# Bears vs Packers predictions, graded

Week 5, 2026: Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers

Oct 11, 2026 · final: Bears 7, Packers 31 · 49 calls on record · updated Oct 11, 6:02 PM ET

Who do pundits pick in Bears vs Packers? Of 35 pundits with a call on record, 25 take the Bears and 10 take the Packers. 21 named a score; the median has the Bears by 6. The Packers won 31-7, so 10 of 35 had the winner. Their graded calls averaged 27 out of 100.

Picks by outlet. Each pundit counted once, at the outlet or show their latest call ran on. An outlet is listed when two or more of its pundits have picked.

- [Sports Illustrated](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/sports-illustrated): Bears 5, Packers 2
- [CBS Sports](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/cbs-sports): Packers 3, Bears 3
- [FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast)](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/fantasypros-fantasy-football-podcast-podcast): all 2 Bears
- [First Things First (podcast)](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/first-things-first-podcast): Packers 1, Bears 1
- [The Richard Sherman Podcast (podcast)](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-richard-sherman-podcast-podcast): all 2 Bears

The other 16 pundits write or talk elsewhere: Bears 12, Packers 4.

Page: https://missedtakes.co/nfl/games/2026-week-5-bears-at-packers

Picks:

- [Carson Caldwell](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/carson-caldwell) took the Packers; said Oct 11, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d786dd9f-b1b7-4865-a32c-a429ffcb0092
- [Jacob Westendorf](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jacob-westendorf) took the Bears, Bears 34–Packers 17; said Oct 11, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; scored 33.33 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 50) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d4dcda0b-14c7-451c-88c2-2020e2dbd32f
- [Bill Huber](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/bill-huber) took the Bears, Bears 31–Packers 21; said Oct 11, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; scored 16.67 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 50) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9c5b1694-58d6-4d58-803c-ea7ed430b8f8
- [Pete Martuneac](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/pete-martuneac) took the Bears, Bears 31–Packers 13; said Oct 11, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; scored 35.71 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 50) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2d816270-bb29-4a26-871b-3d05402e59a3
- [Gary Baugher Jr.](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/gary-baugher-jr) took the Bears, Bears 27–Packers 13; said Oct 11, 2026; scored 26.19 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 50) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fec0e99f-6349-44b5-b00d-2b62865ced82
- [TJ Starman](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/tj-starman) took the Bears, Bears 24–Packers 20; said Oct 11, 2026; scored 2.38 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 50) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0c8235b8-e920-4f33-822b-ef52f2942c72
- [Lester A. Wiltfong Jr.](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/lester-a-wiltfong-jr) took the Bears, Bears 28–Packers 17; said Oct 11, 2026; scored 19.05 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 50) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2a53e005-4046-414c-a27b-786cc535a236
- [Donald Gooch](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/donald-gooch) took the Bears, Bears 42–Packers 10; said Oct 11, 2026; scored 30.95 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 50) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ab12af7d-78cf-421f-a6d2-c5aef8947aba
- [Bill Huber](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/bill-huber) took the Bears; said Oct 11, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/edb4eb67-b056-496c-ab7d-6f56f164d4f3
- [Bill Huber](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/bill-huber) took the Packers; said Oct 10, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/85788aa4-a800-40f9-af30-56c9697f2fb9
- [Gene Chamberlain](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/gene-chamberlain) took the Bears; said Oct 10, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/54cfaf08-dcae-4cb3-927c-aa865c305cd7
- [Gene Chamberlain](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/gene-chamberlain) took the Bears, Bears 23–Packers 20; said Oct 10, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 50) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/54cfaf08-dcae-4cb3-927c-aa865c305cd7
- [Gennaro Filice](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/gennaro-filice) took the Packers, Packers 25–Bears 22; said Oct 10, 2026; scored 50 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 50) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7cc33db3-88e5-4811-8121-94bed7928d3a
- [Dan Parr](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/dan-parr) took the Bears, Bears 27–Packers 21; said Oct 10, 2026; scored 7.14 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 50) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0c10b52a-0a51-43ee-a55a-78a478f3c2b3
- [Bobby Kownack](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/bobby-kownack) took the Bears, Bears 28–Packers 18; said Oct 10, 2026; scored 16.67 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 50) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/57789de7-9bc6-4cce-aacc-c088bd5aa6fe
- [Brooke Cersosimo](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/brooke-cersosimo) took the Packers, Packers 24–Bears 23; said Oct 10, 2026; scored 50 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 50) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/bd69c182-b54d-4692-912f-0dd26817dafb
- [Jeremy Pargo](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jeremy-pargo) took the Bears, Bears 26–Packers 24; said Oct 10, 2026; scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 50) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/eb5cd6ae-f2ad-49c8-909d-3ad73d196e72
- [Seth Walder](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/seth-walder) took the Bears, Bears 24–Packers 23; said Oct 10, 2026; scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 50) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/793c66fa-732d-41fb-9cc3-411c105ee081
- [Eric Moody](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/eric-moody) took the Bears, Bears 27–Packers 21; said Oct 10, 2026; scored 7.14 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 50) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8b18af22-128d-4a43-9c55-860e5adc0bad
- [Pamela Maldonado](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/pamela-maldonado) took the Packers, Packers 23–Bears 21; said Oct 10, 2026; scored 50 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 50) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/6e8dc1f8-b120-4451-8709-9f92b577ed95
- [Chris Broussard](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/chris-broussard) took the Packers; said Oct 9, 2026; on First Things First (podcast); scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/23fa980d-99b4-4750-adcf-fe1059a50f89
- [Danny Parkins](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/danny-parkins) took the Bears; said Oct 9, 2026; on First Things First (podcast); scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/72e454c1-579f-47e1-b890-326df3531130
- [Richard Sherman](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/richard-sherman) took the Bears; said Oct 9, 2026; on The Richard Sherman Podcast (podcast); scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8a72fb5b-4986-4ce7-91be-0100f088664a
- [Jerry Markarian](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jerry-markarian) took the Bears; said Oct 9, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3d359bc5-42e7-42b8-a074-66698dfa1169
- [Pat Fitzmaurice](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/pat-fitzmaurice) took the Bears; said Oct 9, 2026; on FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast); scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/09f1aa2e-4381-4584-82b9-6b8b1112f04f
- [Derek Brown](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/derek-brown) took the Bears; said Oct 9, 2026; on FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast); scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/6adf08dd-972d-4cce-b6b8-8212332b191e
- [Garrett Podell](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/garrett-podell) took the Packers; said Oct 9, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8a58bbe3-94ed-4bcd-a8c2-3af550ca0e5b
- [John Middlekauff](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/john-middlekauff) took the Bears; said Oct 9, 2026; on 3 and Out with John Middlekauff (podcast); scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f997029f-290b-40bb-b6fb-61e6c1a096f4
- [Jordan Dajani](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jordan-dajani) took the Packers, Packers 21–Bears 20; said Oct 9, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 50 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 50) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/029d282f-2740-4c4d-af36-07a93d65eb65
- [Big Cat](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/big-cat) took the Bears; said Oct 9, 2026; on Pardon My Take (podcast); scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ec6a2d23-a635-41c8-af7a-cebf76e26bbe
- [Jerry Markarian](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jerry-markarian) took the Bears; said Oct 8, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/817325ac-3d69-4337-9f7f-7103f13df636
- [Albert Breer](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/albert-breer) took the Packers; said Oct 8, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8a5a1636-29e9-4617-986e-b657dab802f1
- [Pete Prisco](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/pete-prisco) took the Packers, Packers 27–Bears 24; said Oct 8, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 50 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 50) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0db8e0a7-a648-4bcc-86ee-5a742577b3f4
- [Tyler Sullivan](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/tyler-sullivan) took the Bears; said Oct 8, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/57e3cdd6-d21f-4ac3-a174-892fab6a1384
- [Jared Dubin](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jared-dubin) took the Bears, Bears 23–Packers 20; said Oct 8, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 50) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/bcb7df23-13bc-4418-91ad-cf3ddceea439
- [Tyler Sullivan](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/tyler-sullivan) took the Packers; said Oct 8, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/40efbe41-c903-4cd7-9185-057d1861efe8
- [Mitchell Eisenstein](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/mitchell-eisenstein) took the Bears; said Oct 8, 2026; on The Richard Sherman Podcast (podcast); scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8371ccc7-743b-4e3e-9110-79c54cc913ac
- [Richard Sherman](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/richard-sherman) took the Bears; said Oct 8, 2026; on The Richard Sherman Podcast (podcast); scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/92a73b03-9644-439c-b0fc-8b04209830ab
- [Jerry Markarian](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jerry-markarian) took the Bears; said Oct 7, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d7f355ad-d0e9-4211-8f02-56432f63323e
- [Tyler Sullivan](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/tyler-sullivan) took the Bears, Bears 28–Packers 20; said Oct 7, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 11.9 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 50) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e47d4e2c-8117-4706-9b6d-f8aa132b8a27
- [Pete Prisco](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/pete-prisco) took the Packers, Packers 27–Bears 24; said Oct 7, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 50 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 50) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9fb2da58-31c1-43f3-bf5e-fe858bdb877d
- [Nick Shook](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/nick-shook) took the Bears; said Oct 7, 2026; on Good Morning Football (podcast); scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/618c0bf8-9445-4cdc-a3cf-024fac1a86f9
- [John Breech](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/john-breech) took the Bears, Bears 30–Packers 23; said Oct 6, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 9.52 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 50) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/adff8191-46ce-4758-bbee-d01fc48361d3
- [Bill Huber](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/bill-huber) took the Bears; said Sep 26, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/cf06cf1c-1e2e-49bc-9b69-065381a5eaa1
- [Bill Huber](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/bill-huber) took the Bears; said Sep 26, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/cf06cf1c-1e2e-49bc-9b69-065381a5eaa1
- [Bill Huber](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/bill-huber) took the Bears; said Sep 13, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2df248b5-ab27-436f-ae3f-7b2ccb53ade6
- [Adam Chudwin](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/adam-chudwin) took the Packers; said Sep 4, 2026; on The Rich Eisen Show (podcast); scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b6e5e93f-2997-4140-881f-3acec911a1f1
- [Adam Chudwin](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/adam-chudwin) took the Bears; said Sep 4, 2026; on The Rich Eisen Show (podcast); scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b6e5e93f-2997-4140-881f-3acec911a1f1
- [John Breech](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/john-breech) took the Packers; said Aug 19, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/50eb251e-cf6b-417d-a0d6-bccba95e06fc

## How they came in

The Bears are 3-1 and have won 2 straight; the Packers are 2-2. It is a division game. On win totals, 19 pundits put the Bears at 9.7 wins on average, and 18 pundits put the Packers at 9.1 wins on average.

Venue: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, Wisconsin

- Chicago Bears: 3-1, won 2 straight (112 scored, 65 allowed)
  - Last games: W 23-12 vs Jets; W 27-7 vs Eagles; L 3-9 vs Vikings
  - Unit ranks this season: offense 8th, defense 15th of 32
  - Last season: 11-6
  - Win-total calls: 19 pundits, average 9.7, 3 to 12 wins
  - The side most pundits took won 2 of 4 Bears games
- Green Bay Packers: 2-2 (73 scored, 105 allowed)
  - Last games: W 17-14 at Buccaneers; L 14-35 vs Falcons; W 20-17 at Jets
  - Unit ranks this season: offense 16th, defense 5th of 32
  - Last season: 9-7-1
  - Win-total calls: 19 pundits, average 9.1, 3 to 17 wins
  - The side most pundits took won 2 of 3 Packers games

## Players to watch

Each club's starting quarterback, leading rusher, receiver and tight end, and its sack and tackle leaders, with their 2026 regular season so far, with the latest call on each from a pundit ranked on the leaderboard whose record beats the naive pick, made since the 2026 schedule came out ("No." is that rank). Leaderboard: https://missedtakes.co/nfl/leaderboard

- [Caleb Williams](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/caleb-williams) (Starting QB, QB): 1,546 passing yards · 8 TD, 5 INT · 68.7% completions · 145 rushing yards · 6 games; 22nd in the NFL in passing yards
  - No. 5 Tom Pelissero, Sep 25, 2026: he's gonna be back soon. He didn't practice today. It's unlikely that he plays Monday night. (not settled yet)
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Oct 15, 2026: But Williams is expected back for the Bears' Week 6 game against the Falcons, who have been playing well after an 0-2 start. (not settled yet)
- [D'Andre Swift](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/d-andre-swift) (RB1, RB): 576 rushing yards on 155 carries · 10 TD · 24 catches for 162 · 9 games; 14th in the NFL in rushing yards
  - No. 12 Derek Brown, Sep 7, 2026: D'Andre Swift to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
  - No. 24 Rich Hribar, Aug 4, 2026: D'Andre Swift to outplay his draft cost (the RB2/dead-zone range) (not settled yet)
- [Luther Burden III](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/luther-burden-iii) (WR1, WR): 49 catches for 644 yards · 4 TD · 9 games; 13th in the NFL in receiving yards
  - No. 23 Jordan Dajani, Aug 10, 2026: Luther Burden III to record 1,057 receiving yards (not settled yet)
  - No. 26 Bucky Brooks, Jul 12, 2026: Luther Burden III to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
- [Colston Loveland](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/colston-loveland) (TE1, TE): 37 catches for 363 yards · 2 TD · 9 games; 48th in the NFL in receiving yards
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Aug 28, 2026: Colston Loveland to outplay his draft cost (the consensus TE3 for 2026 fantasy drafts) (not settled yet)
  - No. 12 Derek Brown, Aug 5, 2026: Colston Loveland to finish top 1 at his position, by fantasy points (not settled yet)
- [Jeffery Simmons](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jeffery-simmons) (Sack leader, DT): 6 sacks · 26 solo tackles · 9 games; 11th in the NFL in sacks
  - No. 39 Gregg Rosenthal, Oct 29, 2026: Jeffery Simmons to make All-Pro (not settled yet)
  - No. 48 John Middlekauff, Oct 30, 2026: Jeffery Simmons to make All-Pro (not settled yet)
- [Dillon Thieneman](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/dillon-thieneman) (Tackle leader, S): 1.5 sacks · 30 solo tackles · 1 interception · 9 games; 48th in the NFL in solo tackles
- [Jordan Love](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jordan-love) (Starting QB, QB): 2,618 passing yards · 19 TD, 6 INT · 63.0% completions · 9 games; 1st in the NFL in passing yards
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Aug 28, 2026: Jordan Love to finish top 10 at his position, by passing yards (not settled yet)
  - No. 12 Derek Brown, Sep 2, 2026: Jordan Love to finish top 12 at his position, by fantasy points (not settled yet)
- [Kaleb Johnson](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kaleb-johnson) (RB1, RB): 172 rushing yards on 42 carries · 1 TD · 1 catch for 10 · 7 games; 57th in the NFL in rushing yards
  - No. 17 Nate Tice, Oct 1, 2026: Kaleb Johnson to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
- [Christian Watson](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/christian-watson) (WR1, WR): 49 catches for 879 yards · 7 TD · 9 games; 3rd in the NFL in receiving yards
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Nov 6, 2026: Christian Watson has been practicing in pads this week, and it seems as if he'll be good to go for the Packers' road game against the Patriots on Sunday. (not settled yet)
  - No. 12 Derek Brown, Sep 12, 2026: Christian Watson to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
- [Tucker Kraft](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/tucker-kraft) (TE1, TE): 36 catches for 351 yards · 3 TD · 9 games; 53rd in the NFL in receiving yards
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Aug 30, 2026: Tucker Kraft to outplay his draft cost (a sixth-round ADP) (not settled yet)
  - No. 59 Bill Huber, Sep 13, 2026: Tucker Kraft to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
- [Lukas Van Ness](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/lukas-van-ness) (Sack leader, LB): 4.5 sacks · 19 solo tackles · 9 games; 22nd in the NFL in sacks
  - No. 59 Bill Huber, Aug 28, 2026: Lukas Van Ness to make the roster (scored 100 out of 100)
- [Evan Williams](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/evan-williams) (Tackle leader, S): 1 sack · 47 solo tackles · 3 interceptions · 9 games; 3rd in the NFL in solo tackles
  - No. 51 Pete Prisco, Aug 7, 2026: Evan Williams to make All-Pro (not settled yet)
  - No. 59 Bill Huber, Aug 28, 2026: Evan Williams to make the roster (scored 100 out of 100)

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The room is counted in pundits, each one's latest call standing. Accuracy is out of 100; the naive pick is the home team.
The week: https://missedtakes.co/nfl/games/2026-week-5
Method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology