# Ayrton Ostly: Ausley walked through their final seven-round mock draft, having the 49ers take Utah offensive tackle Caleb Lomu at No. 27, Peter Woods to Houston at 28, TJ Parker to Kansas City at 29, Zion Young to the Chargers at 30, Arvel Reese to Arizona at 3, Dallas trading up to 8, Denver taking Mason Thomas at 58, the 49ers taking Malachi Lawrence at 62 and VJ Payne at 133. **Claimed:** Apr 17, 2026 **Pundit:** Ayrton Ostly — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/ayrton-ostley **Outlet:** Locked On 49ers (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/locked-on-49ers-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us **Original:** https://dts.podtrac.com/redirect.mp3/pdrl.fm/f9f75c/lockedon.simplecastaudio.com/0a6076b9-74e2-4b01-846e-5cc0d0b8031c/episodes/5470961f-cef2-49a4-b222-b4000342dab6/audio/128/default.mp3?aid=rss_feed&awCollectionId=0a6076b9-74e2-4b01-846e-5cc0d0b8031c&awEpisodeId=5470961f-cef2-49a4-b222-b4000342dab6&feed=P83yLSb_ 10 checkable claims — 9 mock draft picks and 1 team draft slot call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call. It names 17 players and teams, each linked to their own record. 9 of 10 have settled so far, averaging 54.4 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls. Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room. > For the in the first round, number 27 overall, the San Francisco forty niners take offensive tackle Caleb Lomu, Utah youths. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Peter Woods to be picked at number 28** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Peter Woods, Houston Texans - Verdict: scored 95.76 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Malachi Lawrence to be picked at number 62** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Malachi Lawrence, San Francisco 49ers - Verdict: scored 18.46 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **R Mason Thomas to be picked at number 58** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: R Mason Thomas, Denver Broncos - Verdict: scored 45.85 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Arvell Reese to be picked at number 3** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Arvell Reese, Arizona Cardinals - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Zion Young to be picked at number 30** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Zion Young, Los Angeles Chargers - Verdict: scored 52.21 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **T.J. Parker to be picked at number 29** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: T.J. Parker, Kansas City Chiefs - Verdict: scored 77.11 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Victor Payne to be picked at number 133** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Victor Payne, San Francisco 49ers - Verdict: scored 1.63 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Caleb Lomu to be picked at number 27** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Caleb Lomu, San Francisco 49ers - Verdict: scored 95.76 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Emmanuel Pregnon to be picked at number 37** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Emmanuel Pregnon, New York Giants - Verdict: scored 10.98 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Dallas Cowboys to pick at number 8** - Kind: Team Draft Slot Calls · About: Dallas Cowboys - Verdict: not settled yet ## Who this take is about - Peter Woods — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/peter-woods - Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/texans - Malachi Lawrence — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/malachi-lawrence - San Francisco 49ers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/49ers - R Mason Thomas — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/r-mason-thomas - Denver Broncos — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/broncos - Arvell Reese — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/arvell-reese - Arizona Cardinals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cardinals - Zion Young — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/zion-young - Los Angeles Chargers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chargers - T.J. Parker — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/t-j-parker - Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chiefs - Victor Payne — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/victor-payne - Caleb Lomu — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/caleb-lomu - Emmanuel Pregnon — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/emmanuel-pregnon - New York Giants — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/giants - Dallas Cowboys — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cowboys ## What others said about the same people - Zack Kelberman on Sean Fresch Jr.: Kelberman expects Sean Fresch Jr. to clear waivers and return to the Broncos' practice squad, sees Riley Moss back from concussion for the Week 11 game at Las Vegas, and projects newly acquired Daiyan Henley to begin as the third inside linebacker behind Alex Singleton and Justin Strnad before likely moving into a starting role. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/978f775c-5611-4514-ad2f-b35a6eac0402 (scored 0) - Zack Kelberman on Sean Fresch Jr.: Kelberman writes that Riley Moss may sit out the preseason finale against Minnesota but should be available for the Week 1 opener at Kansas City; they also suggest undrafted corners Sean Fresch Jr. and Brent Austin are being evaluated for practice squad spots. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3c8c47b8-6041-4282-8d21-d21741d8f11b (scored 0) - Chris Clark on Nikko Remigio: Clark expects the Chiefs to bring back exclusive-rights receiver Nico (Remigio) and long snapper James Winchester, to re-sign JuJu Smith-Schuster as a cheap veteran fifth receiver, and not to bring back Hollywood Brown, Josh Dobbs-type depth, Gardner Minshew, Janarius Robinson or Mike Caliendo; they also say the Chiefs will not use a franchise tag and believes Bryan Cook won't return. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/99521265-d5c0-4db1-b2a0-fe77908ea0b3 (scored 0) - Nate Gosney on Daiyan Henley: After the Broncos rescinded the trade, Gosney expects Daiyan Henley to remain with the Chargers for the rest of the 2026 season, but believes the awkward fallout has effectively killed any chance of them signing a new contract with Los Angeles after the season. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/60272861-4ad0-4749-b36a-dcdf09b9213f (scored 0) - Parker Hurley on Khalid Kareem: Hurley predicts the 49ers will release Khalil Kareem when Nate Hobbs is activated and cut Brandin Cooks when C.J. West returns, while arguing Sebastian Valdez won't be the one let go and no cornerback will be cut. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5a729417-69ee-493a-9bec-d905fd1a7082 (scored 0) - Sam Monson on New York Giants: Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f4cb7a1e-1380-4f08-b39b-1432b97db846 (scored 0) ## More mock draft picks The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Chris Simms on Malachi Corley: Simms named the Bears the NFL's best overall offense and best rushing offense, the Bengals the best passing offense, Seattle the best total defense, Minnesota the best pass defense and Tampa Bay the best run defense; they also called Tristan Wirfs the league's best offensive lineman, projected Miami's Malachi Toney as a top-15 pick, and predicted a 30-14 Jaguars win in Baltimore. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c0fd4647-2de8-4a5f-bac2-950fed303ee9 (scored 11.46) - Todd McShay on Keelon Russell: While breaking down LSU's offense, McShay called receiver Jackson Harris a top-50 NFL draft prospect, and later said LSU's Sam Levitt and Alabama's Keelan Russell are potential top-10 picks in a future draft. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/15d40546-2ab9-4ab8-b5bd-ed0ef7f26ae5 (scored 0) - Philip Hughes on Kyle Kennard: Evaluating edge rusher Kyle Kennard ahead of the draft, the account projected them as a Day 2 selection. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/605a686a-b5f1-4611-82b4-961abf8de93e (scored 33.86) - Blaine Grisak on Brian Thomas Jr.: Grisak argues the Rams should not trade a second-round pick for Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr., calling it too great a risk and too high a cost. In an embedded tweet of their own from the 2024 pre-draft period, they suggested the Rams could select Thomas at pick No. 19. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/627bcf5d-9f1d-4a34-a1b7-53b8f0aebc40 (scored 84.09) - Charlie Campbell on Xavier Williams: Campbell's draft stock report projects Indiana WR Charlie Becker as a top-10 pick in 2027, Mississippi State CB Kelley Jones as a first-rounder, Tennessee DT Xavier Gilliam as a top-15 pick, and Texas OT Trevor Goosby as a top-10 pick, while suggesting Arch Manning could still be a first-rounder if they declare. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2dd4bf46-e5eb-4dff-8500-95d9fdbd2986 (scored 0) - Walt on Fernando Mendoza: In a running series of coach/GM hiring and firing grades, Walt projects Fernando Mendoza as the No. 1 overall pick of the Raiders in the 2026 draft and has LSU's Garrett Nussmeier going No. 2 overall in their 2026 mock draft. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/29bb2d31-fbe3-40db-b378-be5ba5d990b0 (scored 100) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. 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