# Patriots vs Dolphins predictions, graded

Week 8, 2026: New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins

Nov 1, 2026 · final: Patriots 24, Dolphins 19 · 19 calls on record · updated Nov 2, 11:02 AM ET

Who do pundits pick in Patriots vs Dolphins? Of 16 pundits with a call on record, all 16 take the Patriots. 4 named a score; the median has the Patriots by 14. The Patriots won 24-19, so 16 of 16 had the winner. Their graded calls averaged 94 out of 100.

Picks by outlet. Each pundit counted once, at the outlet or show their latest call ran on. An outlet is listed when two or more of its pundits have picked.

- [CBS Sports](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/cbs-sports): all 5 Patriots
- [Chris Simms Unbuttoned (podcast)](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/chris-simms-unbuttoned-podcast): all 2 Patriots
- [Sports Illustrated](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/sports-illustrated): all 2 Patriots
- [The Richard Sherman Podcast (podcast)](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-richard-sherman-podcast-podcast): all 2 Patriots

The other 5 pundits write or talk elsewhere: all 5 Patriots.

Page: https://missedtakes.co/nfl/games/2026-week-8-patriots-at-dolphins

Picks:

- [Connor Rogers](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/connor-rogers) took the Patriots; said Oct 30, 2026; on Chris Simms Unbuttoned (podcast); scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/14b3a81b-ba4d-4270-b122-8cfe7fc959b0
- [Chris Simms](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/chris-simms) took the Patriots, Patriots 31–Dolphins 16; said Oct 30, 2026; on Chris Simms Unbuttoned (podcast); scored 76.19 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 39.8) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/257149d0-81ab-4feb-a725-ef5bebba04b0
- [Shanna McCarriston](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/shanna-mccarriston) took the Patriots; said Oct 30, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e299d067-70e1-49e9-bfc4-0fafd3a40c1b
- [Tyler Sullivan](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/tyler-sullivan) took the Patriots, Patriots 30–Dolphins 20; said Oct 30, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 88.1 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 39.8) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4958cf4d-99e6-4ebf-9c3d-9e376448eb33
- [Pardon My Take](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/pardon-my-take) took the Patriots; said Oct 30, 2026; on Pardon My Take (podcast); scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d414788e-66f3-48d9-9b22-d255c2108a2f
- [Bill Simmons](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/bill-simmons) took the Patriots; said Oct 30, 2026; on The Bill Simmons Podcast (podcast); scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/63dd0715-5c9d-4caa-9ecb-b87b49a0a8bc
- [Nate Tice](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/nate-tice) took the Patriots; said Oct 29, 2026; on Football 301 with Nate Tice (podcast); scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 39.8) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8d5d91c8-a2b7-40a9-9110-bc60312165be
- [Sam Monson](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/sam-monson) took the Patriots; said Oct 29, 2026; on Check the Mic (podcast); scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4c87bf73-1012-4e59-90a0-0d580f1ab3c6
- [Tyler Sullivan](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/tyler-sullivan) took the Patriots, Patriots 30–Dolphins 20; said Oct 29, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 88.1 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 39.8) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b29e9545-ab5c-48b1-9d52-41fb12522050
- [John Breech](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/john-breech) took the Patriots, Patriots 31–Dolphins 17; said Oct 29, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 78.57 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 39.8) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a57cb0eb-708d-41aa-9bb8-dbc16f7d3ded
- [Richard Sherman](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/richard-sherman) took the Patriots; said Oct 28, 2026; on The Richard Sherman Podcast (podcast); scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ab6b4f5f-1083-43b1-a29c-b30795ddf69f
- [Mitchell Eisenstein](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/mitchell-eisenstein) took the Patriots; said Oct 28, 2026; on The Richard Sherman Podcast (podcast); scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/01588b84-4ffa-49e4-87f6-a4537ede33bd
- [Pete Prisco](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/pete-prisco) took the Patriots, Patriots 28–Dolphins 14; said Oct 28, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 78.57 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 39.8) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0e9d8078-8a3c-4465-92a9-e73302d4a67c
- [John Breech](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/john-breech) took the Patriots, Patriots 31–Dolphins 17; said Oct 27, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 78.57 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 39.8) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2c56260f-14b4-4708-b8e0-c7a2b156d964
- [Ethan Hurwitz](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/ethan-hurwitz) took the Patriots; said Oct 26, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d8a667d1-c2e6-49b2-b448-073d90525295
- [Ethan Hurwitz](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/ethan-hurwitz) took the Patriots; said Oct 25, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2de0fe25-7ace-4c74-b164-21cb78a2e773
- [Colby Shannon](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/colby-shannon) took the Patriots; said Oct 11, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9eae453b-fc13-4849-9787-0e5358bc04a4
- [Carter Bahns](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/carter-bahns) took the Patriots; said Sep 8, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d770cd52-bd0f-48f3-b628-08e10d0165d7
- [Mark Wahlberg](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/mark-wahlberg) took the Patriots; said Sep 3, 2026; on The Rich Eisen Show (podcast); scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/14761919-29fa-4eda-a3d4-ba0f76f399c2

## How they came in

The Patriots are 4-3; the Dolphins are 1-5. It is a division game. On win totals, 16 pundits put the Patriots at 10.2 wins on average, and 18 pundits put the Dolphins at 2.8 wins on average.

Venue: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, Florida

- New England Patriots: 4-3 (160 scored, 143 allowed)
  - Last games: L 24-30 at Bears; W 26-19 vs Jets; W 45-17 vs Raiders
  - Unit ranks this season: offense 11th, defense 16th of 32
  - Last season: 14-3
  - Win-total calls: 17 pundits, average 10.2, 9 to 17 wins
  - The side most pundits took won 6 of 7 Patriots games
- Miami Dolphins: 1-5 (98 scored, 157 allowed)
  - Last games: W 28-25 at Jets; L 24-31 vs Bengals; L 10-15 at Vikings
  - Unit ranks this season: offense 28th, defense 27th of 32
  - Last season: 7-10
  - Win-total calls: 18 pundits, average 2.8, 0 to 7 wins
  - The side most pundits took won 5 of 6 Dolphins games

## Players to watch

Each club's starting quarterback, leading rusher, receiver and tight end, and its sack and tackle leaders, with their 2026 regular season so far, with the latest call on each from a pundit ranked on the leaderboard whose record beats the naive pick, made since the 2026 schedule came out ("No." is that rank). Leaderboard: https://missedtakes.co/nfl/leaderboard

- [Drake Maye](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/drake-maye) (Starting QB, QB): 2,282 passing yards · 18 TD, 11 INT · 65.4% completions · 219 rushing yards · 9 games; 6th in the NFL in passing yards
  - No. 6 Pat Fitzmaurice, Oct 9, 2026: Drake Maye to finish QB1 (1–12) at his position, by fantasy points (not settled yet)
  - No. 8 Derek Brown, Sep 6, 2026: Drake Maye to finish top 5 at his position, by fantasy points (not settled yet)
- [Rhamondre Stevenson](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/rhamondre-stevenson) (RB1, RB): 399 rushing yards on 102 carries · 4 TD · 26 catches for 258 · 9 games; 22nd in the NFL in rushing yards
  - No. 8 Derek Brown, Sep 8, 2026: Rhamondre Stevenson to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
  - No. 19 Rich Hribar, Sep 7, 2026: Rhamondre Stevenson to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
- [DeMario Douglas](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/demario-douglas) (WR1, WR): 31 catches for 434 yards · 4 TD · 9 games; 31st in the NFL in receiving yards
  - No. 6 Pat Fitzmaurice, Nov 2, 2026: DeMario Douglas to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
  - No. 29 Alain Poupart, Oct 31, 2026: DeMario Douglas to be 3rd on the depth chart (not settled yet)
- [Hunter Henry](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/hunter-henry) (TE1, TE): 32 catches for 361 yards · 2 TD · 9 games; 46th in the NFL in receiving yards
- [Elijah Ponder](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/elijah-ponder) (Sack leader, LB): 7.5 sacks · 14 solo tackles · 9 games; 3rd in the NFL in sacks
- [Christian Elliss](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/christian-elliss) (Tackle leader, LB): 1.5 sacks · 32 solo tackles · 9 games; 31st in the NFL in solo tackles
  - No. 25 Connor Rogers, Oct 22, 2026: Christian Ellis logged full practices. He's questionable. I think he'll play. (not settled yet)
- [Malik Willis](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/malik-willis) (Starting QB, QB): 1,396 passing yards · 6 TD, 6 INT · 58.2% completions · 232 rushing yards · 8 games; 26th in the NFL in passing yards
  - No. 6 Pat Fitzmaurice, Sep 8, 2026: Malik Willis to record 1,000 rushing yards (not settled yet)
  - No. 8 Derek Brown, Sep 6, 2026: Malik Willis to finish top 12 at his position, by fantasy points (not settled yet)
- [Ollie Gordon II](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/ollie-gordon-ii) (RB1, RB): 463 rushing yards on 107 carries · 4 TD · 7 catches for 23 · 7 games; 16th in the NFL in rushing yards
  - No. 29 Alain Poupart, Nov 5, 2026: Ollie Gordon II to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
- [Malik Washington](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/malik-washington) (WR1, WR): 33 catches for 350 yards · 1 TD · 8 games; 53rd in the NFL in receiving yards
  - No. 6 Pat Fitzmaurice, Sep 21, 2026: Malik Washington to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
  - No. 29 Alain Poupart, Aug 28, 2026: Malik Washington to make the roster (scored 100 out of 100)
- [Greg Dulcich](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/greg-dulcich) (TE1, TE): 24 catches for 270 yards · 0 TD · 7 games; 83rd in the NFL in receiving yards
  - No. 6 Pat Fitzmaurice, Aug 11, 2026: Greg Dulcich to outplay his draft cost (Late-Round) (not settled yet)
  - No. 8 Derek Brown, Aug 23, 2026: Greg Dulcich to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
- [Chop Robinson](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/chop-robinson) (Sack leader, LB): 4 sacks · 7 solo tackles · 7 games; 29th in the NFL in sacks
  - No. 29 Alain Poupart, Sep 25, 2026: Robinson will be back against Kansas City and told reporters Thursday he'll be wearing a Guardian cap (Week 3) (not settled yet)
- [Jacob Rodriguez](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jacob-rodriguez) (Tackle leader, LB): 1 sack · 34 solo tackles · 1 interception · 8 games; 22nd in the NFL in solo tackles
  - No. 7 Lance Zierlein, Sep 15, 2026: Jacob Rodriguez to win Defensive Rookie of the Year (not settled yet)
  - No. 19 Rich Hribar, Sep 9, 2026: Jacob Rodriguez to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)

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The room is counted in pundits, each one's latest call standing. Accuracy is out of 100; the naive pick is the home team.
The week: https://missedtakes.co/nfl/games/2026-week-8
Method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology