# Colts vs Chiefs predictions, graded

Week 2, 2026: Indianapolis Colts at Kansas City Chiefs

Sep 21, 2026 · final: Colts 30, Chiefs 33 · 18 calls on record · updated Sep 30, 9:20 AM ET

Who do pundits pick in Colts vs Chiefs? Of 15 pundits with a call on record, all 15 take the Chiefs. 8 named a score; the median has the Chiefs by 7. The Chiefs won 33-30, so 15 of 15 had the winner. Their graded calls averaged 95 out of 100.

Picks by outlet. Each pundit counted once, at the outlet or show their latest call ran on. An outlet is listed when two or more of its pundits have picked.

- [CBS Sports](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/cbs-sports): all 4 Chiefs
- [Locked On Colts (podcast)](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/locked-on-colts-podcast): all 2 Chiefs
- [The Richard Sherman Podcast (podcast)](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-richard-sherman-podcast-podcast): all 2 Chiefs

The other 7 pundits write or talk elsewhere: all 7 Chiefs.

Page: https://missedtakes.co/nfl/games/2026-week-2-colts-at-chiefs

Picks:

- [Joshua Schulman](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/joshua-schulman) took the Chiefs; said Sep 19, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/688ed965-da9e-4ced-9e80-10e7c54d5f43
- [Nick Wright](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/nick-wright) took the Chiefs; said Sep 19, 2026; on What's Wright? with Nick Wright (podcast); scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2cdeee40-89bf-46f1-b5a1-1a2511dc01cd
- [Greg Jennings](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/greg-jennings) took the Chiefs; said Sep 18, 2026; on First Things First (podcast); scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/420d3e29-6224-43a2-8d68-b15c864838cd
- [Jake Arthur](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jake-arthur) took the Chiefs, Chiefs 27–Colts 23; said Sep 18, 2026; on Locked On Colts (podcast); scored 97.62 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 94.94) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ca7ab74e-ab34-4ed6-a77f-2c7e9f8c8c4d
- [Zach Hicks](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/zach-hicks) took the Chiefs, Chiefs 23–Colts 19; said Sep 18, 2026; on Locked On Colts (podcast); scored 97.62 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 94.94) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ddbaddad-c15e-4e6f-a6ac-f066de6cdc2a
- [Connor Rogers](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/connor-rogers) took the Chiefs; said Sep 18, 2026; on Chris Simms Unbuttoned (podcast); scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0c2a0048-cb74-4da9-8ef4-695cc6571cdf
- [Jared Dubin](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jared-dubin) took the Chiefs, Chiefs 21–Colts 17; said Sep 18, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 97.62 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 91.63) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2d7a391a-171e-4d38-abb6-3284a7670a86
- [Pete Prisco](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/pete-prisco) took the Chiefs, Chiefs 27–Colts 17; said Sep 18, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 83.33 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 91.63) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/29185ff4-dec4-498f-aa45-4ca2d72dcbe3
- [Nick Wright](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/nick-wright) took the Chiefs; said Sep 18, 2026; on What's Wright? with Nick Wright (podcast); scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/00ed9114-0e69-4e26-9fb2-4e5e3893c56e
- [Mike Florio](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/mike-florio) took the Chiefs; said Sep 17, 2026; on ProFootballTalk; scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/bb29858b-b39b-4a5d-a741-277bea26c901
- [Jared Dubin](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jared-dubin) took the Chiefs, Chiefs 21–Colts 17; said Sep 17, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 97.62 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 91.63) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9fc610de-6a6c-43c4-af7c-4c00c056d117
- [Jordan Dajani](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jordan-dajani) took the Chiefs, Chiefs 24–Colts 17; said Sep 17, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 90.48 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 91.63) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/655e3b13-48e3-4472-8e72-6742885b4641
- [Mitchell Eisenstein](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/mitchell-eisenstein) took the Chiefs; said Sep 17, 2026; on The Richard Sherman Podcast (podcast); scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5e7a2965-bd9c-4c78-81b8-cb9ff18f6520
- [Richard Sherman](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/richard-sherman) took the Chiefs, Chiefs 28–Colts 13; said Sep 17, 2026; on The Richard Sherman Podcast (podcast); scored 71.43 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 91.63) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8a2c5da4-3fba-43d7-82eb-dc25b81f245e
- [John Breech](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/john-breech) took the Chiefs, Chiefs 23–Colts 16; said Sep 15, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 90.48 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 91.63) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/eb6d274b-c294-4c3d-ba42-d3dee06c6e87
- [Matt Hamilton](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/matt-hamilton) took the Chiefs, Chiefs 24–Colts 14; said Sep 8, 2026; on KC Sports Network (podcast); scored 83.33 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 91.63) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e43b7185-22af-4821-a2ff-bff17e09eebc
- [Jarvis Landry](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jarvis-landry) took the Chiefs; said Sep 4, 2026; on The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast); scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8094129b-e6ba-407b-bc46-b857ce3893ee
- [Nick Wright](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/nick-wright) took the Chiefs; said Sep 2, 2026; on What's Wright? with Nick Wright (podcast); scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d726dad7-b84e-421c-8274-380142c4ff2e

## How they came in

The Colts are 0-1; the Chiefs are 1-0. On win totals, 8 pundits put the Colts at 7.6 wins on average, and 8 pundits put the Chiefs at 10.4 wins on average.

Venue: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri

- Indianapolis Colts: 0-1 (23 scored, 41 allowed)
  - Last games: L 23-41 vs Ravens
  - Unit ranks this season: offense 28th, defense 32nd of 32
  - Last season: 8-9
  - Win-total calls: 8 pundits, average 7.6, 5 to 9 wins
  - The side most pundits took won 1 of 1 Colts game
- Kansas City Chiefs: 1-0 (31 scored, 10 allowed)
  - Last games: W 31-10 vs Broncos
  - Unit ranks this season: offense 4th, defense 8th of 32
  - Last season: 6-11
  - Win-total calls: 8 pundits, average 10.4, 9 to 13 wins
  - The side most pundits took won 0 of 1 Chiefs game

## Players to watch

Each club's starting quarterback, leading rusher, receiver and tight end, and its sack and tackle leaders, with their 2026 regular season so far, with the latest call on each from a pundit ranked on the leaderboard whose record beats the naive pick, made since the 2026 schedule came out ("No." is that rank). Leaderboard: https://missedtakes.co/nfl/leaderboard

- [Daniel Jones](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/daniel-jones) (Starting QB, QB): 1,722 passing yards · 6 TD, 10 INT · 60.3% completions · 9 games; 19th in the NFL in passing yards
  - No. 15 Mike Florio, Nov 7, 2026: Daniel Jones to move to Minnesota Vikings (not settled yet)
  - No. 18 Carter Bahns, Oct 26, 2026: Daniel Jones to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
- [Jonathan Taylor](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jonathan-taylor) (RB1, RB): 656 rushing yards on 161 carries · 8 TD · 26 catches for 220 · 9 games; 8th in the NFL in rushing yards
  - No. 5 Tom Pelissero, Oct 30, 2026: Jonathan Taylor to stay with Indianapolis Colts (not settled yet)
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Nov 9, 2026: Jonathan Taylor to move — “the Colts will move him before the deadline” (not settled yet)
- [Laquon Treadwell](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/laquon-treadwell) (WR1, WR): 16 catches for 215 yards · 0 TD · 9 games; 117th in the NFL in receiving yards
  - No. 18 Carter Bahns, Aug 27, 2026: Laquon Treadwell to be cut (scored 0 out of 100)
  - No. 30 Andrew Erickson, Nov 11, 2026: Laquon Treadwell to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
- [Tyler Warren](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/tyler-warren) (TE1, TE): 38 catches for 275 yards · 2 TD · 7 games; 84th in the NFL in receiving yards
  - No. 12 Derek Brown, Sep 1, 2026: Tyler Warren to finish top 5 at his position, by fantasy points (not settled yet)
  - No. 23 Jordan Dajani, Aug 25, 2026: Tight end Tyler Warren is going to play a big role in the passing game (not settled yet)
- [Adetomiwa Adebawore](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/adetomiwa-adebawore) (Sack leader, DT): 4 sacks · 9 solo tackles · 7 games; 30th in the NFL in sacks
  - No. 28 Mike Renner, Oct 8, 2026: Adetomiwa Adebawore to sign a new deal (not settled yet)
- [Akeem Davis-Gaither](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/akeem-davis-gaither) (Tackle leader, LB): 32 solo tackles · 8 games; 34th in the NFL in solo tackles
  - No. 23 Jordan Dajani, Aug 25, 2026: Akeem Davis-Gaither to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
- [Patrick Mahomes](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/patrick-mahomes) (Starting QB, QB): 2,037 passing yards · 14 TD, 4 INT · 67.3% completions · 8 games; 11th in the NFL in passing yards
  - No. 4 Bryan DeArdo, Nov 3, 2026: Patrick Mahomes to stay with Kansas City Chiefs (not settled yet)
  - No. 5 Tom Pelissero, Sep 4, 2026: Patrick Mahomes to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
- [Kenneth Walker III](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kenneth-walker-iii) (RB1, RB): 872 rushing yards on 159 carries · 11 TD · 26 catches for 172 · 8 games; 2nd in the NFL in rushing yards
  - No. 4 Bryan DeArdo, Oct 7, 2026: Kenneth Walker III to win MVP (not settled yet)
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Sep 26, 2026: Kenneth Walker III to finish top 4 at his position, by fantasy points (not settled yet)
- [Josh Downs](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/josh-downs) (WR1, WR): 33 catches for 354 yards · 1 TD · 9 games; 51st in the NFL in receiving yards
  - No. 4 Bryan DeArdo, Nov 6, 2026: Josh Downs to move to Pittsburgh Steelers (not settled yet)
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Oct 29, 2026: Josh Downs to move to Los Angeles Rams (not settled yet)
- [Travis Kelce](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/travis-kelce) (TE1, TE): 33 catches for 482 yards · 2 TD · 8 games; 26th in the NFL in receiving yards
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Sep 26, 2026: Travis Kelce to finish top 8 at his position, by fantasy points (not settled yet)
  - No. 10 Shanna McCarriston, Oct 4, 2026: Travis Kelce to record 78 receptions (not settled yet)
- [George Karlaftis](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/george-karlaftis) (Sack leader, DE): 4 sacks · 14 solo tackles · 1 interception · 8 games; 30th in the NFL in sacks
  - No. 23 Jordan Dajani, Sep 3, 2026: George Karlaftis to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
- [Nick Bolton](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/nick-bolton) (Tackle leader, LB): 38 solo tackles · 8 games; 11th in the NFL in solo tackles

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The room is counted in pundits, each one's latest call standing. Accuracy is out of 100; the naive pick is the home team.
The week: https://missedtakes.co/nfl/games/2026-week-2
Method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology