# Packers vs Patriots predictions, graded

Week 9, 2026: Green Bay Packers at New England Patriots

Nov 8, 2026 · final: Packers 45, Patriots 27 · 25 calls on record · updated Nov 9, 11:50 AM ET

Who do pundits pick in Packers vs Patriots? Of 21 pundits with a call on record, 11 take the Packers and 10 take the Patriots. 7 named a score; the median has the Packers by 3. The Packers won 45-27, so 11 of 21 had the winner. Their graded calls averaged 44 out of 100.

Picks by outlet. Each pundit counted once, at the outlet or show their latest call ran on. An outlet is listed when two or more of its pundits have picked.

- [CBS Sports](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/cbs-sports): all 5 Packers
- [First Things First (podcast)](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/first-things-first-podcast): Patriots 3, Packers 1
- [Chris Simms Unbuttoned (podcast)](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/chris-simms-unbuttoned-podcast): all 2 Patriots
- [FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast)](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/fantasypros-fantasy-football-podcast-podcast): Patriots 1, Packers 1
- [Football 301 with Nate Tice (podcast)](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/football-301-with-nate-tice-podcast): Patriots 1, Packers 1
- [The Richard Sherman Podcast (podcast)](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-richard-sherman-podcast-podcast): Patriots 1, Packers 1

The other 4 pundits write or talk elsewhere: Patriots 2, Packers 2.

Page: https://missedtakes.co/nfl/games/2026-week-9-packers-at-patriots

Picks:

- [Bill Huber](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/bill-huber) took the Packers; said Nov 8, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5ab5fa3a-4526-46a4-b11b-a2bc99820cb8
- [Pete Prisco](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/pete-prisco) took the Packers, Packers 19–Patriots 16; said Nov 8, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 64.29 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 7.44) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dc43909b-bc7f-47aa-b208-5cf7c95844bc
- [Derek Brown](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/derek-brown) took the Packers; said Nov 7, 2026; on FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast); scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b4014405-6764-427e-9708-679baf6b06de
- [Pat Fitzmaurice](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/pat-fitzmaurice) took the Patriots, Patriots 24–Packers 21; said Nov 7, 2026; on FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast); scored 14.29 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 7.44) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/41cd806b-d6f3-401d-ac46-33a027d3a0fd
- [Kevin Wildes](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/kevin-wildes) took the Patriots; said Nov 7, 2026; on First Things First (podcast); scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f31ce48f-df1b-41cf-9d17-ec463ba972d4
- [Danny Parkins](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/danny-parkins) took the Packers; said Nov 7, 2026; on First Things First (podcast); scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/272d1f8a-06f7-4b8b-8480-94d370ae5e6f
- [Nick Wright](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/nick-wright) took the Patriots; said Nov 7, 2026; on First Things First (podcast); scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/878403ae-b780-41f0-b38a-200b1a3e36ff
- [Eric Mangini](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/eric-mangini) took the Patriots; said Nov 7, 2026; on First Things First (podcast); scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/af0819c3-4662-44a2-a451-a08fa3b7e59a
- [Connor Rogers](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/connor-rogers) took the Patriots; said Nov 6, 2026; on Chris Simms Unbuttoned (podcast); scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/11646f69-18dd-4831-a7de-e4115ded875c
- [Chris Simms](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/chris-simms) took the Patriots, Patriots 27–Packers 17; said Nov 6, 2026; on Chris Simms Unbuttoned (podcast); scored 30.95 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 7.44) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/17eb747a-90b1-472f-bb6d-e71c0c69133a
- [Nick Wright](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/nick-wright) took the Patriots; said Nov 6, 2026; on What's Wright? with Nick Wright (podcast); scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/14c1f8dd-d8ff-498f-b705-4b468ff964f8
- [John Middlekauff](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/john-middlekauff) took the Packers; said Nov 6, 2026; on 3 and Out with John Middlekauff (podcast); scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5fbf1f78-2f2a-49cf-8052-89897c9a1ff8
- [Chris Long](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/chris-long) took the Patriots; said Nov 6, 2026; on Green Light with Chris Long (podcast); scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/623f8e00-789e-4239-9edc-5e1285346b9d
- [Nate Tice](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/nate-tice) took the Patriots; said Nov 5, 2026; on Football 301 with Nate Tice (podcast); scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/05308b68-1723-49d2-aaa3-f9b5d958cd73
- [Matt Harmon](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/matt-harmon) took the Packers; said Nov 5, 2026; on Football 301 with Nate Tice (podcast); scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f6e687e7-59f9-430a-90a5-b3c0da4e3e20
- [Jared Dubin](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jared-dubin) took the Packers, Packers 26–Patriots 20; said Nov 5, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 71.43 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 7.44) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3c0440d3-fd3d-45e1-bef8-c67da14bf25b
- [Jared Dubin](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jared-dubin) took the Packers, Packers 26–Patriots 20; said Nov 5, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 71.43 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 7.44) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/51a7e553-6fc7-4b1c-9e79-333a6c661ebf
- [Jordan Dajani](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jordan-dajani) took the Packers, Packers 27–Patriots 24; said Nov 5, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 64.29 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 7.44) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/103d86e2-5305-4b84-af26-05220db83778
- [Tyler Sullivan](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/tyler-sullivan) took the Packers; said Nov 5, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 100 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b01bc807-6ff9-460f-8ab3-c7506b54effb
- [Richard Sherman](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/richard-sherman) took the Patriots; said Nov 4, 2026; on The Richard Sherman Podcast (podcast); scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/97d44ed7-e136-4f44-babc-78b1d8d020ad
- [Mitchell Eisenstein](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/mitchell-eisenstein) took the Packers, Packers 27–Patriots 24; said Nov 4, 2026; on The Richard Sherman Podcast (podcast); scored 64.29 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 7.44) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/6a1c5f64-cb1f-4e3d-846c-281720efb544
- [Pete Prisco](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/pete-prisco) took the Packers, Packers 19–Patriots 16; said Nov 4, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 64.29 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 7.44) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d8e27e7e-02bf-4e11-80fb-5acc8a9c7b4b
- [John Breech](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/john-breech) took the Packers, Packers 23–Patriots 20; said Nov 3, 2026; on CBS Sports; scored 64.29 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 7.44) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/65a6175d-de99-40b2-8ead-dbf2c30f20e6
- [Bill Huber](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/bill-huber) took the Patriots; said Sep 26, 2026; on Sports Illustrated; scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/cf06cf1c-1e2e-49bc-9b69-065381a5eaa1
- [Mark Wahlberg](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/mark-wahlberg) took the Patriots; said Sep 3, 2026; on The Rich Eisen Show (podcast); scored 0 out of 100 (the naive pick scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/14761919-29fa-4eda-a3d4-ba0f76f399c2

## How they came in

The Packers are 5-3; the Patriots are 5-3. On win totals, 18 pundits put the Packers at 9.1 wins on average, and 16 pundits put the Patriots at 10.2 wins on average.

Venue: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts

- Green Bay Packers: 5-3 (171 scored, 164 allowed)
  - Last games: W 27-19 vs Panthers; L 17-20 at Lions; W 23-13 vs Cowboys
  - Unit ranks this season: offense 16th, defense 5th of 32
  - Last season: 9-7-1
  - Win-total calls: 19 pundits, average 9.1, 3 to 17 wins
  - The side most pundits took won 5 of 7 Packers games
- New England Patriots: 5-3 (184 scored, 162 allowed)
  - Last games: W 24-19 at Dolphins; L 24-30 at Bears; W 26-19 vs Jets
  - Unit ranks this season: offense 11th, defense 16th of 32
  - Last season: 14-3
  - Win-total calls: 17 pundits, average 10.2, 9 to 17 wins
  - The side most pundits took won 7 of 8 Patriots games

## Players to watch

Each club's starting quarterback, leading rusher, receiver and tight end, and its sack and tackle leaders, with their 2026 regular season so far, with the latest call on each from a pundit ranked on the leaderboard whose record beats the naive pick, made since the 2026 schedule came out ("No." is that rank). Leaderboard: https://missedtakes.co/nfl/leaderboard

- [Jordan Love](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jordan-love) (Starting QB, QB): 2,618 passing yards · 19 TD, 6 INT · 63.0% completions · 9 games; 1st in the NFL in passing yards
  - No. 6 Pat Fitzmaurice, Aug 28, 2026: Jordan Love to finish top 10 at his position, by passing yards (not settled yet)
  - No. 8 Derek Brown, Sep 2, 2026: Jordan Love to finish top 12 at his position, by fantasy points (not settled yet)
- [Kaleb Johnson](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kaleb-johnson) (RB1, RB): 172 rushing yards on 42 carries · 1 TD · 1 catch for 10 · 7 games; 56th in the NFL in rushing yards
  - No. 14 Nate Tice, Oct 1, 2026: Kaleb Johnson to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
- [Christian Watson](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/christian-watson) (WR1, WR): 49 catches for 879 yards · 7 TD · 9 games; 3rd in the NFL in receiving yards
  - No. 6 Pat Fitzmaurice, Nov 6, 2026: Christian Watson has been practicing in pads this week, and it seems as if he'll be good to go for the Packers' road game against the Patriots on Sunday. (not settled yet)
  - No. 8 Derek Brown, Sep 12, 2026: Christian Watson to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
- [Tucker Kraft](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/tucker-kraft) (TE1, TE): 36 catches for 351 yards · 3 TD · 9 games; 51st in the NFL in receiving yards
  - No. 6 Pat Fitzmaurice, Aug 30, 2026: Tucker Kraft to outplay his draft cost (a sixth-round ADP) (not settled yet)
  - No. 50 Bill Huber, Sep 13, 2026: Tucker Kraft to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
- [Lukas Van Ness](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/lukas-van-ness) (Sack leader, LB): 4.5 sacks · 19 solo tackles · 9 games; 21st in the NFL in sacks
  - No. 50 Bill Huber, Aug 28, 2026: Lukas Van Ness to make the roster (scored 100 out of 100)
- [Evan Williams](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/evan-williams) (Tackle leader, S): 1 sack · 47 solo tackles · 3 interceptions · 9 games; 3rd in the NFL in solo tackles
  - No. 45 Pete Prisco, Aug 7, 2026: Evan Williams to make All-Pro (not settled yet)
  - No. 50 Bill Huber, Aug 28, 2026: Evan Williams to make the roster (scored 100 out of 100)
- [Drake Maye](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/drake-maye) (Starting QB, QB): 2,282 passing yards · 18 TD, 11 INT · 65.4% completions · 219 rushing yards · 9 games; 6th in the NFL in passing yards
  - No. 6 Pat Fitzmaurice, Oct 9, 2026: Drake Maye to finish QB1 (1–12) at his position, by fantasy points (not settled yet)
  - No. 8 Derek Brown, Sep 6, 2026: Drake Maye to finish top 5 at his position, by fantasy points (not settled yet)
- [Rhamondre Stevenson](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/rhamondre-stevenson) (RB1, RB): 399 rushing yards on 102 carries · 4 TD · 26 catches for 258 · 9 games; 22nd in the NFL in rushing yards
  - No. 8 Derek Brown, Sep 8, 2026: Rhamondre Stevenson to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
  - No. 19 Rich Hribar, Sep 7, 2026: Rhamondre Stevenson to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
- [DeMario Douglas](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/demario-douglas) (WR1, WR): 31 catches for 434 yards · 4 TD · 9 games; 31st in the NFL in receiving yards
  - No. 6 Pat Fitzmaurice, Nov 2, 2026: DeMario Douglas to be 1st on the depth chart (not settled yet)
  - No. 29 Alain Poupart, Oct 31, 2026: DeMario Douglas to be 3rd on the depth chart (not settled yet)
- [Hunter Henry](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/hunter-henry) (TE1, TE): 32 catches for 361 yards · 2 TD · 9 games; 46th in the NFL in receiving yards
- [Elijah Ponder](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/elijah-ponder) (Sack leader, LB): 7.5 sacks · 14 solo tackles · 9 games; 3rd in the NFL in sacks
- [Christian Elliss](https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/christian-elliss) (Tackle leader, LB): 1.5 sacks · 32 solo tackles · 9 games; 31st in the NFL in solo tackles
  - No. 25 Connor Rogers, Oct 22, 2026: Christian Ellis logged full practices. He's questionable. I think he'll play. (not settled yet)

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The room is counted in pundits, each one's latest call standing. Accuracy is out of 100; the naive pick is the home team.
The week: https://missedtakes.co/nfl/games/2026-week-9
Method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology