# Cowboys vs Colts predictions, graded

Week 9, 2026: Dallas Cowboys at Indianapolis Colts

Nov 8, 2026 · final: Cowboys 27, Colts 23 · 17 calls on record · updated Nov 9, 11:50 AM ET

Who do pundits pick in Cowboys vs Colts? Of 14 pundits with a call on record, 11 take the Cowboys and 3 take the Colts. 5 named a score; the median has the Cowboys by 7. The Cowboys won 27-23, so 11 of 14 had the winner. Their graded calls averaged 78 out of 100.

Picks by outlet. Each pundit counted once, at the outlet or show their latest call ran on. An outlet is listed when two or more of its pundits have picked.

- [CBS Sports](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/cbs-sports): all 2 Cowboys
- [DLLS Dallas Cowboys (podcast)](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/dlls-dallas-cowboys-podcast): Colts 1, Cowboys 1
- [Sports Illustrated](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/sports-illustrated): all 2 Cowboys
- [The Richard Sherman Podcast (podcast)](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-richard-sherman-podcast-podcast): all 2 Cowboys

The other 6 pundits write or talk elsewhere: Cowboys 4, Colts 2.

Page: https://missedtakes.co/nfl/games/2026-week-9-cowboys-at-colts

Picks:

- [Pete Prisco](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/pete-prisco) took the Cowboys, Cowboys 31–Colts 17; said Nov 8, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 76.19 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 40.82) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dc43909b-bc7f-47aa-b208-5cf7c95844bc
- [Jake Arthur](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jake-arthur) took the Cowboys; said Nov 7, 2026; on Locked On Colts (podcast); scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/761f3196-3e96-41ba-8e84-27d80205f0c4
- [Jake Arthur](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jake-arthur) took the Cowboys, Cowboys 31–Colts 24; said Nov 7, 2026; on Locked On Colts (podcast); scored 92.86 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 40.82) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/761f3196-3e96-41ba-8e84-27d80205f0c4
- [Chris Simms](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/chris-simms) took the Cowboys, Cowboys 31–Colts 21; said Nov 6, 2026; on Chris Simms Unbuttoned (podcast); scored 85.71 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 40.82) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/17eb747a-90b1-472f-bb6d-e71c0c69133a
- [Chris Long](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/chris-long) took the Colts; said Nov 6, 2026; on Green Light with Chris Long (podcast); scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/623f8e00-789e-4239-9edc-5e1285346b9d
- [PFT](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/pft) took the Cowboys; said Nov 6, 2026; on Pardon My Take (podcast); scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dced95e9-cb29-4f19-aae1-418fa1f2b5b1
- [TJ Jefferson](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/tj-jefferson) took the Cowboys; said Nov 5, 2026; on The Rich Eisen Show (podcast); scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ad7f5b81-455a-428c-af31-04939e775d3f
- [Mitchell Eisenstein](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/mitchell-eisenstein) took the Cowboys; said Nov 4, 2026; on The Richard Sherman Podcast (podcast); scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/6a1c5f64-cb1f-4e3d-846c-281720efb544
- [Richard Sherman](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/richard-sherman) took the Cowboys, Cowboys 20–Colts 17; said Nov 4, 2026; on The Richard Sherman Podcast (podcast); scored 97.62 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 40.82) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/97d44ed7-e136-4f44-babc-78b1d8d020ad
- [Pete Prisco](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/pete-prisco) took the Cowboys, Cowboys 31–Colts 17; said Nov 4, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 76.19 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 40.82) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d8e27e7e-02bf-4e11-80fb-5acc8a9c7b4b
- [John Breech](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/john-breech) took the Cowboys, Cowboys 23–Colts 16; said Nov 3, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 92.86 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 40.82) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/65a6175d-de99-40b2-8ead-dbf2c30f20e6
- [Randy Gurzi](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/randy-gurzi) took the Cowboys; said Oct 27, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/85e55650-6ce7-4610-b2ed-1677067720a5
- [Michael Irvin](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/michael-irvin) took the Cowboys; said Sep 5, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/321d5125-d077-43d6-b09a-5ea5886eec68
- [Jeff Cavanaugh](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jeff-cavanaugh) took the Cowboys; said Sep 3, 2026; on DLLS Dallas Cowboys (podcast); scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d04cb132-e9f4-4e11-bb0b-cf0982762ad9
- [Jesse Holley](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jesse-holley) took the Colts; said Sep 3, 2026; on DLLS Dallas Cowboys (podcast); scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c8bf64dc-c1b3-42db-86f8-51b862676332
- [Michael Irvin](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/michael-irvin) took the Cowboys; said Sep 2, 2026; on The Rich Eisen Show (podcast); scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8c7e90c6-e16b-4ee6-8da6-e4dd4b9adb5d
- [Danny Parkins](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/danny-parkins) took the Colts; said Aug 13, 2026; on Fox Sports; scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1a6d06c4-7bb0-43e7-891d-6f8b688d4f12

## How they came in

The Cowboys are 3-5; the Colts are 2-6 and have lost 4 straight. On win totals, 23 pundits put the Cowboys at 9.5 wins on average, and 8 pundits put the Colts at 7.6 wins on average.

Venue: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, Indiana

- Dallas Cowboys: 3-5 (219 scored, 213 allowed)
  - Last games: L 30-33 vs Cardinals; W 38-21 at Eagles; L 13-23 at Packers
  - Unit ranks this season: offense 9th, defense 29th of 32
  - Last season: 7-9-1
  - Win-total calls: 23 pundits, average 9.5, 2 to 14 wins
  - The side most pundits took won 4 of 8 Cowboys games
- Indianapolis Colts: 2-6, lost 4 straight (161 scored, 222 allowed)
  - Last games: L 7-42 at Jaguars; L 10-16 at Vikings; L 20-26 vs Titans
  - Unit ranks this season: offense 28th, defense 32nd of 32
  - Last season: 8-9
  - Win-total calls: 8 pundits, average 7.6, 5 to 9 wins
  - The side most pundits took won 6 of 8 Colts games

## Players to watch

Each club's starting quarterback, leading rusher, receiver and tight end, and its sack and tackle leaders, with their 2026 regular season so far, with the latest call on each from a pundit ranked on the leaderboard whose record beats the naive pick, made since the 2026 schedule came out ("No." is that rank). Leaderboard: https://missedtakes.co/nfl/leaderboard

- [Dak Prescott](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/dak-prescott) (Starting QB, QB): 2,381 passing yards · 16 TD, 5 INT · 64.9% completions · 102 rushing yards · 9 games; 3rd in the NFL in passing yards
  - No. 4 Bryan DeArdo, Nov 3, 2026: Dak Prescott to stay with Dallas Cowboys (not settled yet)
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Aug 11, 2026: Dak Prescott to outplay his draft cost (the middle rounds) (not settled yet)
- [Javonte Williams](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/javonte-williams) (RB1, RB): 629 rushing yards on 154 carries · 10 TD · 24 catches for 127 · 9 games; 9th in the NFL in rushing yards
  - No. 12 Derek Brown, Sep 5, 2026: Javonte Williams to finish top 15 at his position, by fantasy points (not settled yet)
  - No. 20 Jake Ciely, Aug 8, 2026: Javonte Williams to finish top 13 at his position, by fantasy points (not settled yet)
- [CeeDee Lamb](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/ceedee-lamb) (WR1, WR): 70 catches for 904 yards · 7 TD · 9 games; 2nd in the NFL in receiving yards
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Oct 12, 2026: With extra time to recover after a Thursday-night game in Week 5, Lamb could be ready to go when the Cowboys face the Packers this week. (not settled yet)
  - No. 26 Bucky Brooks, Oct 7, 2026: CeeDee Lamb to finish top 1 at his position, by an unstated measure (not settled yet)
- [Jake Ferguson](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jake-ferguson) (TE1, TE): 19 catches for 136 yards · 4 TD · 8 games; 154th in the NFL in receiving yards
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Aug 11, 2026: Jake Ferguson to fall short of his draft cost (TE12, Overall RK117 | ECR vs. ADP: -8) (not settled yet)
  - No. 30 Andrew Erickson, Sep 16, 2026: Jake Ferguson to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
- [Quinnen Williams](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/quinnen-williams) (Sack leader, DT): 5 sacks · 20 solo tackles · 9 games; 14th in the NFL in sacks
  - No. 35 Albert Breer, Aug 12, 2026: Quinnen Williams to make team captain (not settled yet)
  - No. 60 Jared Dubin, Aug 10, 2026: Quinnen Williams to win Team MVP (non-QB) (not settled yet)
- [Caleb Downs](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/caleb-downs) (Tackle leader, S): 2 sacks · 33 solo tackles · 1 interception · 9 games; 30th in the NFL in solo tackles
  - No. 23 Jordan Dajani, Sep 10, 2026: Caleb Downs to win Defensive Rookie of the Year (not settled yet)
  - No. 48 John Middlekauff, Sep 8, 2026: Caleb Downs to win Defensive Rookie of the Year (not settled yet)
- [Daniel Jones](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/daniel-jones) (Starting QB, QB): 1,722 passing yards · 6 TD, 10 INT · 60.3% completions · 9 games; 19th in the NFL in passing yards
  - No. 15 Mike Florio, Nov 7, 2026: Daniel Jones to move to Minnesota Vikings (not settled yet)
  - No. 18 Carter Bahns, Oct 26, 2026: Daniel Jones to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
- [Jonathan Taylor](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jonathan-taylor) (RB1, RB): 656 rushing yards on 161 carries · 8 TD · 26 catches for 220 · 9 games; 8th in the NFL in rushing yards
  - No. 5 Tom Pelissero, Oct 30, 2026: Jonathan Taylor to stay with Indianapolis Colts (not settled yet)
  - No. 8 Pat Fitzmaurice, Nov 9, 2026: Jonathan Taylor to move — “the Colts will move him before the deadline” (not settled yet)
- [Laquon Treadwell](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/laquon-treadwell) (WR1, WR): 16 catches for 215 yards · 0 TD · 9 games; 117th in the NFL in receiving yards
  - No. 18 Carter Bahns, Aug 27, 2026: Laquon Treadwell to be cut (scored 0 out of 100)
  - No. 30 Andrew Erickson, Nov 11, 2026: Laquon Treadwell to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
- [Tyler Warren](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/tyler-warren) (TE1, TE): 38 catches for 275 yards · 2 TD · 7 games; 84th in the NFL in receiving yards
  - No. 12 Derek Brown, Sep 1, 2026: Tyler Warren to finish top 5 at his position, by fantasy points (not settled yet)
  - No. 23 Jordan Dajani, Aug 25, 2026: Tight end Tyler Warren is going to play a big role in the passing game (not settled yet)
- [Adetomiwa Adebawore](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/adetomiwa-adebawore) (Sack leader, DT): 4 sacks · 9 solo tackles · 7 games; 30th in the NFL in sacks
  - No. 28 Mike Renner, Oct 8, 2026: Adetomiwa Adebawore to sign a new deal (not settled yet)
- [Akeem Davis-Gaither](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/akeem-davis-gaither) (Tackle leader, LB): 32 solo tackles · 8 games; 34th in the NFL in solo tackles
  - No. 23 Jordan Dajani, Aug 25, 2026: Akeem Davis-Gaither to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)

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The room is counted in pundits, each one's latest call standing. Accuracy is out of 100; the naive pick is the home team.
The week: https://missedtakes.co/nfl/games/2026-week-9
Method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology