# Texans vs Jaguars predictions, graded

Week 6, 2026: Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars

Oct 18, 2026 · final: Texans 34, Jaguars 31 · 33 calls on record · updated Oct 18, 4:42 PM ET

Who do pundits pick in Texans vs Jaguars? Of 28 pundits with a call on record, 17 take the Jaguars and 11 take the Texans. 7 named a score; the median has the Jaguars by 4. The Texans won 34-31, so 11 of 28 had the winner. Their graded calls averaged 52 out of 100.

Picks by outlet. Each pundit counted once, at the outlet or show their latest call ran on. An outlet is listed when two or more of its pundits have picked.

- [Sports Illustrated](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/sports-illustrated): Jaguars 6, Texans 2
- [CBS Sports](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/cbs-sports): Jaguars 5, Texans 2
- [Chris Simms Unbuttoned (podcast)](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/chris-simms-unbuttoned-podcast): all 2 Jaguars
- [Football 301 with Nate Tice (podcast)](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/football-301-with-nate-tice-podcast): all 2 Texans
- [The Richard Sherman Podcast (podcast)](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-richard-sherman-podcast-podcast): all 2 Jaguars

The other 7 pundits write or talk elsewhere: Texans 5, Jaguars 2.

Page: https://missedtakes.co/nfl/games/2026-week-6-texans-at-jaguars

Picks:

- [Shanna McCarriston](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/shanna-mccarriston) took the Jaguars, Jaguars 30–Texans 13; said Oct 17, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 16.67 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 42.86) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9f8dc4e4-9466-429f-b4b1-5e3cb6deab59
- [Chris Broussard](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/chris-broussard) took the Texans; said Oct 16, 2026; on First Things First (podcast); scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0eb4d0a3-1c94-421c-a9c4-aec2ccb5f960
- [Connor Rogers](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/connor-rogers) took the Jaguars; said Oct 16, 2026; on Chris Simms Unbuttoned (podcast); scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/90d3ddfa-810c-458f-8462-4f65d1e657f1
- [Chris Simms](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/chris-simms) took the Jaguars, Jaguars 20–Texans 16; said Oct 16, 2026; on Chris Simms Unbuttoned (podcast); scored 47.62 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 42.86) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4f810492-4a16-44b4-a36e-dcfc43ac96b4
- [Jordan Dajani](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jordan-dajani) took the Texans, Texans 21–Jaguars 18; said Oct 16, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 42.86) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8ff47fe4-8a36-4584-aafc-abd610a12470
- [Jordan Dajani](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jordan-dajani) took the Texans, Texans 21–Jaguars 18; said Oct 16, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 42.86) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/031c08dd-704e-4d5d-b01a-1713a463e1df
- [John Middlekauff](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/john-middlekauff) took the Texans; said Oct 16, 2026; on 3 and Out with John Middlekauff (podcast); scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3b46b5a3-4040-483d-9458-3e547497c7d5
- [Pardon My Take](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/pardon-my-take) took the Texans; said Oct 16, 2026; on Pardon My Take (podcast); scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3f61e238-4e19-48bb-9067-f58794999aa6
- [Matt Harmon](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/matt-harmon) took the Texans; said Oct 15, 2026; on Football 301 with Nate Tice (podcast); scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e2341c1a-18e6-40d7-892e-6f93ae0e4fa3
- [Nate Tice](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/nate-tice) took the Texans; said Oct 15, 2026; on Football 301 with Nate Tice (podcast); scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0b0c2a58-d4b0-40ea-b1f3-2c9889bfc2ae
- [Jordan Dajani](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jordan-dajani) took the Texans, Texans 21–Jaguars 18; said Oct 15, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 42.86) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ab12275b-2a5f-463f-b7a3-7a481a2e9686
- [Jordan Dajani](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jordan-dajani) took the Texans, Texans 21–Jaguars 18; said Oct 15, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 42.86) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/111b5873-339e-4b7a-968d-07cb733c9f26
- [Jared Dubin](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jared-dubin) took the Jaguars, Jaguars 24–Texans 20; said Oct 15, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 47.62 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 42.86) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b2646950-61ed-469d-a300-d4dd0032326b
- [Albert Breer](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/albert-breer) took the Texans; said Oct 15, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/52507147-c6d5-40e4-b363-cf4b613d9c96
- [Eva Geitheim](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/eva-geitheim) took the Jaguars; said Oct 15, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b980761c-efc2-43f2-9442-104588188d6c
- [Gilberto Manzano](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/gilberto-manzano) took the Jaguars; said Oct 15, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ed27b875-fdd0-46f5-acbf-4775e7447ecb
- [Mike Kadlick](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/mike-kadlick) took the Jaguars; said Oct 15, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fa95a096-b860-4ecb-961a-fb6a63a76bd0
- [Conor Orr](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/conor-orr) took the Texans; said Oct 15, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7d76979e-8b38-4a07-bfe8-1d5944db6fa3
- [John Pluym](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/john-pluym) took the Jaguars; said Oct 15, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/274ca944-1d32-49d8-8647-5ce3e0c8ea09
- [Matt Verderame](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/matt-verderame) took the Jaguars; said Oct 15, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b82668d7-7cde-4737-995a-33971b92f440
- [Mitch Goldich](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/mitch-goldich) took the Jaguars; said Oct 15, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7918f8b7-1467-4a59-ae36-48e9b81f72a2
- [Richard Sherman](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/richard-sherman) took the Jaguars; said Oct 14, 2026; on The Richard Sherman Podcast (podcast); scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/cba1ab87-c59a-4697-9170-a6425317535b
- [Mitchell Eisenstein](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/mitchell-eisenstein) took the Jaguars; said Oct 14, 2026; on The Richard Sherman Podcast (podcast); scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ff01c53e-6d61-46b5-944c-d4230e0edac4
- [Tyler Sullivan](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/tyler-sullivan) took the Jaguars, Jaguars 28–Texans 24; said Oct 14, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 47.62 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 42.86) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fd5d9e28-2a59-4c8e-b26c-7404e58b13a4
- [Pete Prisco](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/pete-prisco) took the Jaguars, Jaguars 24–Texans 20; said Oct 14, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 47.62 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 42.86) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/55078747-a46c-46d7-829a-5ca19a3233f1
- [John Breech](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/john-breech) took the Texans, Texans 20–Jaguars 17; said Oct 13, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 42.86) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dd50ac69-1942-4821-9142-3e570ca82c47
- [Carter Bahns](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/carter-bahns) took the Jaguars; said Oct 8, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8612f7e7-3595-4376-8f3b-e13898294f8f
- [Rich Eisen](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/rich-eisen) took the Jaguars; said Oct 5, 2026; on Overreaction Monday (podcast); scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/51be9b90-326a-4ff3-a69d-c704f063d73a
- [Rich Eisen](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/rich-eisen) took the Jaguars; said Aug 19, 2026; on The Rich Eisen Show (podcast); scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c3c4f49b-d302-4b0a-927f-a151ca5da8d0
- [Rich Eisen](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/rich-eisen) took the Texans; said Aug 19, 2026; on The Rich Eisen Show (podcast); scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c3c4f49b-d302-4b0a-927f-a151ca5da8d0
- [Walt](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/walt) took the Texans; said Aug 1, 2026; on Walter Football; scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/94ec46b8-3867-42f7-b18a-824530549489
- [John Granato](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/john-granato) took the Texans; said May 19, 2026; on John and Lance — ESPN Houston (podcast); scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/90fd3c9e-7281-40ec-be9b-f741f1f476b0
- [TJ Jefferson](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/tj-jefferson) took the Jaguars; said May 13, 2026; on The Rich Eisen Show (podcast); scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0eb26a44-87cc-4143-bead-af03ddfe6f1b

## How they came in

The Texans are 1-4; the Jaguars are 4-1 and have won 3 straight. It is a division game. On win totals, 20 pundits put the Texans at 10.2 wins on average, and 12 pundits put the Jaguars at 10.8 wins on average.

Venue: Wembley Stadium, London, United Kingdom

- Houston Texans: 1-4 (110 scored, 112 allowed)
  - Last games: W 26-3 at Titans; L 30-34 vs Cowboys; L 17-19 at Colts
  - Unit ranks this season: offense 7th, defense 10th of 32
  - Last season: 12-5
  - Win-total calls: 22 pundits, average 10.2, 1 to 17 wins
  - The side most pundits took won 1 of 5 Texans games
- Jacksonville Jaguars: 4-1, won 3 straight (123 scored, 70 allowed)
  - Last games: W 19-17 vs Eagles; W 22-17 at Bengals; W 35-6 vs Patriots
  - Unit ranks this season: offense 3rd, defense 4th of 32
  - Last season: 13-4
  - Win-total calls: 13 pundits, average 10.8, 6 to 17 wins
  - The side most pundits took won 4 of 5 Jaguars games

## Players to watch

Each club's starting quarterback, leading rusher, receiver and tight end, and its sack and tackle leaders, with their 2026 regular season so far, with the latest call on each from a pundit ranked on the leaderboard whose record beats the naive pick, made since the 2026 schedule came out ("No." is that rank). Leaderboard: https://missedtakes.co/nfl/leaderboard

- [C.J. Stroud](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/c-j-stroud) (Starting QB, QB): 2,251 passing yards · 16 TD, 2 INT · 64.2% completions · 100 rushing yards · 8 games; 7th in the NFL in passing yards
  - No. 1 Jared Koch, Nov 4, 2026: C.J. Stroud: “if he continues his strong play, the Texans will be forced to pay Stroud as one of the highest-paid quarterbacks in the NFL” (not settled yet)
  - No. 5 Tom Pelissero, Nov 13, 2026: C.J. Stroud: “if he just finishes like this, 65,000,000 a year and the highest paid quarterback” (not settled yet)
- [Woody Marks](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/woody-marks) (RB1, RB): 341 rushing yards on 95 carries · 2 TD · 15 catches for 98 · 8 games; 28th in the NFL in rushing yards
  - No. 1 Jared Koch, Nov 11, 2026: Woody Marks to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Oct 12, 2026: Woody Marks to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
- [Nico Collins](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/nico-collins) (WR1, WR): 28 catches for 384 yards · 4 TD · 6 games; 42nd in the NFL in receiving yards
  - No. 1 Jared Koch, Oct 19, 2026: Nico Collins to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
  - No. 4 Bryan DeArdo, Sep 22, 2026: he played well in Week 1 but wasn't as good on Sunday without Nico Collins, who is expected to miss this Sunday's game against the also-winless Colts (Week 3) (not settled yet)
- [Dalton Schultz](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/dalton-schultz) (TE1, TE): 35 catches for 364 yards · 0 TD · 8 games; 47th in the NFL in receiving yards
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Aug 23, 2026: Dalton Schultz to outplay his draft cost (late-round) (not settled yet)
  - No. 12 Derek Brown, Sep 2, 2026: Dalton Schultz to outplay his draft cost (ADP 25) (not settled yet)
- [Will Anderson Jr.](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/will-anderson-jr) (Sack leader, DE): 9.5 sacks · 18 solo tackles · 8 games; 1st in the NFL in sacks
  - No. 4 Bryan DeArdo, Nov 3, 2026: Will Anderson Jr. to stay with Houston Texans (not settled yet)
  - No. 16 Mike Kadlick, Nov 12, 2026: Will Anderson Jr. to win Defensive Player of the Year (not settled yet)
- [Kamari Lassiter](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kamari-lassiter) (Tackle leader, CB): 1 sack · 32 solo tackles · 8 games; 34th in the NFL in solo tackles
  - No. 1 Jared Koch, Oct 10, 2026: Kamari Lassiter to record 1 interceptions (not settled yet)
- [Trevor Lawrence](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/trevor-lawrence) (Starting QB, QB): 1,932 passing yards · 18 TD, 4 INT · 65.2% completions · 8 games; 15th in the NFL in passing yards
  - No. 4 Bryan DeArdo, Nov 3, 2026: Trevor Lawrence to stay with Jacksonville Jaguars (not settled yet)
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Sep 5, 2026: Trevor Lawrence to outplay his draft cost (being drafted as a low-end QB1, according to average draft position (ADP)) (not settled yet)
- [Bhayshul Tuten](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/bhayshul-tuten) (RB1, RB): 521 rushing yards on 122 carries · 7 TD · 15 catches for 181 · 8 games; 15th in the NFL in rushing yards
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Oct 12, 2026: Bhayshul Tuten to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
  - No. 12 Derek Brown, Jul 20, 2026: Bhayshul Tuten to finish top 22 at his position, by fantasy points (not settled yet)
- [Parker Washington](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/parker-washington) (WR1, WR): 29 catches for 493 yards · 5 TD · 8 games; 24th in the NFL in receiving yards
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Aug 3, 2026: Parker Washington to outplay his draft cost (WR35, 83rd overall) (not settled yet)
  - No. 12 Derek Brown, Sep 7, 2026: Parker Washington to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
- [Brenton Strange](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/brenton-strange) (TE1, TE): 30 catches for 356 yards · 1 TD · 8 games; 50th in the NFL in receiving yards
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Sep 14, 2026: Brenton Strange to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
  - No. 12 Derek Brown, Aug 19, 2026: Brenton Strange to be 5th on the depth chart (not settled yet)
- [Travon Walker](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/travon-walker) (Sack leader, DE): 3 sacks · 8 solo tackles · 8 games; 51st in the NFL in sacks
- [Jessie Bates](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jessie-bates) (Tackle leader, S): 35 solo tackles · 1 interception · 9 games; 20th in the NFL in solo tackles

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The room is counted in pundits, each one's latest call standing. Accuracy is out of 100; the naive pick is the home team.
The week: https://missedtakes.co/nfl/games/2026-week-6
Method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology
