# Patriots vs Bears predictions, graded

Week 7, 2026: New England Patriots at Chicago Bears

Oct 23, 2026 · final: Patriots 24, Bears 30 · 23 calls on record · updated Oct 23, 7:44 AM ET

Who do pundits pick in Patriots vs Bears? Of 16 pundits with a call on record, 10 take the Bears and 6 take the Patriots. 8 named a score; the median has the Bears by 4. The Bears won 30-24, so 10 of 16 had the winner. Their graded calls averaged 72 out of 100.

Picks by outlet. Each pundit counted once, at the outlet or show their latest call ran on. An outlet is listed when two or more of its pundits have picked.

- [CBS Sports](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/cbs-sports): Bears 4, Patriots 1
- [The Pat McAfee Show (podcast)](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-pat-mcafee-show-podcast): Patriots 2, Bears 1
- [Chris Simms Unbuttoned (podcast)](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/chris-simms-unbuttoned-podcast): Bears 1, Patriots 1
- [The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-rich-eisen-show-podcast): Bears 1, Patriots 1
- [The Richard Sherman Podcast (podcast)](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-richard-sherman-podcast-podcast): Bears 1, Patriots 1

The other 2 pundits write or talk elsewhere: all 2 Bears.

Page: https://missedtakes.co/nfl/games/2026-week-7-patriots-at-bears

Picks:

- [Jared Dubin](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jared-dubin) took the Bears, Bears 31–Patriots 27; said Oct 22, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 95.24 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 86.37) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/989115a4-ea61-4037-a2d2-68c6b21c3655
- [Anthony "Tone Digz" DiGuilio](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/anthony-tone-digz-diguilio) took the Patriots; said Oct 22, 2026; on The Pat McAfee Show (podcast); scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d63de591-73d4-46bf-a990-01152cad1d8a
- [AJ Hawk](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/aj-hawk) took the Patriots; said Oct 22, 2026; on The Pat McAfee Show (podcast); scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7e85bd06-1383-4496-a89d-4c1f9efa250a
- [Chuck Pagano](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/chuck-pagano) took the Bears; said Oct 22, 2026; on The Pat McAfee Show (podcast); scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/64ccc7a0-417d-4f96-b5d7-12abf5829e68
- [Connor Rogers](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/connor-rogers) took the Bears; said Oct 22, 2026; on Chris Simms Unbuttoned (podcast); scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/20895a4c-191d-42ba-80b7-d4f067287a54
- [Chris Simms](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/chris-simms) took the Patriots, Patriots 24–Bears 21; said Oct 22, 2026; on Chris Simms Unbuttoned (podcast); scored 42.86 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 86.37) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4f972925-fa59-4f77-a55a-108f48d2722e
- [Sam Monson](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/sam-monson) took the Bears; said Oct 22, 2026; on Check the Mic (podcast); scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/970d291d-360e-447a-8ab4-9463c1b3d1f2
- [Jared Dubin](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jared-dubin) took the Bears, Bears 31–Patriots 27; said Oct 22, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 95.24 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 86.37) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0b007da2-866d-451e-81c0-b4cb2b65ae27
- [Tyler Sullivan](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/tyler-sullivan) took the Bears, Bears 24–Patriots 20; said Oct 22, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 95.24 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 86.37) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1d67a8ee-754b-41de-a167-d594db022b38
- [Pete Prisco](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/pete-prisco) took the Patriots, Patriots 28–Bears 27; said Oct 22, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 38.1 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 86.37) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/04ad5dc6-01e3-4ec9-94ca-4f2dd92b0d79
- [Jordan Dajani](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jordan-dajani) took the Bears, Bears 28–Patriots 24; said Oct 22, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 95.24 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 86.37) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d4d3deba-8aa0-412f-a92f-6ae82463639f
- [John Breech](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/john-breech) took the Bears, Bears 27–Patriots 20; said Oct 22, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 97.62 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 86.37) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/76b4f364-f8cf-415f-a246-97d26c9f4aec
- [Pete Prisco](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/pete-prisco) took the Patriots, Patriots 28–Bears 27; said Oct 22, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 38.1 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 86.37) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/36d363d5-e865-4681-9b03-1d8c324283a5
- [Jordan Dajani](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jordan-dajani) took the Bears, Bears 28–Patriots 24; said Oct 22, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 95.24 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 86.37) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/38cb7717-8e6c-45e5-a5aa-e3d6a7fcdcdb
- [Jared Dubin](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jared-dubin) took the Bears, Bears 31–Patriots 27; said Oct 22, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 95.24 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 86.37) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/32af045d-0d3f-479f-8b73-5d973bdd4309
- [Mitchell Eisenstein](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/mitchell-eisenstein) took the Patriots, Patriots 24–Bears 20; said Oct 21, 2026; on The Richard Sherman Podcast (podcast); scored 45.24 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 86.37) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fe821aaa-1e32-4315-a51a-ef5e81819dc1
- [Richard Sherman](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/richard-sherman) took the Bears, Bears 27–Patriots 20; said Oct 21, 2026; on The Richard Sherman Podcast (podcast); scored 97.62 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 86.37) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7570981d-2b5d-4d7e-8d11-2965d061d80b
- [Tyler Sullivan](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/tyler-sullivan) took the Bears, Bears 24–Patriots 20; said Oct 21, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 95.24 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 86.37) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/97bc793d-c9fd-46fc-9ecb-2df22b1100ac
- [Pete Prisco](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/pete-prisco) took the Patriots, Patriots 28–Bears 27; said Oct 21, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 38.1 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 86.37) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f134f58b-978a-46a3-b046-d63f6d52e822
- [John Breech](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/john-breech) took the Bears, Bears 27–Patriots 20; said Oct 20, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 97.62 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 86.37) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/cd318ed9-a95b-4257-86d3-c01b23e5319d
- [Rich Eisen](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/rich-eisen) took the Bears; said Sep 28, 2026; on Overreaction Monday (podcast); scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a1b1409d-2a17-4493-9554-433870911c28
- [Adam Chudwin](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/adam-chudwin) took the Bears; said Sep 4, 2026; on The Rich Eisen Show (podcast); scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b6e5e93f-2997-4140-881f-3acec911a1f1
- [Mark Wahlberg](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/mark-wahlberg) took the Patriots; said Sep 3, 2026; on The Rich Eisen Show (podcast); scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/14761919-29fa-4eda-a3d4-ba0f76f399c2

## How they came in

The Patriots are 4-2 and have won 3 straight; the Bears are 4-2. On win totals, 17 pundits put the Patriots at 10 wins on average, and 19 pundits put the Bears at 9.7 wins on average.

Venue: Soldier Field, Chicago, Illinois

- New England Patriots: 4-2, won 3 straight (136 scored, 113 allowed)
  - Last games: W 26-19 vs Jets; W 45-17 vs Raiders; W 29-26 at Bills
  - Unit ranks this season: offense 11th, defense 17th of 32
  - Last season: 14-3
  - Win-total calls: 18 pundits, average 10, 9 to 17 wins
  - The side most pundits took won 5 of 6 Patriots games
- Chicago Bears: 4-2 (150 scored, 119 allowed)
  - Last games: W 31-23 at Falcons; L 7-31 at Packers; W 23-12 vs Jets
  - Unit ranks this season: offense 8th, defense 15th of 32
  - Last season: 11-6
  - Win-total calls: 19 pundits, average 9.7, 3 to 12 wins
  - The side most pundits took won 3 of 6 Bears games

## Players to watch

Each club's starting quarterback, leading rusher, receiver and tight end, and its sack and tackle leaders, with their 2026 regular season so far, with the latest call on each from a pundit ranked on the leaderboard whose record beats the naive pick, made since the 2026 schedule came out ("No." is that rank). Leaderboard: https://missedtakes.co/nfl/leaderboard

- [Drake Maye](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/drake-maye) (Starting QB, QB): 2,282 passing yards · 18 TD, 11 INT · 65.4% completions · 219 rushing yards · 9 games; 6th in the NFL in passing yards
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Oct 9, 2026: Drake Maye to finish QB1 (1–12) at his position, by fantasy points (not settled yet)
  - No. 12 Derek Brown, Sep 6, 2026: Drake Maye to finish top 5 at his position, by fantasy points (not settled yet)
- [Rhamondre Stevenson](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/rhamondre-stevenson) (RB1, RB): 399 rushing yards on 102 carries · 4 TD · 26 catches for 258 · 9 games; 22nd in the NFL in rushing yards
  - No. 12 Derek Brown, Sep 8, 2026: Rhamondre Stevenson to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
  - No. 24 Rich Hribar, Sep 7, 2026: Rhamondre Stevenson to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
- [DeMario Douglas](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/demario-douglas) (WR1, WR): 31 catches for 434 yards · 4 TD · 9 games; 31st in the NFL in receiving yards
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Nov 2, 2026: DeMario Douglas to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
  - No. 33 Alain Poupart, Oct 31, 2026: DeMario Douglas to be 3rd on the depth chart (not settled yet)
- [Hunter Henry](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/hunter-henry) (TE1, TE): 32 catches for 361 yards · 2 TD · 9 games; 49th in the NFL in receiving yards
- [Elijah Ponder](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/elijah-ponder) (Sack leader, LB): 7.5 sacks · 14 solo tackles · 9 games; 4th in the NFL in sacks
- [Christian Elliss](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/christian-elliss) (Tackle leader, LB): 1.5 sacks · 32 solo tackles · 9 games; 34th in the NFL in solo tackles
  - No. 32 Connor Rogers, Oct 22, 2026: Christian Ellis logged full practices. He's questionable. I think he'll play. (not settled yet)
- [Caleb Williams](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/caleb-williams) (Starting QB, QB): 1,546 passing yards · 8 TD, 5 INT · 68.7% completions · 145 rushing yards · 6 games; 22nd in the NFL in passing yards
  - No. 5 Tom Pelissero, Sep 25, 2026: he's gonna be back soon. He didn't practice today. It's unlikely that he plays Monday night. (not settled yet)
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Oct 15, 2026: But Williams is expected back for the Bears' Week 6 game against the Falcons, who have been playing well after an 0-2 start. (not settled yet)
- [D'Andre Swift](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/d-andre-swift) (RB1, RB): 576 rushing yards on 155 carries · 10 TD · 24 catches for 162 · 9 games; 14th in the NFL in rushing yards
  - No. 12 Derek Brown, Sep 7, 2026: D'Andre Swift to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
  - No. 24 Rich Hribar, Aug 4, 2026: D'Andre Swift to outplay his draft cost (the RB2/dead-zone range) (not settled yet)
- [Luther Burden III](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/luther-burden-iii) (WR1, WR): 49 catches for 644 yards · 4 TD · 9 games; 13th in the NFL in receiving yards
  - No. 23 Jordan Dajani, Aug 10, 2026: Luther Burden III to record 1,057 receiving yards (not settled yet)
  - No. 26 Bucky Brooks, Jul 12, 2026: Luther Burden III to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
- [Colston Loveland](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/colston-loveland) (TE1, TE): 37 catches for 363 yards · 2 TD · 9 games; 48th in the NFL in receiving yards
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Aug 28, 2026: Colston Loveland to outplay his draft cost (the consensus TE3 for 2026 fantasy drafts) (not settled yet)
  - No. 12 Derek Brown, Aug 5, 2026: Colston Loveland to finish top 1 at his position, by fantasy points (not settled yet)
- [Jeffery Simmons](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jeffery-simmons) (Sack leader, DT): 6 sacks · 26 solo tackles · 9 games; 11th in the NFL in sacks
  - No. 39 Gregg Rosenthal, Oct 29, 2026: Jeffery Simmons to make All-Pro (not settled yet)
  - No. 48 John Middlekauff, Oct 30, 2026: Jeffery Simmons to make All-Pro (not settled yet)
- [Dillon Thieneman](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/dillon-thieneman) (Tackle leader, S): 1.5 sacks · 30 solo tackles · 1 interception · 9 games; 48th in the NFL in solo tackles

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The room is counted in pundits, each one's latest call standing. Accuracy is out of 100; the naive pick is the home team.
The week: https://missedtakes.co/nfl/games/2026-week-7
Method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology