# Jets vs Patriots predictions, graded

Week 6, 2026: New York Jets at New England Patriots

Oct 18, 2026 · final: Jets 19, Patriots 26 · 24 calls on record · updated Oct 18, 4:42 PM ET

Who do pundits pick in Jets vs Patriots? Of 20 pundits with a call on record, 18 take the Patriots and 2 take the Jets. 4 named a score; the median has the Patriots by 14. The Patriots won 26-19, so 18 of 20 had the winner. Their graded calls averaged 84 out of 100.

Picks by outlet. Each pundit counted once, at the outlet or show their latest call ran on. An outlet is listed when two or more of its pundits have picked.

- [Sports Illustrated](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/sports-illustrated): all 9 Patriots
- [CBS Sports](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/cbs-sports): all 3 Patriots
- [Chris Simms Unbuttoned (podcast)](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/chris-simms-unbuttoned-podcast): all 2 Patriots
- [The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-rich-eisen-show-podcast): all 2 Patriots

The other 4 pundits write or talk elsewhere: Patriots 2, Jets 2.

Page: https://missedtakes.co/nfl/games/2026-week-6-jets-at-patriots

Picks:

- [Ethan Hurwitz](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/ethan-hurwitz) took the Patriots; said Oct 18, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/aa3f1741-13d7-48d9-a759-4d5bb870df9d
- [Chris Broussard](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/chris-broussard) took the Jets; said Oct 16, 2026; on First Things First (podcast); scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0eb4d0a3-1c94-421c-a9c4-aec2ccb5f960
- [Connor Rogers](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/connor-rogers) took the Patriots; said Oct 16, 2026; on Chris Simms Unbuttoned (podcast); scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/90d3ddfa-810c-458f-8462-4f65d1e657f1
- [Chris Simms](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/chris-simms) took the Patriots, Patriots 34–Jets 17; said Oct 16, 2026; on Chris Simms Unbuttoned (podcast); scored 76.19 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 83.33) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4f810492-4a16-44b4-a36e-dcfc43ac96b4
- [Tyler Sullivan](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/tyler-sullivan) took the Patriots, Patriots 30–Jets 17; said Oct 16, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 85.71 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 83.33) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/42e04c5a-f6a1-410d-aeb5-78c0b630307e
- [Matt Harmon](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/matt-harmon) took the Patriots; said Oct 15, 2026; on Football 301 with Nate Tice (podcast); scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e2341c1a-18e6-40d7-892e-6f93ae0e4fa3
- [John Pluym](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/john-pluym) took the Patriots; said Oct 15, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/274ca944-1d32-49d8-8647-5ce3e0c8ea09
- [Conor Orr](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/conor-orr) took the Patriots; said Oct 15, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7d76979e-8b38-4a07-bfe8-1d5944db6fa3
- [Gilberto Manzano](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/gilberto-manzano) took the Patriots; said Oct 15, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ed27b875-fdd0-46f5-acbf-4775e7447ecb
- [Mike Kadlick](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/mike-kadlick) took the Patriots; said Oct 15, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fa95a096-b860-4ecb-961a-fb6a63a76bd0
- [Matt Verderame](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/matt-verderame) took the Patriots; said Oct 15, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b82668d7-7cde-4737-995a-33971b92f440
- [Albert Breer](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/albert-breer) took the Patriots; said Oct 15, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/52507147-c6d5-40e4-b363-cf4b613d9c96
- [Eva Geitheim](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/eva-geitheim) took the Patriots; said Oct 15, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b980761c-efc2-43f2-9442-104588188d6c
- [Mitch Goldich](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/mitch-goldich) took the Patriots; said Oct 15, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7918f8b7-1467-4a59-ae36-48e9b81f72a2
- [Richard Sherman](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/richard-sherman) took the Patriots; said Oct 14, 2026; on The Richard Sherman Podcast (podcast); scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/cba1ab87-c59a-4697-9170-a6425317535b
- [Rich Eisen](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/rich-eisen) took the Patriots; said Oct 14, 2026; on The Rich Eisen Show (podcast); scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/94a699a0-8610-4e1f-84e9-51e40e80efaa
- [Ethan Hurwitz](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/ethan-hurwitz) took the Patriots; said Oct 14, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d75c108d-0ea2-4821-a7eb-723552f9e641
- [Tyler Sullivan](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/tyler-sullivan) took the Patriots, Patriots 30–Jets 17; said Oct 14, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 85.71 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 83.33) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fd5d9e28-2a59-4c8e-b26c-7404e58b13a4
- [Pete Prisco](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/pete-prisco) took the Patriots, Patriots 28–Jets 13; said Oct 14, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 80.95 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 83.33) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/55078747-a46c-46d7-829a-5ca19a3233f1
- [John Breech](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/john-breech) took the Patriots, Patriots 30–Jets 20; said Oct 13, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 92.86 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 83.33) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dd50ac69-1942-4821-9142-3e570ca82c47
- [Ralph Vacchiano](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/ralph-vacchiano) took the Jets; said Sep 29, 2026; on Fox Sports; scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a30ca29f-3a98-4bf3-bb84-70e86d6d6d6f
- [Rich Eisen](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/rich-eisen) took the Jets; said Sep 28, 2026; on Overreaction Monday (podcast); scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a1b1409d-2a17-4493-9554-433870911c28
- [Mark Wahlberg](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/mark-wahlberg) took the Patriots; said Sep 3, 2026; on The Rich Eisen Show (podcast); scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/14761919-29fa-4eda-a3d4-ba0f76f399c2
- [Mark Wahlberg](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/mark-wahlberg) took the Patriots; said Sep 3, 2026; on The Rich Eisen Show (podcast); scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/14761919-29fa-4eda-a3d4-ba0f76f399c2

## How they came in

The Jets are 2-3; the Patriots are 3-2 and have won 2 straight. It is a division game. On win totals, 8 pundits put the Jets at 5.2 wins on average, and 17 pundits put the Patriots at 10 wins on average.

Venue: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts

- New York Jets: 2-3 (93 scored, 96 allowed)
  - Last games: W 17-12 vs Browns; L 12-23 at Bears; L 24-31 at Lions
  - Unit ranks this season: offense 15th, defense 21st of 32
  - Last season: 3-14
  - Win-total calls: 9 pundits, average 5.2, 0 to 8 wins
  - The side most pundits took won 3 of 5 Jets games
- New England Patriots: 3-2, won 2 straight (110 scored, 94 allowed)
  - Last games: W 45-17 vs Raiders; W 29-26 at Bills; L 6-35 at Jaguars
  - Unit ranks this season: offense 11th, defense 17th of 32
  - Last season: 14-3
  - Win-total calls: 18 pundits, average 10, 9 to 17 wins
  - The side most pundits took won 4 of 5 Patriots games

## Players to watch

Each club's starting quarterback, leading rusher, receiver and tight end, and its sack and tackle leaders, with their 2026 regular season so far, with the latest call on each from a pundit ranked on the leaderboard whose record beats the naive pick, made since the 2026 schedule came out ("No." is that rank). Leaderboard: https://missedtakes.co/nfl/leaderboard

- [Geno Smith](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/geno-smith) (Starting QB, QB): 2,078 passing yards · 12 TD, 3 INT · 67.5% completions · 9 games; 10th in the NFL in passing yards
  - No. 27 Tyler Sullivan, Aug 3, 2026: Geno Smith to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
- [Braelon Allen](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/braelon-allen) (RB1, RB): 598 rushing yards on 120 carries · 3 TD · 19 catches for 102 · 9 games; 11th in the NFL in rushing yards
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Sep 14, 2026: Braelon Allen to be 2nd on the depth chart (not settled yet)
  - No. 12 Derek Brown, Oct 1, 2026: Braelon Allen to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
- [Garrett Wilson](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/garrett-wilson) (WR1, WR): 43 catches for 527 yards · 3 TD · 8 games; 22nd in the NFL in receiving yards
  - No. 5 Tom Pelissero, Oct 30, 2026: Garrett Wilson to stay with New York Jets (not settled yet)
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Nov 9, 2026: Jets WR Garrett Wilson will probably be back from a concussion this week (Week 10) (not settled yet)
- [Kenyon Sadiq](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kenyon-sadiq) (TE1, TE): 21 catches for 235 yards · 1 TD · 9 games; 107th in the NFL in receiving yards
- [David Bailey](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/david-bailey) (Sack leader, LB): 7.5 sacks · 26 solo tackles · 8 games; 4th in the NFL in sacks
  - No. 16 Mike Kadlick, Nov 12, 2026: David Bailey to win Defensive Rookie of the Year (not settled yet)
  - No. 26 Bucky Brooks, Oct 14, 2026: David Bailey to win Defensive Rookie of the Year (not settled yet)
- [Dane Belton](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/dane-belton) (Tackle leader, S): 1 sack · 40 solo tackles · 9 games; 8th in the NFL in solo tackles
- [Drake Maye](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/drake-maye) (Starting QB, QB): 2,282 passing yards · 18 TD, 11 INT · 65.4% completions · 219 rushing yards · 9 games; 6th in the NFL in passing yards
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Oct 9, 2026: Drake Maye to finish QB1 (1–12) at his position, by fantasy points (not settled yet)
  - No. 12 Derek Brown, Sep 6, 2026: Drake Maye to finish top 5 at his position, by fantasy points (not settled yet)
- [Rhamondre Stevenson](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/rhamondre-stevenson) (RB1, RB): 399 rushing yards on 102 carries · 4 TD · 26 catches for 258 · 9 games; 22nd in the NFL in rushing yards
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Nov 13, 2026: Stevenson is dealing with a knee tendon issue. It won't require surgery, but Stevenson is expected to miss New England's Week 10 game against Detroit (not settled yet)
  - No. 12 Derek Brown, Sep 8, 2026: Rhamondre Stevenson to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
- [DeMario Douglas](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/demario-douglas) (WR1, WR): 31 catches for 434 yards · 4 TD · 9 games; 31st in the NFL in receiving yards
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Nov 2, 2026: DeMario Douglas to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
  - No. 33 Alain Poupart, Oct 31, 2026: DeMario Douglas to be 3rd on the depth chart (not settled yet)
- [Hunter Henry](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/hunter-henry) (TE1, TE): 32 catches for 361 yards · 2 TD · 9 games; 49th in the NFL in receiving yards
- [Elijah Ponder](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/elijah-ponder) (Sack leader, LB): 7.5 sacks · 14 solo tackles · 9 games; 4th in the NFL in sacks
- [Christian Elliss](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/christian-elliss) (Tackle leader, LB): 1.5 sacks · 32 solo tackles · 9 games; 34th in the NFL in solo tackles
  - No. 32 Connor Rogers, Oct 22, 2026: Christian Ellis logged full practices. He's questionable. I think he'll play. (not settled yet)

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The room is counted in pundits, each one's latest call standing. Accuracy is out of 100; the naive pick is the home team.
The week: https://missedtakes.co/nfl/games/2026-week-6
Method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology
