# Broncos vs 49ers predictions, graded

Week 4, 2026: Denver Broncos at San Francisco 49ers

Oct 4, 2026 · final: Broncos 14, 49ers 24 · 27 calls on record · updated Oct 5, 3:59 PM ET

Who do pundits pick in Broncos vs 49ers? Of 25 pundits with a call on record, 18 take the 49ers and 7 take the Broncos. 14 named a score; the median has the 49ers by 3. The 49ers won 24-14, so 18 of 25 had the winner. Their graded calls averaged 74 out of 100.

Picks by outlet. Each pundit counted once, at the outlet or show their latest call ran on. An outlet is listed when two or more of its pundits have picked.

- [CBS Sports](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/cbs-sports): 49ers 4, Broncos 2
- [First Things First (podcast)](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/first-things-first-podcast): 49ers 1, Broncos 1
- [Football 301 with Nate Tice (podcast)](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/football-301-with-nate-tice-podcast): all 2 49ers
- [Locked On Broncos (podcast)](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/locked-on-broncos-podcast): all 2 49ers

The other 13 pundits write or talk elsewhere: 49ers 9, Broncos 4.

Page: https://missedtakes.co/nfl/games/2026-week-4-broncos-at-49ers

Picks:

- [Gennaro Filice](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/gennaro-filice) took the Broncos, Broncos 24–49ers 22; said Oct 4, 2026; scored 30.95 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 78.57) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/6e4ccf4a-3c43-43c3-9669-50148f4e5452
- [Dan Parr](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/dan-parr) took the 49ers, 49ers 28–Broncos 26; said Oct 4, 2026; scored 80.95 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 78.57) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/816599d6-f95e-4821-addf-bfd5466835e9
- [Jeremy Pargo](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jeremy-pargo) took the Broncos, Broncos 16–49ers 13; said Oct 4, 2026; scored 33.33 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 78.57) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3c480715-cdf3-4092-ac36-f7a4e338e2eb
- [Brooke Cersosimo](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/brooke-cersosimo) took the 49ers, 49ers 27–Broncos 22; said Oct 4, 2026; scored 88.1 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 78.57) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7717b6ff-86ce-4cda-b192-202b3b80c3c7
- [Bobby Kownack](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/bobby-kownack) took the 49ers, 49ers 26–Broncos 23; said Oct 4, 2026; scored 83.33 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 78.57) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ab70bbf8-6373-48ac-af86-ce8d9da4da35
- [Seth Walder](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/seth-walder) took the 49ers, 49ers 26–Broncos 20; said Oct 4, 2026; scored 90.48 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 78.57) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2136c2b6-89e5-4f73-ad78-28d4de9bb6be
- [Eric Moody](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/eric-moody) took the 49ers, 49ers 23–Broncos 20; said Oct 4, 2026; scored 83.33 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 78.57) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/716d760e-4e9a-419c-943a-aedb384a623f
- [Pamela Maldonado](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/pamela-maldonado) took the Broncos, Broncos 27–49ers 24; said Oct 4, 2026; scored 33.33 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 78.57) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c41cfbfd-b264-4643-bbc5-e3ecc1d02e7d
- [John Breech](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/john-breech) took the 49ers, 49ers 31–Broncos 24; said Oct 3, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 92.86 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 78.57) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/19f6163c-5e76-4dfc-9a1a-b0ac6da3e951
- [Shanna McCarriston](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/shanna-mccarriston) took the 49ers; said Oct 3, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/6f68b2d1-ac3e-4b42-85d2-6e9f10232b89
- [Chris Simms](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/chris-simms) took the 49ers, 49ers 27–Broncos 19; said Oct 2, 2026; on Chris Simms Unbuttoned (podcast); scored 95.24 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 78.57) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9434b7a9-79f2-4276-85cd-2d8abe74c6fe
- [Jared Dubin](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jared-dubin) took the 49ers; said Oct 2, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/86aa1af4-41cf-4dcb-96d2-0e1c3a595927
- [John Middlekauff](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/john-middlekauff) took the 49ers; said Oct 2, 2026; on 3 and Out with John Middlekauff (podcast); scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/39f9ac56-1fcf-416b-92bd-f0a6b6015b9a
- [Richard Sherman](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/richard-sherman) took the 49ers; said Oct 2, 2026; on The Richard Sherman Podcast (podcast); scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/955fb34c-41a3-4e87-817d-b29d2c000272
- [Greg Auman](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/greg-auman) took the Broncos; said Oct 2, 2026; on Fox Sports; scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e05ef528-8257-4d4e-ab8f-1e7ab16f6a5a
- [Greg Jennings](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/greg-jennings) took the Broncos; said Oct 1, 2026; on First Things First (podcast); scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2e19f78c-6600-4b88-991b-a9b17fddbcc1
- [Danny Parkins](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/danny-parkins) took the 49ers; said Oct 1, 2026; on First Things First (podcast); scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/78a23f7d-104d-4033-8f0e-a34fdbc0a68a
- [Matt Harmon](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/matt-harmon) took the 49ers; said Oct 1, 2026; on Football 301 with Nate Tice (podcast); scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f2373b97-0d1c-488d-b15c-28bd9576ed79
- [Nate Tice](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/nate-tice) took the 49ers; said Oct 1, 2026; on Football 301 with Nate Tice (podcast); scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/699c6337-b1ec-42c2-9845-c28c3b77b463
- [Jordan Dajani](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jordan-dajani) took the Broncos, Broncos 24–49ers 23; said Oct 1, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 28.57 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 78.57) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dd69a2c9-71e4-412b-a296-09189eaab4af
- [Jordan Dajani](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jordan-dajani) took the Broncos, Broncos 24–49ers 23; said Oct 1, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 28.57 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 78.57) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/039b1f55-1cda-488c-9369-c39632b57fc8
- [Jared Dubin](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jared-dubin) took the 49ers, 49ers 24–Broncos 16; said Oct 1, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 95.24 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 78.57) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/47e42457-0689-4783-b3b3-24c10aef7fd8
- [Tyler Sullivan](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/tyler-sullivan) took the Broncos, Broncos 23–49ers 21; said Sep 30, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 30.95 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 78.57) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1b7f0155-94a5-4221-a511-cb3e84a85519
- [Pete Prisco](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/pete-prisco) took the 49ers, 49ers 28–Broncos 21; said Sep 30, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 92.86 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 78.57) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/acf8df5f-b69a-498e-b31b-d190f627916b
- [Nick Winkler](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/nick-winkler) took the 49ers; said Sep 9, 2026; on Locked On 49ers (podcast); scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b72b3856-bff5-45a8-9698-19c2f6480d44
- [Cody Rourke](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/cody-rourke) took the 49ers; said Jul 24, 2026; on Locked On Broncos (podcast); scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/129244f8-9c9e-4e2a-917c-bc2c74cfee05
- [Sayre Bedinger](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/sayre-bedinger) took the 49ers; said Jul 24, 2026; on Locked On Broncos (podcast); scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8760a516-d10d-4d40-b449-1169d8b8f8e6

## How they came in

The Broncos are 2-1 and have won 2 straight; the 49ers are 3-0 and have won 3 straight. On win totals, 15 pundits put the Broncos at 10.9 wins on average, and 13 pundits put the 49ers at 10.1 wins on average.

Venue: Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara, California

- Denver Broncos: 2-1, won 2 straight (60 scored, 70 allowed)
  - Last games: W 30-26 vs Rams; W 20-13 vs Jaguars; L 10-31 at Chiefs
  - Unit ranks this season: offense 24th, defense 7th of 32
  - Last season: 14-3
  - Win-total calls: 15 pundits, average 10.9, 9.5 to 13 wins
  - The side most pundits took won 1 of 3 Broncos games
- San Francisco 49ers: 3-0, won 3 straight (98 scored, 50 allowed)
  - Last games: W 36-30 vs Cardinals; W 35-13 vs Dolphins; W 27-7 at Rams
  - Unit ranks this season: offense 2nd, defense 9th of 32
  - Last season: 12-5
  - Win-total calls: 13 pundits, average 10.1, 3 to 14 wins
  - The side most pundits took won 2 of 3 49ers games

## Players to watch

Each club's starting quarterback, leading rusher, receiver and tight end, and its sack and tackle leaders, with their 2026 regular season so far, with the latest call on each from a pundit ranked on the leaderboard whose record beats the naive pick, made since the 2026 schedule came out ("No." is that rank). Leaderboard: https://missedtakes.co/nfl/leaderboard

- [Bo Nix](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/bo-nix) (Starting QB, QB): 1,730 passing yards · 11 TD, 4 INT · 60.6% completions · 116 rushing yards · 9 games; 18th in the NFL in passing yards
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Aug 18, 2026: Bo Nix to finish QB1 (1–12) at his position, by fantasy points (not settled yet)
  - No. 10 Shanna McCarriston, Aug 2, 2026: Bo Nix to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
- [J.K. Dobbins](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/j-k-dobbins) (RB1, RB): 324 rushing yards on 98 carries · 3 TD · 9 catches for 31 · 9 games; 29th in the NFL in rushing yards
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Jun 26, 2026: J.K. Dobbins to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
  - No. 24 Rich Hribar, Sep 9, 2026: That leaves him as a touchdown-dependent FLEX. (not settled yet)
- [Jaylen Waddle](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jaylen-waddle) (WR1, WR): 30 catches for 337 yards · 2 TD · 9 games; 57th in the NFL in receiving yards
  - No. 12 Derek Brown, Sep 4, 2026: Jaylen Waddle to outplay his draft cost (drafted as a WR2) (not settled yet)
  - No. 23 Jordan Dajani, Sep 3, 2026: Jaylen Waddle to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
- [Evan Engram](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/evan-engram) (TE1, TE): 17 catches for 169 yards · 1 TD · 9 games; 137th in the NFL in receiving yards
- [Nik Bonitto](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/nik-bonitto) (Sack leader, LB): 4.5 sacks · 13 solo tackles · 9 games; 22nd in the NFL in sacks
- [Alex Singleton](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/alex-singleton) (Tackle leader, LB): 2 sacks · 50 solo tackles · 9 games; 2nd in the NFL in solo tackles
- [Brock Purdy](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/brock-purdy) (Starting QB, QB): 1,980 passing yards · 17 TD, 5 INT · 69.1% completions · 201 rushing yards · 8 games; 14th in the NFL in passing yards
  - No. 4 Bryan DeArdo, Nov 3, 2026: Brock Purdy to stay with San Francisco 49ers (not settled yet)
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Sep 6, 2026: Brock Purdy to finish top 12 at his position, by fantasy points (not settled yet)
- [Christian McCaffrey](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/christian-mccaffrey) (RB1, RB): 457 rushing yards on 102 carries · 10 TD · 36 catches for 270 · 8 games; 19th in the NFL in rushing yards
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Jun 26, 2026: Christian McCaffrey to outplay his draft cost (that mid first round pick) (not settled yet)
  - No. 29 Brian Peacock, Aug 25, 2026: Christian McCaffrey to make the roster (scored 100 out of 100)
- [Mike Evans](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/mike-evans) (WR1, WR): 27 catches for 420 yards · 3 TD · 6 games; 33rd in the NFL in receiving yards
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Nov 13, 2026: Evans figures to be back by Week 11 at the latest (not settled yet)
  - No. 12 Derek Brown, Jun 27, 2026: Mike Evans to outplay his draft cost (a locked and loaded top twenty four guy) (not settled yet)
- [George Kittle](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/george-kittle) (TE1, TE): 38 catches for 483 yards · 5 TD · 8 games; 25th in the NFL in receiving yards
  - No. 29 Brian Peacock, Aug 25, 2026: George Kittle to make the roster (scored 100 out of 100)
  - No. 30 Andrew Erickson, Sep 29, 2026: George Kittle to finish top 5 at his position, by fantasy points (not settled yet)
- [DeForest Buckner](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/deforest-buckner) (Sack leader, DT): 4 sacks · 12 solo tackles · 8 games; 30th in the NFL in sacks
  - No. 27 Tyler Sullivan, Oct 27, 2026: DeForest Buckner to move — “may ship out before the deadline” (not settled yet)
  - No. 54 Colin Cowherd, Oct 27, 2026: DeForest Buckner to move to San Francisco 49ers (not settled yet)
- [Fred Warner](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/fred-warner) (Tackle leader, LB): 0.5 sacks · 36 solo tackles · 8 games; 14th in the NFL in solo tackles
  - No. 26 Bucky Brooks, Sep 3, 2026: Fred Warner to make All-Pro (not settled yet)
  - No. 29 Brian Peacock, Aug 25, 2026: Fred Warner to make the roster (scored 100 out of 100)

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The room is counted in pundits, each one's latest call standing. Accuracy is out of 100; the naive pick is the home team.
The week: https://missedtakes.co/nfl/games/2026-week-4
Method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology