# Falcons vs Packers predictions, graded

Week 3, 2026: Atlanta Falcons at Green Bay Packers

Sep 25, 2026 · final: Falcons 35, Packers 14 · 11 calls on record · updated Sep 29, 4:30 PM ET

Who do pundits pick in Falcons vs Packers? Of 9 pundits with a call on record, all 9 take the Packers. 7 named a score; the median has the Packers by 7. The Falcons won 35-14, so 0 of 9 had the winner. Their graded calls averaged 15 out of 100.

Picks by outlet. Each pundit counted once, at the outlet or show their latest call ran on. An outlet is listed when two or more of its pundits have picked.

- [CBS Sports](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/cbs-sports): all 5 Packers
- [Sports Illustrated](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/sports-illustrated): all 2 Packers

The other 2 pundits write or talk elsewhere: all 2 Packers.

Page: https://missedtakes.co/nfl/games/2026-week-3-falcons-at-packers

Picks:

- [Chris Simms](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/chris-simms) took the Packers, Packers 20–Falcons 16; said Sep 24, 2026; on Chris Simms Unbuttoned (podcast); scored 9.52 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 2.08) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b12420c5-837c-4a24-8a8e-c74b10cc697c
- [Mike Kadlick](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/mike-kadlick) took the Packers, Packers 10–Falcons 7; said Sep 24, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; scored 7.14 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e80b2d86-5533-4a14-b40a-9de75d1883bc
- [Jared Dubin](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jared-dubin) took the Packers, Packers 23–Falcons 13; said Sep 24, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 23.81 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7d0957a4-4d45-4f24-b6f9-a848eb47a374
- [Jared Dubin](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jared-dubin) took the Packers, Packers 23–Falcons 13; said Sep 24, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 23.81 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fe04828a-d532-414c-a58a-54f6505f2263
- [Jordan Dajani](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jordan-dajani) took the Packers, Packers 24–Falcons 17; said Sep 24, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 16.67 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c96aaa6d-2d0c-41cc-a9f7-c21ac21886ac
- [Richard Sherman](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/richard-sherman) took the Packers; said Sep 24, 2026; on The Richard Sherman Podcast (podcast); scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c2102f61-711d-4041-af08-065e95ccaf03
- [Tyler Sullivan](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/tyler-sullivan) took the Packers, Packers 26–Falcons 21; said Sep 23, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 11.9 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e4b11b44-d359-4027-a72c-87833f5ff6e3
- [Pete Prisco](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/pete-prisco) took the Packers, Packers 27–Falcons 17; said Sep 23, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 23.81 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3eb02dfa-79dd-43a1-87d8-db7e5140af6c
- [John Breech](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/john-breech) took the Packers, Packers 27–Falcons 13; said Sep 22, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 33.33 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c21157cd-927c-43dc-98a2-60f4224ba22e
- [Bill Huber](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/bill-huber) took the Packers; said Sep 13, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2df248b5-ab27-436f-ae3f-7b2ccb53ade6

## How they came in

The Falcons are 0-2 and have lost 2 straight; the Packers are 1-1. On win totals, 9 pundits put the Falcons at 6.1 wins on average, and 18 pundits put the Packers at 9.1 wins on average.

Venue: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, Wisconsin

- Atlanta Falcons: 0-2, lost 2 straight (16 scored, 54 allowed)
  - Last games: L 3-34 vs Panthers; L 13-20 at Steelers
  - Unit ranks this season: offense 20th, defense 20th of 32
  - Last season: 8-9
  - Win-total calls: 9 pundits, average 6.1, 2 to 9 wins
  - The side most pundits took won 2 of 2 Falcons games
- Green Bay Packers: 1-1 (42 scored, 56 allowed)
  - Last games: W 20-17 at Jets; L 22-39 at Vikings
  - Unit ranks this season: offense 16th, defense 5th of 32
  - Last season: 9-7-1
  - Win-total calls: 19 pundits, average 9.1, 3 to 17 wins
  - The side most pundits took won 1 of 1 Packers game

## Players to watch

Each club's starting quarterback, leading rusher, receiver and tight end, and its sack and tackle leaders, with their 2026 regular season so far, with the latest call on each from a pundit ranked on the leaderboard whose record beats the naive pick, made since the 2026 schedule came out ("No." is that rank). Leaderboard: https://missedtakes.co/nfl/leaderboard

- [Michael Penix Jr.](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/michael-penix-jr) (Starting QB, QB): 1,444 passing yards · 10 TD, 6 INT · 62.3% completions · 7 games; 26th in the NFL in passing yards
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Sep 21, 2026: Michael Penix Jr. to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
  - No. 10 Shanna McCarriston, Sep 10, 2026: Michael Penix Jr. to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
- [Bijan Robinson](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/bijan-robinson) (RB1, RB): 880 rushing yards on 169 carries · 6 TD · 31 catches for 250 · 9 games; 1st in the NFL in rushing yards
  - No. 4 Bryan DeArdo, Oct 10, 2026: Bijan Robinson to record 1,361 rushing yards (not settled yet)
  - No. 12 Derek Brown, Sep 7, 2026: Bijan Robinson to finish top 2 at his position, by fantasy points (not settled yet)
- [Drake London](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/drake-london) (WR1, WR): 44 catches for 692 yards · 1 TD · 9 games; 8th in the NFL in receiving yards
  - No. 12 Derek Brown, Sep 26, 2026: He's wide receiver one. Where you want to put him in wide receiver one is fine by me. (not settled yet)
  - No. 30 Andrew Erickson, Sep 16, 2026: Drake London to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
- [Kyle Pitts](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kyle-pitts) (TE1, TE): 25 catches for 220 yards · 4 TD · 9 games; 113th in the NFL in receiving yards
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Sep 5, 2026: Kyle Pitts to be 2nd on the depth chart (not settled yet)
- [Za'Darius Smith](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/za-darius-smith) (Sack leader, DE): 4.5 sacks · 6 solo tackles · 6 games; 22nd in the NFL in sacks
- [Kendal Daniels](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kendal-daniels) (Tackle leader, LB): 1 sack · 40 solo tackles · 1 interception · 9 games; 8th in the NFL in solo tackles
- [Jordan Love](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jordan-love) (Starting QB, QB): 2,618 passing yards · 19 TD, 6 INT · 63.0% completions · 9 games; 1st in the NFL in passing yards
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Aug 28, 2026: Jordan Love to finish top 10 at his position, by passing yards (not settled yet)
  - No. 12 Derek Brown, Sep 2, 2026: Jordan Love to finish top 12 at his position, by fantasy points (not settled yet)
- [Kaleb Johnson](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kaleb-johnson) (RB1, RB): 172 rushing yards on 42 carries · 1 TD · 1 catch for 10 · 7 games; 57th in the NFL in rushing yards
  - No. 17 Nate Tice, Oct 1, 2026: Kaleb Johnson to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
- [Christian Watson](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/christian-watson) (WR1, WR): 49 catches for 879 yards · 7 TD · 9 games; 3rd in the NFL in receiving yards
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Nov 6, 2026: Christian Watson has been practicing in pads this week, and it seems as if he'll be good to go for the Packers' road game against the Patriots on Sunday. (not settled yet)
  - No. 12 Derek Brown, Sep 12, 2026: Christian Watson to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
- [Tucker Kraft](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/tucker-kraft) (TE1, TE): 36 catches for 351 yards · 3 TD · 9 games; 53rd in the NFL in receiving yards
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Aug 30, 2026: Tucker Kraft to outplay his draft cost (a sixth-round ADP) (not settled yet)
  - No. 59 Bill Huber, Sep 13, 2026: Tucker Kraft to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
- [Lukas Van Ness](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/lukas-van-ness) (Sack leader, LB): 4.5 sacks · 19 solo tackles · 9 games; 22nd in the NFL in sacks
  - No. 59 Bill Huber, Nov 14, 2026: Backs can be tricky, but Van Ness must be fine. Otherwise, the Packers would have added Arron Mosby or Nyjalik Kelly to an edge group with a limited depth chart... (Sunday's NFC North game against the Minnesota Vikings) (not settled yet)
- [Evan Williams](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/evan-williams) (Tackle leader, S): 1 sack · 47 solo tackles · 3 interceptions · 9 games; 3rd in the NFL in solo tackles
  - No. 51 Pete Prisco, Aug 7, 2026: Evan Williams to make All-Pro (not settled yet)
  - No. 59 Bill Huber, Aug 28, 2026: Evan Williams to make the roster (scored 100 out of 100)

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The room is counted in pundits, each one's latest call standing. Accuracy is out of 100; the naive pick is the home team.
The week: https://missedtakes.co/nfl/games/2026-week-3
Method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology
