# Texans vs Colts predictions, graded

Week 3, 2026: Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts

Sep 27, 2026 · final: Texans 17, Colts 19 · 11 calls on record · updated Sep 29, 4:30 PM ET

Who do pundits pick in Texans vs Colts? Of 10 pundits with a call on record, 9 take the Texans and 1 takes the Colts. 7 named a score; the median has the Texans by 4. The Colts won 19-17, so 1 of 10 had the winner. Their graded calls averaged 36 out of 100.

Picks by outlet. Each pundit counted once, at the outlet or show their latest call ran on. An outlet is listed when two or more of its pundits have picked.

- [CBS Sports](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/cbs-sports): Texans 4, Colts 1

The other 5 pundits write or talk elsewhere: all 5 Texans.

Page: https://missedtakes.co/nfl/games/2026-week-3-texans-at-colts

Picks:

- [Chris Simms](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/chris-simms) took the Texans, Texans 20–Colts 17; said Sep 25, 2026; on Chris Simms Unbuttoned (podcast); scored 47.62 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 97.32) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/662b7ba3-1bf6-4ad0-9f93-9f2ab83143fd
- [Gregg Rosenthal](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/gregg-rosenthal) took the Texans; said Sep 25, 2026; on Around the NFL (podcast); scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2fb84ac9-889f-4649-8c4d-f170f7b65f66
- [Steven Ruiz](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/steven-ruiz) took the Texans; said Sep 24, 2026; on Football 301 with Nate Tice (podcast); scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a30ff469-4972-4c48-855b-ba984e4de9d0
- [Jordan Dajani](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jordan-dajani) took the Texans, Texans 27–Colts 21; said Sep 24, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 40.48 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 96.35) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c96aaa6d-2d0c-41cc-a9f7-c21ac21886ac
- [Jared Dubin](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jared-dubin) took the Texans, Texans 20–Colts 16; said Sep 24, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 45.24 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 96.35) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fe04828a-d532-414c-a58a-54f6505f2263
- [Richard Sherman](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/richard-sherman) took the Texans, Texans 17–Colts 14; said Sep 24, 2026; on The Richard Sherman Podcast (podcast); scored 47.62 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 96.35) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c2102f61-711d-4041-af08-065e95ccaf03
- [Tyler Sullivan](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/tyler-sullivan) took the Colts, Colts 26–Texans 23; said Sep 23, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 97.62 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 96.35) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e4b11b44-d359-4027-a72c-87833f5ff6e3
- [John Breech](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/john-breech) took the Texans, Texans 27–Colts 23; said Sep 23, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 45.24 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 96.35) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/059e283f-cead-4908-8c14-a522cf1c8c65
- [Pete Prisco](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/pete-prisco) took the Texans, Texans 31–Colts 20; said Sep 23, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 28.57 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 96.35) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3eb02dfa-79dd-43a1-87d8-db7e5140af6c
- [John Breech](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/john-breech) took the Texans, Texans 27–Colts 24; said Sep 22, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 47.62 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 96.35) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c21157cd-927c-43dc-98a2-60f4224ba22e
- [John Granato](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/john-granato) took the Texans; said May 19, 2026; on John and Lance — ESPN Houston (podcast); scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/90fd3c9e-7281-40ec-be9b-f741f1f476b0

## How they came in

The Texans are 0-2 and have lost 2 straight; the Colts are 0-2 and have lost 2 straight. It is a division game. On win totals, 20 pundits put the Texans at 10.2 wins on average, and 8 pundits put the Colts at 7.6 wins on average.

Venue: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, Indiana

- Houston Texans: 0-2, lost 2 straight (37 scored, 56 allowed)
  - Last games: L 6-20 vs Bengals; L 31-36 vs Bills
  - Unit ranks this season: offense 7th, defense 10th of 32
  - Last season: 12-5
  - Win-total calls: 22 pundits, average 10.2, 1 to 17 wins
  - The side most pundits took won 0 of 2 Texans games
- Indianapolis Colts: 0-2, lost 2 straight (53 scored, 74 allowed)
  - Last games: L 30-33 at Chiefs; L 23-41 vs Ravens
  - Unit ranks this season: offense 28th, defense 32nd of 32
  - Last season: 8-9
  - Win-total calls: 8 pundits, average 7.6, 5 to 9 wins
  - The side most pundits took won 2 of 2 Colts games

## Players to watch

Each club's starting quarterback, leading rusher, receiver and tight end, and its sack and tackle leaders, with their 2026 regular season so far, with the latest call on each from a pundit ranked on the leaderboard whose record beats the naive pick, made since the 2026 schedule came out ("No." is that rank). Leaderboard: https://missedtakes.co/nfl/leaderboard

- [C.J. Stroud](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/c-j-stroud) (Starting QB, QB): 2,251 passing yards · 16 TD, 2 INT · 64.2% completions · 100 rushing yards · 8 games; 7th in the NFL in passing yards
  - No. 1 Jared Koch, Nov 4, 2026: C.J. Stroud: “if he continues his strong play, the Texans will be forced to pay Stroud as one of the highest-paid quarterbacks in the NFL” (not settled yet)
  - No. 5 Tom Pelissero, Nov 13, 2026: C.J. Stroud: “if he just finishes like this, 65,000,000 a year and the highest paid quarterback” (not settled yet)
- [Woody Marks](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/woody-marks) (RB1, RB): 341 rushing yards on 95 carries · 2 TD · 15 catches for 98 · 8 games; 28th in the NFL in rushing yards
  - No. 1 Jared Koch, Nov 11, 2026: Woody Marks to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Oct 12, 2026: Woody Marks to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
- [Nico Collins](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/nico-collins) (WR1, WR): 28 catches for 384 yards · 4 TD · 6 games; 42nd in the NFL in receiving yards
  - No. 1 Jared Koch, Oct 19, 2026: Nico Collins to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
  - No. 4 Bryan DeArdo, Sep 22, 2026: he played well in Week 1 but wasn't as good on Sunday without Nico Collins, who is expected to miss this Sunday's game against the also-winless Colts (Week 3) (not settled yet)
- [Dalton Schultz](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/dalton-schultz) (TE1, TE): 35 catches for 364 yards · 0 TD · 8 games; 47th in the NFL in receiving yards
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Aug 23, 2026: Dalton Schultz to outplay his draft cost (late-round) (not settled yet)
  - No. 12 Derek Brown, Sep 2, 2026: Dalton Schultz to outplay his draft cost (ADP 25) (not settled yet)
- [Will Anderson Jr.](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/will-anderson-jr) (Sack leader, DE): 9.5 sacks · 18 solo tackles · 8 games; 1st in the NFL in sacks
  - No. 4 Bryan DeArdo, Nov 3, 2026: Will Anderson Jr. to stay with Houston Texans (not settled yet)
  - No. 16 Mike Kadlick, Nov 12, 2026: Will Anderson Jr. to win Defensive Player of the Year (not settled yet)
- [Kamari Lassiter](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kamari-lassiter) (Tackle leader, CB): 1 sack · 32 solo tackles · 8 games; 34th in the NFL in solo tackles
  - No. 1 Jared Koch, Oct 10, 2026: Kamari Lassiter to record 1 interceptions (not settled yet)
- [Daniel Jones](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/daniel-jones) (Starting QB, QB): 1,722 passing yards · 6 TD, 10 INT · 60.3% completions · 9 games; 19th in the NFL in passing yards
  - No. 15 Mike Florio, Nov 7, 2026: Daniel Jones to move to Minnesota Vikings (not settled yet)
  - No. 18 Carter Bahns, Oct 26, 2026: Daniel Jones to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
- [Jonathan Taylor](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jonathan-taylor) (RB1, RB): 656 rushing yards on 161 carries · 8 TD · 26 catches for 220 · 9 games; 8th in the NFL in rushing yards
  - No. 5 Tom Pelissero, Oct 30, 2026: Jonathan Taylor to stay with Indianapolis Colts (not settled yet)
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Nov 9, 2026: Jonathan Taylor to move — “the Colts will move him before the deadline” (not settled yet)
- [Laquon Treadwell](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/laquon-treadwell) (WR1, WR): 16 catches for 215 yards · 0 TD · 9 games; 117th in the NFL in receiving yards
  - No. 18 Carter Bahns, Aug 27, 2026: Laquon Treadwell to be cut (scored 0 out of 100)
  - No. 30 Andrew Erickson, Nov 11, 2026: Laquon Treadwell to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
- [Tyler Warren](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/tyler-warren) (TE1, TE): 38 catches for 275 yards · 2 TD · 7 games; 84th in the NFL in receiving yards
  - No. 12 Derek Brown, Sep 1, 2026: Tyler Warren to finish top 5 at his position, by fantasy points (not settled yet)
  - No. 23 Jordan Dajani, Aug 25, 2026: Tight end Tyler Warren is going to play a big role in the passing game (not settled yet)
- [Adetomiwa Adebawore](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/adetomiwa-adebawore) (Sack leader, DT): 4 sacks · 9 solo tackles · 7 games; 30th in the NFL in sacks
  - No. 28 Mike Renner, Oct 8, 2026: Adetomiwa Adebawore to sign a new deal (not settled yet)
- [Akeem Davis-Gaither](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/akeem-davis-gaither) (Tackle leader, LB): 32 solo tackles · 8 games; 34th in the NFL in solo tackles
  - No. 23 Jordan Dajani, Aug 25, 2026: Akeem Davis-Gaither to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)

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The room is counted in pundits, each one's latest call standing. Accuracy is out of 100; the naive pick is the home team.
The week: https://missedtakes.co/nfl/games/2026-week-3
Method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology