# John Ashbrook: Ashbrook predicted blowout Republican wins in Florida for Marco Rubio and Ron DeSantis, a JD Vance victory in Ohio's Senate race with Mike DeWine winning the governorship by 15-plus points, and said Herschel Walker would finish slightly ahead of Raphael Warnock in Georgia. **Claimed:** Nov 8, 2022 **Pundit:** John Ashbrook — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/john-ashbrook **Outlet:** Ruthless Podcast — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/ruthless-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us **Original:** https://www.podtrac.com/pts/redirect.mp3/pdst.fm/e/traffic.megaphone.fm/FOXM2502803183.mp3?updated=1752591745 5 checkable claims — 4 race winners and 1 race margin — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call. All 5 have settled, averaging 80 out of 100, against 80 for a naive guess at the same calls. > Marco Rubio is gonna stomp his opponent, and Ron DeSantis is gonna stomp his... *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **do not be surprised if tonight Walker finishes a little bit ahead of Warnock** - Kind: Race Winners - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **the Republican who's running for governor, Mike DeWine, is gonna run or... is gonna win going away 15 points plus maybe** - Kind: Race Margins - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **JD is gonna win here... And and JD is gonna win in Ohio.** - Kind: Race Winners - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **and Ron DeSantis is gonna stomp his... I think Florida Republicans this time around are gonna win much, much bigger** - Kind: Race Winners - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Marco Rubio is gonna stomp his opponent** - Kind: Race Winners - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess ## More race winners The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Jim Geraghty: Geraghty said Republicans would clearly win the House, but with a majority in the twenties rather than a 40-50 seat wave, and that the GOP would take the Senate by about one seat. He called Budd, Vance and Johnson winners in their Senate races, Kiggans a winner in Virginia's 2nd, Fetterman the likely winner in Pennsylvania, Laxalt the safer GOP bet in Nevada, and liked Walker's odds in a Georgia runoff. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dabb97cc-0add-4f98-8cc7-65db2bacb4e2 (scored 0) - Megyn Kelly: Kelly predicted Republicans would win control of the House, that Ron Johnson would hold Wisconsin given Mandela Barnes' record on crime, and that JD Vance would win in Ohio. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1ae01889-13b0-43e6-bcbd-c98a82a5aa04 (scored 100) - Tom Bevan: Bevan said Republicans would still take the House and would win the Senate by a margin of one or two seats, that Oz would fall short in Pennsylvania, and gave expected winning margins of roughly eight points for Vance in Ohio, about five for Budd in North Carolina, and a very narrow Walker edge in Georgia. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3baef536-0bff-435d-8c59-9af2c6b32384 (scored 100) - Dennis Prager: Asked who a Georgia Senate runoff would favor, Prager said it would favor Herschel Walker, because the contest would effectively be about control of the Senate. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/6edcea42-561f-4932-9aa1-761bb11f097e (scored 0) - Megyn Kelly: Kelly said the worst case for Republicans was taking only the House, predicted Lee Zeldin would win the New York governor's race, and agreed the New Hampshire Republican Senate candidate would win. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/94649f86-1d80-4f9c-9505-04d0e4337f71 (scored 0) - Matt Continetti: Continetti forecast a big Republican night: a House gain of 20 to 30 seats or more and three to four Senate pickups, with Ron DeSantis reelected in Florida. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3c895a63-b14d-4946-9ead-fdf2d6e76521 (scored 100) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=john-ashbrook