# Baker Mayfield — what pundits predicted

QB · Oklahoma; Texas Tech



40 checkable claims from 23 pundits. These are other people's predictions about what he will do — we grade the prediction, never the player.

## What pundits expect (23 unsettled)

- “Mayfield would seemingly be good to go, based on Bowles' current timeline, for their game on Oct. 25 against the Carolina Panthers.” — [Jordan Dajani](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jordan-dajani), for 2026, said Sep 28, 2026; not settled yet — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e3ea298b-362e-42b2-918b-d07d0e69ae41
- Baker Mayfield to finish top 5 at his position, by fantasy points — [Mike Fanelli](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/mike-fanelli), for 2026, said Sep 10, 2026; not settled yet — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/955293ac-0661-4b98-9dee-6f844b3b15db
- Baker Mayfield to win Team Most Valuable Player — Caleb Skinner, for 2026, said Sep 8, 2026; not settled yet
- Baker Mayfield to win MVP finalist — [Chris Brockman](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/chris-brockman), for 2026, said Sep 7, 2026; not settled yet — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d508736e-a824-4fa0-854c-df4ebdd9ef02
- Baker Mayfield to move — “becomes a $60,000,000 a year quarterback” — [Chris Brockman](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/chris-brockman), for 2026, said Sep 7, 2026; not settled yet — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d508736e-a824-4fa0-854c-df4ebdd9ef02
- Baker Mayfield to outplay his draft cost (going outside the top 90 picks in ADP) — FantasyPros, for 2026, said Sep 5, 2026; not settled yet
- Baker Mayfield to win MVP — [Chad Millman](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/chad-millman), for 2026, said Sep 1, 2026; not settled yet — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/03da1e7d-32f9-4016-a9be-ca7130ec54ff
- Baker Mayfield to outplay his draft cost (ADP 19) — FantasyPros, for 2026, said Aug 28, 2026; not settled yet
- Baker Mayfield to move — “contract extension with the Buccaneers gets done” — Jon Gruden, for 2026, said Aug 26, 2026; not settled yet
- Baker Mayfield to finish top 12 at his position, by fantasy points — FantasyPros, for 2026, said Aug 26, 2026; not settled yet
- Baker Mayfield to outplay his draft cost (a mid-range QB2) — FantasyPros, for 2026, said Aug 26, 2026; not settled yet
- Baker Mayfield to outplay his draft cost (ADP 19) — FantasyPros, for 2026, said Aug 21, 2026; not settled yet
- Baker Mayfield to outplay his draft cost (a QB2) — [Rich Hribar](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/rich-hribar), for 2026, said Aug 5, 2026; not settled yet — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/920ab7e6-b450-4c20-b5f4-f228731aa7e3
- Baker Mayfield to finish top 17 at his position, by passing yards — [Bucky Brooks](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/bucky-brooks), for 2026, said Aug 2, 2026; too vague to check — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9538b827-fc12-4c2e-8e32-eaa69edc6c2d
- Baker Mayfield to record 3,900 passing yards — [Walt](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/walt), for 2026, said Aug 1, 2026; not settled yet — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9f1e96ba-36c7-43f3-a386-a18a0a02e989
- Baker Mayfield to record 13 passing interceptions — [Walt](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/walt), for 2026, said Aug 1, 2026; not settled yet — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9f1e96ba-36c7-43f3-a386-a18a0a02e989
- Baker Mayfield to record 31 passing tds — [Walt](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/walt), for 2026, said Aug 1, 2026; not settled yet — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9f1e96ba-36c7-43f3-a386-a18a0a02e989
- Baker Mayfield to record 360 rushing yards — [Walt](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/walt), for 2026, said Aug 1, 2026; not settled yet — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9f1e96ba-36c7-43f3-a386-a18a0a02e989
- Baker Mayfield to record 302 fantasy points — [Walt](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/walt), for 2026, said Aug 1, 2026; not settled yet — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9f1e96ba-36c7-43f3-a386-a18a0a02e989
- Baker Mayfield to record 2 rushing tds — [Walt](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/walt), for 2026, said Aug 1, 2026; not settled yet — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9f1e96ba-36c7-43f3-a386-a18a0a02e989
- Baker Mayfield to finish top 15 at his position, by passing yards — [Simon Hunter](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/simon-hunter), for 2026, said Jul 31, 2026; too vague to check — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/14414e0f-c612-4b05-8a65-73e69576b927
- Baker Mayfield to move — Brian & Geoff, for 2026, said Jul 30, 2026; not settled yet
- Baker Mayfield to move — [Marcus Mosher](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/marcus-mosher), for 2023, said Jan 19, 2024; not settled yet — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fc7b32fa-de85-476f-a424-7f0febc1a836

## Settled (17)

- Baker Mayfield to move — “two-year extension averaging $50 million per year, $100 million in new money, $110 million guaranteed ($87.5 million fully guaranteed at signing), with a no-trade clause” — [Joel Corry](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/joel-corry), for 2026, said Aug 26, 2026; scored 0 out of 100 (a naive guess scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8a840ff4-f1e5-48ca-bec6-ba41e9ef2396
- Baker Mayfield to move — [Jason McIntyre](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jason-mcintyre), for 2026, said Jul 30, 2026; scored 0 out of 100 (a naive guess scored 100) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3fa10b83-c7a3-489f-a011-76f2eb991e81
- Baker Mayfield to win MVP — [Chris Brockman](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/chris-brockman), for 2025, said Oct 13, 2025; scored 0 out of 100 (a naive guess scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a32872f7-f5f5-4829-903c-1ef230d27b2f
- Baker Mayfield to win MVP — [Rich Eisen](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/rich-eisen), for 2025, said Oct 13, 2025; scored 0 out of 100 (a naive guess scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/07654933-79bb-4521-a19e-a53f7c7026a4
- Baker Mayfield to win MVP — [Chris Brockman](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/chris-brockman), for 2025, said Oct 6, 2025; scored 0 out of 100 (a naive guess scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/cdde2d01-017b-4967-b1e9-ecfac647e306
- Baker Mayfield to finish top 8 at his position, by passing yards — [Chris Brockman](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/chris-brockman), for 2025, said Jul 21, 2025; scored 83.33 out of 100 (a naive guess scored 41.67) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d523ec4e-9766-48ed-a48c-ddf09cbc11e8
- Baker Mayfield to win third in MVP voting — [Chris Brockman](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/chris-brockman), for 2024, said Jan 6, 2025; scored 0 out of 100 (a naive guess scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/14caf342-6bc9-46b5-97a1-26549da99c0f
- Baker Mayfield to win MVP — [Nick Wright](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/nick-wright), for 2025, said Oct 19, 2025; scored 0 out of 100 (a naive guess scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/6d537653-4af9-4fb4-91dc-1afec4ccd498
- Baker Mayfield to win MVP — [Jamie Erdahl](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jamie-erdahl), for 2025, said Sep 3, 2025; scored 0 out of 100 (a naive guess scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a80bf1a8-6f43-469e-b25c-a58672ce9aca
- Baker Mayfield to finish top 1 at his position, by passing yards — [Shannon Sharpe](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/shannon-sharpe), for 2025, said Oct 11, 2025; scored 25 out of 100 (a naive guess scored 41.67) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ef1d0bd9-f066-44cb-aecb-beba0da83d8c
- Baker Mayfield to finish top 1 at his position, by passing yards — [Shannon Sharpe](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/shannon-sharpe), for 2025, said Oct 10, 2025; scored 25 out of 100 (a naive guess scored 41.67) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/44f25a64-3578-4f54-911c-b8e228811736
- Baker Mayfield to win MVP — [Dave Wannstedt](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/dave-wannstedt), for 2025, said Oct 17, 2025; scored 0 out of 100 (a naive guess scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/27608da4-66ab-4761-88d4-490fd4e32119
- Baker Mayfield to win NFL MVP — [Jamie Erdahl](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jamie-erdahl), for 2025, said Sep 3, 2025; scored 0 out of 100 (a naive guess scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9dce32ee-d2c7-4ec9-b074-603ed82dcb30
- Baker Mayfield to finish top 10 at his position, by fantasy points — [Chad Millman](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/chad-millman), for 2025, said Jul 23, 2025; scored 83.33 out of 100 (a naive guess scored 33.33) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/42520be8-1e66-4e6c-80c0-e17722d0ea02
- Baker Mayfield to win MVP — [Colin Cowherd](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/colin-cowherd), for 2025, said Oct 17, 2025; scored 0 out of 100 (a naive guess scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b2e4b72b-9261-45ea-92bf-fad8e45be8a3
- Baker Mayfield to finish top 6 at his position, by fantasy points — [Chris Raybon](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/chris-raybon), for 2025, said Jul 23, 2025; scored 50 out of 100 (a naive guess scored 33.33) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8ce155d5-152d-4837-a3d4-de50bd0df442
- Baker Mayfield to win Comeback Player of the Year — [Marvin Lewis](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/marvin-lewis), for 2022, said Sep 6, 2022; scored 0 out of 100 (a naive guess scored 0) — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/968c2f72-4455-43c8-a80c-e9be470b5299

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Page: https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/baker-mayfield
Method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology
