# Colts vs Commanders predictions, graded

Week 4, 2026: Indianapolis Colts at Washington Commanders

Oct 4, 2026 · final: Colts 30, Commanders 13 · 24 calls on record · updated Oct 4, 3:19 PM ET

Who do pundits pick in Colts vs Commanders? Of 21 pundits with a call on record, 17 take the Colts and 4 take the Commanders. 15 named a score; the median has the Colts by 4. The Colts won 30-13, so 17 of 21 had the winner. Their graded calls averaged 63 out of 100.

Picks by outlet. Each pundit counted once, at the outlet or show their latest call ran on. An outlet is listed when two or more of its pundits have picked.

- [CBS Sports](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/cbs-sports): all 5 Colts
- [Locked On Colts (podcast)](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/locked-on-colts-podcast): all 2 Colts
- [The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-rich-eisen-show-podcast): Commanders 1, Colts 1
- [The Richard Sherman Podcast (podcast)](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-richard-sherman-podcast-podcast): Commanders 1, Colts 1

The other 10 pundits write or talk elsewhere: Colts 8, Commanders 2.

Page: https://missedtakes.co/nfl/games/2026-week-4-colts-at-commanders

Picks:

- [Bobby Kownack](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/bobby-kownack) took the Colts, Colts 28–Commanders 25; said Oct 4, 2026; scored 66.67 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 10.86) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ab70bbf8-6373-48ac-af86-ce8d9da4da35
- [Gennaro Filice](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/gennaro-filice) took the Colts, Colts 28–Commanders 21; said Oct 4, 2026; scored 76.19 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 10.86) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/6e4ccf4a-3c43-43c3-9669-50148f4e5452
- [Jeremy Pargo](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jeremy-pargo) took the Commanders, Commanders 24–Colts 20; said Oct 4, 2026; scored 19.05 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 10.86) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3c480715-cdf3-4092-ac36-f7a4e338e2eb
- [Brooke Cersosimo](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/brooke-cersosimo) took the Colts, Colts 23–Commanders 21; said Oct 4, 2026; scored 64.29 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 10.86) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7717b6ff-86ce-4cda-b192-202b3b80c3c7
- [Dan Parr](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/dan-parr) took the Colts, Colts 23–Commanders 20; said Oct 4, 2026; scored 66.67 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 10.86) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/816599d6-f95e-4821-addf-bfd5466835e9
- [Eric Moody](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/eric-moody) took the Colts, Colts 31–Commanders 23; said Oct 4, 2026; scored 78.57 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 10.86) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/716d760e-4e9a-419c-943a-aedb384a623f
- [Pamela Maldonado](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/pamela-maldonado) took the Colts, Colts 27–Commanders 24; said Oct 4, 2026; scored 66.67 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 10.86) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c41cfbfd-b264-4643-bbc5-e3ecc1d02e7d
- [Seth Walder](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/seth-walder) took the Colts, Colts 23–Commanders 19; said Oct 4, 2026; scored 69.05 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 10.86) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2136c2b6-89e5-4f73-ad78-28d4de9bb6be
- [John Breech](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/john-breech) took the Colts, Colts 24–Commanders 17; said Oct 3, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 76.19 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 10.86) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/19f6163c-5e76-4dfc-9a1a-b0ac6da3e951
- [Jordan Dajani](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jordan-dajani) took the Colts, Colts 27–Commanders 21; said Oct 3, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 73.81 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 10.86) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0be4d26f-1457-423a-8cd4-c0d49e3eba40
- [Jake Arthur](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jake-arthur) took the Colts, Colts 20–Commanders 13; said Oct 2, 2026; on Locked On Colts (podcast); scored 76.19 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 10.86) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/43c0724a-9938-4132-9917-acf3847fc301
- [Zach Hicks](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/zach-hicks) took the Colts, Colts 30–Commanders 24; said Oct 2, 2026; on Locked On Colts (podcast); scored 73.81 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 10.86) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4f4a4259-1f54-43a8-aa4c-e6eefa4072ac
- [Pete Prisco](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/pete-prisco) took the Colts, Colts 31–Commanders 30; said Oct 2, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 61.9 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 10.86) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/396fa159-c402-4927-9c4b-6d68ed6e6a9a
- [Mitchell Eisenstein](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/mitchell-eisenstein) took the Colts; said Oct 2, 2026; on The Richard Sherman Podcast (podcast); scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d69febf4-3a3a-44bf-8fdb-d4773447a904
- [Richard Sherman](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/richard-sherman) took the Commanders; said Oct 2, 2026; on The Richard Sherman Podcast (podcast); scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/955fb34c-41a3-4e87-817d-b29d2c000272
- [Chris Long](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/chris-long) took the Colts; said Oct 2, 2026; on Green Light with Chris Long (podcast); scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/41d446f1-9bf0-4509-b1ba-f3e8083ed9ee
- [John Breech](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/john-breech) took the Colts, Colts 24–Commanders 17; said Oct 1, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 76.19 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 10.86) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/abead314-ae33-43ce-9c36-7c57e601368f
- [Jordan Dajani](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jordan-dajani) took the Colts, Colts 27–Commanders 21; said Oct 1, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 73.81 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 10.86) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/039b1f55-1cda-488c-9369-c39632b57fc8
- [Jared Dubin](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jared-dubin) took the Colts, Colts 23–Commanders 20; said Oct 1, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 66.67 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 10.86) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/47e42457-0689-4783-b3b3-24c10aef7fd8
- [Tyler Sullivan](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/tyler-sullivan) took the Colts, Colts 30–Commanders 24; said Sep 30, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 73.81 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 10.86) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1b7f0155-94a5-4221-a511-cb3e84a85519
- [Pete Prisco](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/pete-prisco) took the Colts, Colts 31–Commanders 30; said Sep 30, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 61.9 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 10.86) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/acf8df5f-b69a-498e-b31b-d190f627916b
- [David Harrison](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/david-harrison) took the Commanders; said May 18, 2026; on Locked On Commanders (podcast); scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/557473e2-242a-41c5-beb5-026d792d86fa
- [Rich Eisen](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/rich-eisen) took the Colts; said May 13, 2026; on The Rich Eisen Show (podcast); scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/04528a2d-b0b7-4367-b629-a1cdde3716f3
- [Chris Brockman](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/chris-brockman) took the Commanders; said May 13, 2026; on The Rich Eisen Show (podcast); scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ecf298ec-5674-4848-84f0-040409c29bdd

## How they came in

The Colts are 1-2; the Commanders are 1-2. On win totals, 8 pundits put the Colts at 7.6 wins on average, and 12 pundits put the Commanders at 6.4 wins on average.

Venue: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London, United Kingdom

- Indianapolis Colts: 1-2 (72 scored, 91 allowed)
  - Last games: W 19-17 vs Texans; L 30-33 at Chiefs; L 23-41 vs Ravens
  - Unit ranks this season: offense 28th, defense 32nd of 32
  - Last season: 8-9
  - Win-total calls: 8 pundits, average 7.6, 5 to 9 wins
  - The side most pundits took won 2 of 3 Colts games
- Washington Commanders: 1-2 (75 scored, 92 allowed)
  - Last games: W 33-31 vs Seahawks; L 20-37 at Cowboys; L 22-24 at Eagles
  - Unit ranks this season: offense 19th, defense 19th of 32
  - Last season: 5-12
  - Win-total calls: 12 pundits, average 6.4, 1 to 10 wins
  - The side most pundits took won 2 of 3 Commanders games

## Players to watch

Each club's starting quarterback, leading rusher, receiver and tight end, and its sack and tackle leaders, with their 2026 regular season so far, with the latest call on each from a pundit ranked on the leaderboard whose record beats the naive pick, made since the 2026 schedule came out ("No." is that rank). Leaderboard: https://missedtakes.co/nfl/leaderboard

- [Daniel Jones](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/daniel-jones) (Starting QB, QB): 1,722 passing yards · 6 TD, 10 INT · 60.3% completions · 9 games; 19th in the NFL in passing yards
  - No. 15 Mike Florio, Nov 7, 2026: Daniel Jones to move to Minnesota Vikings (not settled yet)
  - No. 18 Carter Bahns, Oct 26, 2026: Daniel Jones to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
- [Jonathan Taylor](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jonathan-taylor) (RB1, RB): 656 rushing yards on 161 carries · 8 TD · 26 catches for 220 · 9 games; 8th in the NFL in rushing yards
  - No. 5 Tom Pelissero, Oct 30, 2026: Jonathan Taylor to stay with Indianapolis Colts (not settled yet)
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Nov 9, 2026: Jonathan Taylor to move — “the Colts will move him before the deadline” (not settled yet)
- [Laquon Treadwell](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/laquon-treadwell) (WR1, WR): 16 catches for 215 yards · 0 TD · 9 games; 117th in the NFL in receiving yards
  - No. 18 Carter Bahns, Aug 27, 2026: Laquon Treadwell to be cut (scored 0 out of 100)
  - No. 30 Andrew Erickson, Nov 11, 2026: Laquon Treadwell to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
- [Tyler Warren](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/tyler-warren) (TE1, TE): 38 catches for 275 yards · 2 TD · 7 games; 84th in the NFL in receiving yards
  - No. 12 Derek Brown, Sep 1, 2026: Tyler Warren to finish top 5 at his position, by fantasy points (not settled yet)
  - No. 23 Jordan Dajani, Aug 25, 2026: Tight end Tyler Warren is going to play a big role in the passing game (not settled yet)
- [Adetomiwa Adebawore](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/adetomiwa-adebawore) (Sack leader, DT): 4 sacks · 9 solo tackles · 7 games; 30th in the NFL in sacks
  - No. 28 Mike Renner, Oct 8, 2026: Adetomiwa Adebawore to sign a new deal (not settled yet)
- [Akeem Davis-Gaither](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/akeem-davis-gaither) (Tackle leader, LB): 32 solo tackles · 8 games; 34th in the NFL in solo tackles
  - No. 23 Jordan Dajani, Aug 25, 2026: Akeem Davis-Gaither to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
- [Jayden Daniels](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jayden-daniels) (Starting QB, QB): 1,499 passing yards · 10 TD, 2 INT · 64.8% completions · 280 rushing yards · 7 games; 23rd in the NFL in passing yards
  - No. 5 Tom Pelissero, Oct 2, 2026: I would say it's a long shot that he plays this week (Week 4 international game) (not settled yet)
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Sep 2, 2026: Jayden Daniels to outplay his draft cost (the seventh round) (not settled yet)
- [Rachaad White](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/rachaad-white) (RB1, RB): 275 rushing yards on 65 carries · 3 TD · 19 catches for 134 · 8 games; 36th in the NFL in rushing yards
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Oct 2, 2026: looks like there's a good chance rashad white misses this game with the shoulder injury (Week 4 Colts at Commanders) (not settled yet)
  - No. 18 Carter Bahns, Oct 28, 2026: Rachaad White to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
- [Stefon Diggs](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/stefon-diggs) (WR1, WR): 36 catches for 386 yards · 6 TD · 8 games; 41st in the NFL in receiving yards
  - No. 2 Joe Marino, Jul 15, 2026: Stefon Diggs to move to Washington Commanders (scored 100 out of 100)
  - No. 10 Shanna McCarriston, Aug 18, 2026: Stefon Diggs to be 2nd on the depth chart (not settled yet)
- [Chig Okonkwo](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/chig-okonkwo) (TE1, TE): 27 catches for 263 yards · 0 TD · 7 games; 89th in the NFL in receiving yards
  - No. 57 David Harrison, Aug 28, 2026: Chig Okonkwo to make the roster (scored 100 out of 100)
- [Odafe Oweh](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/odafe-oweh) (Sack leader, LB): 5 sacks · 11 solo tackles · 9 games; 14th in the NFL in sacks
  - No. 57 David Harrison, Aug 28, 2026: Odafe Oweh to make the roster (scored 100 out of 100)
- [Amik Robertson](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/amik-robertson) (Tackle leader, CB): 36 solo tackles · 9 games; 14th in the NFL in solo tackles
  - No. 57 David Harrison, Aug 28, 2026: Amik Robertson to make the roster (scored 100 out of 100)

---

The room is counted in pundits, each one's latest call standing. Accuracy is out of 100; the naive pick is the home team.
The week: https://missedtakes.co/nfl/games/2026-week-4
Method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology