32
  - Last season: 6-11
  - Win-total calls: 8 pundits, average 10.4, 9 to 13 wins
  - The side most pundits took won 6 of 8 Chiefs games

## Players to watch

Each club's starting quarterback, leading rusher, receiver and tight end, and its sack and tackle leaders, with their 2026 regular season so far, with the latest call on each from a pundit ranked on the leaderboard whose record beats the naive pick, made since the 2026 schedule came out ("No." is that rank). Leaderboard: https://missedtakes.co/nfl/leaderboard

- [Drake Maye](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/drake-maye) (Starting QB, QB): 2,282 passing yards · 18 TD, 11 INT · 65.4% completions · 219 rushing yards · 9 games; 6th in the NFL in passing yards
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Oct 9, 2026: Drake Maye to finish QB1 (1–12) at his position, by fantasy points (not settled yet)
  - No. 12 Derek Brown, Sep 6, 2026: Drake Maye to finish top 5 at his position, by fantasy points (not settled yet)
- [Rhamondre Stevenson](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/rhamondre-stevenson) (RB1, RB): 399 rushing yards on 102 carries · 4 TD · 26 catches for 258 · 9 games; 22nd in the NFL in rushing yards
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Nov 13, 2026: Stevenson is dealing with a knee tendon issue. It won't require surgery, but Stevenson is expected to miss New England's Week 10 game against Detroit (not settled yet)
  - No. 12 Derek Brown, Sep 8, 2026: Rhamondre Stevenson to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
- [DeMario Douglas](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/demario-douglas) (WR1, WR): 31 catches for 434 yards · 4 TD · 9 games; 31st in the NFL in receiving yards
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Nov 2, 2026: DeMario Douglas to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
  - No. 33 Alain Poupart, Oct 31, 2026: DeMario Douglas to be 3rd on the depth chart (not settled yet)
- [Hunter Henry](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/hunter-henry) (TE1, TE): 32 catches for 361 yards · 2 TD · 9 games; 49th in the NFL in receiving yards
- [Elijah Ponder](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/elijah-ponder) (Sack leader, LB): 7.5 sacks · 14 solo tackles · 9 games; 4th in the NFL in sacks
- [Christian Elliss](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/christian-elliss) (Tackle leader, LB): 1.5 sacks · 32 solo tackles · 9 games; 34th in the NFL in solo tackles
  - No. 32 Connor Rogers, Oct 22, 2026: Christian Ellis logged full practices. He's questionable. I think he'll play. (not settled yet)
- [Patrick Mahomes](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/patrick-mahomes) (Starting QB, QB): 2,037 passing yards · 14 TD, 4 INT · 67.3% completions · 8 games; 11th in the NFL in passing yards
  - No. 4 Bryan DeArdo, Nov 3, 2026: Patrick Mahomes to stay with Kansas City Chiefs (not settled yet)
  - No. 5 Tom Pelissero, Sep 4, 2026: Patrick Mahomes to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
- [Kenneth Walker III](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kenneth-walker-iii) (RB1, RB): 872 rushing yards on 159 carries · 11 TD · 26 catches for 172 · 8 games; 2nd in the NFL in rushing yards
  - No. 4 Bryan DeArdo, Oct 7, 2026: Kenneth Walker III to win MVP (not settled yet)
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Sep 26, 2026: Kenneth Walker III to finish top 4 at his position, by fantasy points (not settled yet)
- [Josh Downs](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/josh-downs) (WR1, WR): 33 catches for 354 yards · 1 TD · 9 games; 51st in the NFL in receiving yards
  - No. 4 Bryan DeArdo, Nov 6, 2026: Josh Downs to move to Pittsburgh Steelers (not settled yet)
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Oct 29, 2026: Josh Downs to move to Los Angeles Rams (not settled yet)
- [Travis Kelce](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/travis-kelce) (TE1, TE): 33 catches for 482 yards · 2 TD · 8 games; 26th in the NFL in receiving yards
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Sep 26, 2026: Travis Kelce to finish top 8 at his position, by fantasy points (not settled yet)
  - No. 10 Shanna McCarriston, Oct 4, 2026: Travis Kelce to record 78 receptions (not settled yet)
- [George Karlaftis](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/george-karlaftis) (Sack leader, DE): 4 sacks · 14 solo tackles · 1 interception · 8 games; 30th in the NFL in sacks
  - No. 23 Jordan Dajani, Sep 3, 2026: George Karlaftis to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
- [Nick Bolton](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/nick-bolton) (Tackle leader, LB): 38 solo tackles · 8 games; 11th in the NFL in solo tackles

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The room is counted in pundits, each one's latest call standing. Accuracy is out of 100; the naive pick is the home team.
The week: https://missedtakes.co/nfl/games/2026-week-15
Method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology
