# Bills vs Rams predictions, graded

Week 5, 2026: Buffalo Bills at Los Angeles Rams

Oct 13, 2026 · final: Bills 37, Rams 34 · 41 calls on record · updated Oct 13, 10:21 AM ET

Who do pundits pick in Bills vs Rams? Of 33 pundits with a call on record, 22 take the Rams and 11 take the Bills. 18 named a score; the median has the Rams by 3. The Bills won 37-34, so 11 of 33 had the winner. Their graded calls averaged 49 out of 100.

Picks by outlet. Each pundit counted once, at the outlet or show their latest call ran on. An outlet is listed when two or more of its pundits have picked.

- [CBS Sports](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/cbs-sports): Rams 4, Bills 1
- [The Pat McAfee Show (podcast)](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-pat-mcafee-show-podcast): all 5 Rams
- [FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast)](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/fantasypros-fantasy-football-podcast-podcast): all 3 Bills
- [Locked On Rams (podcast)](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/locked-on-rams-podcast): Bills 2, Rams 1
- [Fox Sports](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/fox-sports): all 2 Rams
- [Sports Illustrated](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/sports-illustrated): all 2 Bills

The other 13 pundits write or talk elsewhere: Rams 10, Bills 3.

Page: https://missedtakes.co/nfl/games/2026-week-5-bills-at-rams

Picks:

- [Jared Dubin](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jared-dubin) took the Rams, Rams 28–Bills 24; said Oct 12, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 47.62 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 43.52) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4d5c92bc-d4b9-48e9-bb9f-695f82fee90b
- [John Green](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/john-green) took the Bills; said Oct 12, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b9a4d252-511b-48ff-b2cf-7cde00fb0894
- [AJ Hawk](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/aj-hawk) took the Rams; said Oct 12, 2026; on The Pat McAfee Show (podcast); scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/95507356-2ff5-404a-82b1-0963b8665fff
- [Pat McAfee](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/pat-mcafee) took the Rams; said Oct 12, 2026; on The Pat McAfee Show (podcast); scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b11b3677-3d44-49d4-ac2d-bb8ac3179121
- [Anthony "Tone Digz" DiGuilio](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/anthony-tone-digz-diguilio) took the Rams; said Oct 12, 2026; on The Pat McAfee Show (podcast); scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3c8da282-f981-43ec-97e4-d147ef00b42a
- [Darius Butler](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/darius-butler) took the Rams; said Oct 12, 2026; on The Pat McAfee Show (podcast); scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/bbaeb70d-e67f-4a28-88ea-c0d95a26f4e9
- [Ty Schmit](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/ty-schmit) took the Rams, Rams 38–Bills 34; said Oct 12, 2026; on The Pat McAfee Show (podcast); scored 47.62 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 43.52) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/95627559-9ab1-4c1a-bb21-bb46709b6b6f
- [John Breech](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/john-breech) took the Rams, Rams 38–Bills 31; said Oct 12, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 40.48 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 43.52) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dbfca0ed-5831-4722-a2f4-263fd14485ba
- [Jared Dubin](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jared-dubin) took the Rams, Rams 28–Bills 24; said Oct 12, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 47.62 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 43.52) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ee897e80-0be9-4502-a092-bbe242df8eb4
- [Pete Prisco](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/pete-prisco) took the Rams, Rams 34–Bills 33; said Oct 12, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 45.24 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 43.52) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/260feea4-f6df-4ec7-bafc-1d4803807bc6
- [Jordan Dajani](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jordan-dajani) took the Bills, Bills 30–Rams 27; said Oct 12, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 43.52) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/09826cd4-dbcf-4c85-aa4a-450c3b8c8125
- [Tyler Sullivan](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/tyler-sullivan) took the Rams, Rams 28–Bills 24; said Oct 12, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 47.62 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 43.52) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/71e3f67c-e086-4efb-ac04-e77eeafc855b
- [Jeremy Pargo](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jeremy-pargo) took the Rams, Rams 27–Bills 24; said Oct 10, 2026; scored 50 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 43.52) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/eb5cd6ae-f2ad-49c8-909d-3ad73d196e72
- [Gennaro Filice](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/gennaro-filice) took the Bills, Bills 27–Rams 26; said Oct 10, 2026; scored 95.24 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 43.52) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7cc33db3-88e5-4811-8121-94bed7928d3a
- [Dan Parr](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/dan-parr) took the Rams, Rams 31–Bills 27; said Oct 10, 2026; scored 47.62 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 43.52) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0c10b52a-0a51-43ee-a55a-78a478f3c2b3
- [Bobby Kownack](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/bobby-kownack) took the Bills, Bills 30–Rams 23; said Oct 10, 2026; scored 90.48 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 43.52) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/57789de7-9bc6-4cce-aacc-c088bd5aa6fe
- [Brooke Cersosimo](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/brooke-cersosimo) took the Rams, Rams 32–Bills 27; said Oct 10, 2026; scored 45.24 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 43.52) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/bd69c182-b54d-4692-912f-0dd26817dafb
- [Pamela Maldonado](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/pamela-maldonado) took the Rams, Rams 30–Bills 27; said Oct 10, 2026; scored 50 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 43.52) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/6e8dc1f8-b120-4451-8709-9f92b577ed95
- [Seth Walder](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/seth-walder) took the Rams, Rams 34–Bills 28; said Oct 10, 2026; scored 42.86 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 43.52) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/793c66fa-732d-41fb-9cc3-411c105ee081
- [Eric Moody](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/eric-moody) took the Rams, Rams 33–Bills 30; said Oct 10, 2026; scored 50 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 43.52) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8b18af22-128d-4a43-9c55-860e5adc0bad
- [Blaine Grisak](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/blaine-grisak) took the Bills; said Oct 9, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ed2f394b-966a-4bd4-90d3-5dfabb82b478
- [Eric Mangini](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/eric-mangini) took the Rams; said Oct 9, 2026; on First Things First (podcast); scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/af6364dd-ba73-40cb-95fa-a9fa3ddf962b
- [Ryan Wormeli](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/ryan-wormeli) took the Bills; said Oct 9, 2026; on FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast); scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/847acc30-6669-4899-a09b-1f173e055dc9
- [Derek Brown](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/derek-brown) took the Bills, Bills 31–Rams 28; said Oct 9, 2026; on FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast); scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 43.52) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/6adf08dd-972d-4cce-b6b8-8212332b191e
- [Pat Fitzmaurice](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/pat-fitzmaurice) took the Bills, Bills 34–Rams 31; said Oct 9, 2026; on FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast); scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 43.52) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/09f1aa2e-4381-4584-82b9-6b8b1112f04f
- [Connor Rogers](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/connor-rogers) took the Rams; said Oct 9, 2026; on Chris Simms Unbuttoned (podcast); scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/cd2f886c-aba0-4ade-bae2-d6fed624673b
- [Jordan Dajani](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jordan-dajani) took the Bills, Bills 30–Rams 27; said Oct 9, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 43.52) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/029d282f-2740-4c4d-af36-07a93d65eb65
- [Nate Tice](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/nate-tice) took the Rams; said Oct 8, 2026; on Football 301 with Nate Tice (podcast); scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3e67d365-fcc2-4405-b7ce-ce1dadae7cd2
- [Gavin Carlson](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/gavin-carlson) took the Rams, Rams 27–Bills 24; said Oct 8, 2026; on Locked On Rams (podcast); scored 50 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 43.52) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c3de3e93-ebce-43ce-b7e1-6a0723fa0231
- [Jared Dubin](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jared-dubin) took the Rams, Rams 28–Bills 24; said Oct 8, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 47.62 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 43.52) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/bcb7df23-13bc-4418-91ad-cf3ddceea439
- [Richard Sherman](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/richard-sherman) took the Rams; said Oct 8, 2026; on The Richard Sherman Podcast (podcast); scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/92a73b03-9644-439c-b0fc-8b04209830ab
- [Tyler Sullivan](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/tyler-sullivan) took the Rams, Rams 28–Bills 24; said Oct 7, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 47.62 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 43.52) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e47d4e2c-8117-4706-9b6d-f8aa132b8a27
- [Pete Prisco](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/pete-prisco) took the Rams, Rams 34–Bills 33; said Oct 7, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 45.24 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 43.52) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9fb2da58-31c1-43f3-bf5e-fe858bdb877d
- [John Breech](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/john-breech) took the Rams, Rams 34–Bills 31; said Oct 6, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 50 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 43.52) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/adff8191-46ce-4758-bbee-d01fc48361d3
- [Greg Auman](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/greg-auman) took the Rams; said Oct 2, 2026; on Fox Sports; scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e05ef528-8257-4d4e-ab8f-1e7ab16f6a5a
- [Steven Ruiz](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/steven-ruiz) took the Rams, Rams 38–Bills 17; said Sep 9, 2026; on Fox Sports; scored 7.14 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 43.52) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1a622e6a-e7e2-471e-b747-36c7d07f4b49
- [John Breech](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/john-breech) took the Rams; said Aug 19, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/50eb251e-cf6b-417d-a0d6-bccba95e06fc
- [O'Shea Jackson Jr.](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/o-shea-jackson-jr) took the Bills; said May 29, 2026; on The Rich Eisen Show (podcast); scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d56386d9-bfad-4790-855e-65fdbb116735
- [Rob Bushka](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/rob-bushka) took the Bills; said May 19, 2026; on Locked On Rams (podcast); scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c93b88cb-d927-4b77-8e1f-f6651712338e
- [Gavin Carlson](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/gavin-carlson) took the Rams; said May 19, 2026; on Locked On Rams (podcast); scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/204238c3-a246-4c2a-a708-95c2390df560
- [Michael Brockers](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/michael-brockers) took the Bills; said May 19, 2026; on Locked On Rams (podcast); scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e7d13468-d30b-4b62-95a8-1fbd66171345

## How they came in

The Bills are 3-1; the Rams are 2-2. On win totals, 13 pundits put the Bills at 11.4 wins on average, and 15 pundits put the Rams at 11.8 wins on average.

Venue: SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, California

- Buffalo Bills: 3-1 (127 scored, 107 allowed)
  - Last games: L 26-29 vs Patriots; W 24-16 vs Chargers; W 41-31 vs Lions
  - Unit ranks this season: offense 1st, defense 12th of 32
  - Last season: 12-5
  - Win-total calls: 13 pundits, average 11.4, 10 to 14 wins
  - The side most pundits took won 2 of 4 Bills games
- Los Angeles Rams: 2-2 (85 scored, 83 allowed)
  - Last games: W 24-20 at Eagles; L 26-30 at Broncos; W 28-6 vs Giants
  - Unit ranks this season: offense 10th, defense 13th of 32
  - Last season: 12-5
  - Win-total calls: 17 pundits, average 11.8, 3 to 17 wins
  - The side most pundits took won 3 of 4 Rams games

## Players to watch

Each club's starting quarterback, leading rusher, receiver and tight end, and its sack and tackle leaders, with their 2026 regular season so far, with the latest call on each from a pundit ranked on the leaderboard whose record beats the naive pick, made since the 2026 schedule came out ("No." is that rank). Leaderboard: https://missedtakes.co/nfl/leaderboard

- [Josh Allen](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/josh-allen) (Starting QB, QB): 2,027 passing yards · 12 TD, 6 INT · 66.1% completions · 285 rushing yards · 8 games; 12th in the NFL in passing yards
  - No. 2 Joe Marino, Sep 7, 2026: Josh Allen to finish top 1 at his position, by passing yards (not settled yet)
  - No. 4 Bryan DeArdo, Sep 23, 2026: Josh Allen to win MVP (not settled yet)
- [James Cook](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/james-cook) (RB1, RB): 814 rushing yards on 169 carries · 8 TD · 12 catches for 110 · 8 games; 5th in the NFL in rushing yards
  - No. 2 Joe Marino, Aug 28, 2026: James Cook to make the roster (scored 100 out of 100)
  - No. 12 Derek Brown, Sep 1, 2026: James Cook to finish top 3 at his position, by fantasy points (not settled yet)
- [Khalil Shakir](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/khalil-shakir) (WR1, WR): 31 catches for 412 yards · 1 TD · 8 games; 35th in the NFL in receiving yards
  - No. 2 Joe Marino, Aug 28, 2026: Khalil Shakir to make the roster (scored 100 out of 100)
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Sep 21, 2026: Khalil Shakir to be 2nd on the depth chart (not settled yet)
- [Dalton Kincaid](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/dalton-kincaid) (TE1, TE): 30 catches for 429 yards · 2 TD · 8 games; 32nd in the NFL in receiving yards
  - No. 2 Joe Marino, Aug 28, 2026: Dalton Kincaid to make the roster (scored 100 out of 100)
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Aug 11, 2026: Dalton Kincaid to fall short of his draft cost (TE11, Overall RK114 | ECR vs. ADP: -14) (not settled yet)
- [Greg Rousseau](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/greg-rousseau) (Sack leader, LB): 8 sacks · 17 solo tackles · 8 games; 2nd in the NFL in sacks
  - No. 2 Joe Marino, Aug 28, 2026: Greg Rousseau to make the roster (scored 100 out of 100)
- [Amani Hooker](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/amani-hooker) (Tackle leader, S): 32 solo tackles · 5 interceptions · 7 games; 34th in the NFL in solo tackles
  - No. 23 Jordan Dajani, Oct 29, 2026: Amani Hooker to move — “could be moved if they found a good offer” (not settled yet)
- [Matthew Stafford](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/matthew-stafford) (Starting QB, QB): 2,374 passing yards · 16 TD, 9 INT · 66.5% completions · 9 games; 4th in the NFL in passing yards
  - No. 5 Tom Pelissero, May 22, 2026: Matthew Stafford to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Aug 11, 2026: Matthew Stafford to outplay his draft cost (the middle rounds) (not settled yet)
- [Kyren Williams](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kyren-williams) (RB1, RB): 593 rushing yards on 127 carries · 7 TD · 36 catches for 258 · 9 games; 13th in the NFL in rushing yards
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Aug 22, 2026: Kyren Williams to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
  - No. 20 Jake Ciely, Jul 20, 2026: Kyren Williams to outplay his draft cost (third round) (not settled yet)
- [Puka Nacua](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/puka-nacua) (WR1, WR): 70 catches for 715 yards · 4 TD · 7 games; 7th in the NFL in receiving yards
  - No. 5 Tom Pelissero, Oct 2, 2026: it appears to be, as far as I know, all systems go for him to be back against Stevens (vs. Philadelphia, Week 4) (not settled yet)
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Nov 11, 2026: “it might even be worth trading Gordon for Puka Nacua, who should be back in time to help you in Weeks 15-17.” (not settled yet)
- [Tyler Higbee](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/tyler-higbee) (TE1, TE): 28 catches for 287 yards · 1 TD · 8 games; 74th in the NFL in receiving yards
  - No. 28 Mike Renner, Jun 24, 2026: Tyler Higbee: a roster call with no direction stated (not settled yet)
- [Byron Young](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/byron-young-9137) (Sack leader, LB): 4.5 sacks · 15 solo tackles · 9 games; 22nd in the NFL in sacks
- [Quentin Lake](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/quentin-lake) (Tackle leader, S): 37 solo tackles · 3 interceptions · 9 games; 13th in the NFL in solo tackles

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The room is counted in pundits, each one's latest call standing. Accuracy is out of 100; the naive pick is the home team.
The week: https://missedtakes.co/nfl/games/2026-week-5
Method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology