# Scott Bogman: Bogman laid out fades on Malik Nabers (knee), Kenneth Walker, Bhayshul Tuten, Christian Watson, Jackson Dart and Sam LaPorta, while liking Isaiah Likely and staying more positive on DJ Moore; they also gave their top-seven tight end board and expected Tuten to lead Jacksonville's backfield. **Claimed:** May 30, 2026 **Pundit:** Scott Bogman — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/scott-bogman **Outlet:** FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/fantasypros-fantasy-football-podcast-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview **Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/fantasypros-fantasy-football-podcast/11-fantasy-football-busts-to-avoid-overvalued-players-early-round-draft-landmines-ep-2035 12 checkable claims — 5 depth chart calls, 4 fantasy bust calls, 2 fantasy rankings and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call. It names 16 players and teams, each linked to their own record. 1 of 12 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls. Of the 5 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 1 and below it on 4. > So I'm just not gonna be rostering Christian Watson anywhere. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **A.J. Brown to move** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: A.J. Brown - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - “my top seven are McBride, Bauers, Loveland, Craft, Warren Fan and Pitts. That's how I have it.” - Kind: Fantasy Rankings - Verdict: not settled yet - **Dallas Goedert to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Dallas Goedert, Philadelphia Eagles - Verdict: not settled yet - **Jaxson Dart to fall short of his draft cost (a quarterback within the top ten)** - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Jaxson Dart - Verdict: not settled yet - “I got a son. God, I'm Honora San Brown at number one here... So I have Lamb exactly where you guys mentioned eight overall fifth wide receiver.” - Kind: Fantasy Rankings - Verdict: not settled yet - **Isaiah Likely to be 2nd on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Isaiah Likely - Verdict: not settled yet - **Christian Watson to fall short of his draft cost (ECR fifty seven, overall wide receiver twenty seven)** - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Christian Watson, Green Bay Packers - Verdict: not settled yet - **Chig Okonkwo to be 2nd on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Chig Okonkwo, Washington Commanders - Verdict: not settled yet - **Kenneth Walker III to fall short of his draft cost (running back eleven)** - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Kenneth Walker III, Kansas City Chiefs - Verdict: not settled yet - **Bhayshul Tuten to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Bhayshul Tuten, Jacksonville Jaguars - Verdict: not settled yet - **Malik Nabers to fall short of his draft cost (wide receiver nine currently ECR twenty overall)** - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Malik Nabers - Verdict: not settled yet - **DJ Moore to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: DJ Moore, Buffalo Bills - Verdict: not settled yet ## Who this take is about - A.J. Brown — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/a-j-brown - Dallas Goedert — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/dallas-goedert - Philadelphia Eagles — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/eagles - Jaxson Dart — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jaxson-dart - Isaiah Likely — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/isaiah-likely - Christian Watson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/christian-watson - Green Bay Packers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/packers - Chig Okonkwo — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/chig-okonkwo - Washington Commanders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/commanders - Kenneth Walker III — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kenneth-walker-iii - Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chiefs - Bhayshul Tuten — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/bhayshul-tuten - Jacksonville Jaguars — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jaguars - Malik Nabers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/malik-nabers - DJ Moore — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/dj-moore - Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bills ## What others said about the same people - Chris Clark on Nikko Remigio: Clark expects the Chiefs to bring back exclusive-rights receiver Nico (Remigio) and long snapper James Winchester, to re-sign JuJu Smith-Schuster as a cheap veteran fifth receiver, and not to bring back Hollywood Brown, Josh Dobbs-type depth, Gardner Minshew, Janarius Robinson or Mike Caliendo; they also say the Chiefs will not use a franchise tag and believes Bryan Cook won't return. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/99521265-d5c0-4db1-b2a0-fe77908ea0b3 (scored 0) - Jordan Dajani on Washington Commanders: Dajani picks the Commanders to edge the Giants 21-20 on Thursday and the Chiefs to beat the Falcons 26-20 in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/46f7646f-2c64-4827-a522-67975af79fb6 (scored 95.24) - Tyler Sullivan on Washington Commanders: Sullivan takes the Commanders 24-21 over the Giants on Thursday night and calls for a Steelers upset of the Bengals, 27-24, in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1bb32676-c3b3-4b8e-8a03-b58396cf98bf (scored 100) - John Breech on Washington Commanders: Breech picks the Commanders to upset the Giants on Thursday night, 24-17, and takes the Texans to beat the Browns 24-16 in Week 10 behind a pass rush that should batter Deshaun Watson. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9fddc8e1-3823-4252-bdd7-f81ef11b1da3 (scored 90.48) - Jordan Dajani on Washington Commanders: Dajani picked seven Week 10 games with final scores, including a Commanders upset of the Giants, Lions over the Patriots in Munich, Chiefs over the Falcons, Packers edging the Vikings, 49ers over the Cowboys, Bengals over the Steelers and Ravens over the Chargers. They also suggested Joe Burrow could win MVP this season. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e2531f3a-2140-40ac-9831-5ff8224e090f (scored 95.24) - Eva Geitheim on Washington Commanders: Geitheim picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Vikings, Jaguars, Colts, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c011abef-0b18-41ad-acad-6a67dfbd41fd (scored 100) ## More depth chart calls The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Jeremy Brener on Drew Lock: Brener picked the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in Week 9 by a multi-score margin, giving a final score of 27-13, and expressed confidence Seattle would be fine with Drew Lock starting at quarterback. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7eb2d245-63d0-4be0-80ba-3f60197e2b16 (scored 100) - Jeremy Brener on Jalen Milroe: Brener suggests Seattle may turn to rookie-contract quarterback Jalen Milroe for their first career start in Week 9 against the Cardinals, with Sam Darnold ruled out and Drew Lock dealing with an elbow injury. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/42d1bd81-5e19-456e-9f68-b3b135170ec0 (scored 0) - Michael Moore on Shedeur Sanders: In a Week 9 injury roundup, Moore forecast which banged-up fantasy contributors would play or sit: Deshaun Watson, Garrett Wilson, David Montgomery, Mike Evans, Deebo Samuel, TreVeyon Henderson and Terrance Ferguson are expected out, while Travis Kelce, Saquon Barkley, Michael Wilson, Christian Watson and Emeka Egbuka should play. They also expect Shedeur Sanders and Drew Lock to start at quarterback. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e26319a3-10aa-49a6-a24d-a257521363f0 (scored 100) - Zachary Pereles on Shedeur Sanders: Pereles writes that if Deshaun Watson can't clear concussion protocol in time, the Browns would likely turn to second-year quarterback Shedeur Sanders to start Week 9 against the Saints. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/6dad75dd-1818-4a6a-91ea-832f491c2530 (scored 100) - Nic Bodiford on Joe Fagnano: Previewing Week 9 running game matchups, Bodiford expects Jacksonville to win lopsidedly over a depleted Baltimore team, with Bhayshul Tuten sitting out and Chris Rodriguez taking over as lead back, while Joe Fagnano starts at quarterback for the Ravens. They also view Broncos rookie Jonah Coleman as an RB2 going forward. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a13b9f29-bb76-4c56-b226-aca74b21f5b7 (scored 100) - Garrett Podell on Carson Beck: Podell argues the Cardinals have maxed out with Jacoby Brissett and that rookie Carson Beck should be ramped up to replace them as starter, targeting Week 8 at Dallas for Beck's regular-season debut. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2f499498-ebbe-41f8-8ea3-41fe96f79432 (scored 0) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=scott-bogman