# Jordan Dajani: Dajani lays out projected final scores for every Week 5 game he covers, including Jacksonville handling Philadelphia, Pittsburgh bouncing back at home against Indianapolis, and Cleveland winning outright in New York.

**Claimed:** Oct 9, 2026
**Pundit:** Jordan Dajani — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jordan-dajani
**Outlet:** CBS Sports — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/cbs-sports
**How it reached us:** published in writing
**Original:** https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/nfl-week-5-picks-odds-steelers-bounce-back-browns-upset-jets/

15 checkable claims — 15 score predictions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 15 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

14 of 15 have settled so far, averaging 73 out of 100, against 46.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> It's wild to say, but the Browns are the better team right now.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Buffalo Bills 30 — Rams 27**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Buffalo Bills
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 43.52 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 12, 2026): Rams by 3.5, total 55.5 · this 30–27 calls a Bills win (by 3; the line gave the Bills 38%) and more points (57). Graded on the margin called, not on the spread. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Denver Broncos 27 — Chargers 20**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Denver Broncos
  - Verdict: scored 97.62 out of 100, against 36.48 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Broncos by 3.5, total 42.5 · this 27–20 calls a bigger Broncos win (by 7) and more points (47). Graded on the margin called, not on the spread. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Detroit Lions 30 — Cardinals 28**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Detroit Lions
  - Verdict: scored 50 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Lions by 5.5, total 55.5 · this 30–28 calls a closer game (Lions by 2) and more points (58). Graded on the margin called, not on the spread. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **San Francisco 49ers 24 — Seahawks 23**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: San Francisco 49ers
  - Verdict: scored 95.24 out of 100, against 43.62 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Seahawks by 3, total 46.5 · this 24–23 calls a 49ers win (by 1; the line gave the 49ers 40%) and more points (47). Graded on the margin called, not on the spread. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Atlanta Falcons 27 — Ravens 21**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Atlanta Falcons
  - Verdict: scored 47.62 out of 100, against 34.1 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Falcons by 3.5, total 44.5 · this 27–21 calls a bigger Falcons win (by 6) and more points (48). Graded on the margin called, not on the spread. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Pittsburgh Steelers 24 — Colts 17**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Pittsburgh Steelers
  - Verdict: scored 88.1 out of 100, against 73.52 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Steelers by 3, total 41.5 · this 24–17 calls a bigger Steelers win (by 7) and fewer points (41). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Cincinnati Bengals 24 — Dolphins 16**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Cincinnati Bengals
  - Verdict: scored 97.62 out of 100, against 35.42 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Bengals by 7, total 44.5 · this 24–16 calls a bigger Bengals win (by 8) and fewer points (40). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Houston Texans 21 — Titans 16**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Houston Texans
  - Verdict: scored 57.14 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Texans by 6.5, total 37.5 · this 21–16 calls a closer game (Texans by 5) and fewer points (37). Graded on the margin called, not on the spread. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Cleveland Browns 17 — Jets 13**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Cleveland Browns
  - Verdict: scored 47.62 out of 100, against 90.19 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Jets by 2.5, total 38.5 · this 17–13 calls a Browns win (by 4; the line gave the Browns 44%) and fewer points (30). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **New England Patriots 24 — Raiders 21**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 50 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Patriots by 3.5, total 45.5 · this 24–21 calls a closer game (Patriots by 3) and fewer points (45). Graded on the margin called, not on the spread. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Washington Commanders 20 — Giants 17**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Washington Commanders
  - Verdict: scored 67.86 out of 100, against 72.91 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Commanders by 3.5, total 41.5 · this 20–17 calls a closer game (Commanders by 3) and fewer points (37). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Green Bay Packers 21 — Bears 20**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 50 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Bears by 1.5, total 46.5 · this 21–20 calls a Packers win (by 1; the line gave the Packers 47%) and fewer points (41). Graded on the margin called, not on the spread. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Minnesota Vikings 20 — Saints 14**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Minnesota Vikings
  - Verdict: scored 90.48 out of 100, against 28.28 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Vikings by 2.5, total 41.5 · this 20–14 calls a bigger Vikings win (by 6) and fewer points (34). Graded on the margin called, not on the spread. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Jacksonville Jaguars 27 — Eagles 18**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Jacksonville Jaguars
  - Verdict: scored 83.33 out of 100, against 96.54 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Jaguars by 7.5, total 41.5 · this 27–18 calls a bigger Jaguars win (by 9) and more points (45). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Dallas Cowboys 30 — Buccaneers 20**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Dallas Cowboys
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bills
- Denver Broncos — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/broncos
- Detroit Lions — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/lions
- San Francisco 49ers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/49ers
- Atlanta Falcons — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/falcons
- Pittsburgh Steelers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/steelers
- Cincinnati Bengals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bengals
- Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/texans
- Cleveland Browns — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/browns
- New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/patriots
- Washington Commanders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/commanders
- Green Bay Packers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/packers
- Minnesota Vikings — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/vikings
- Jacksonville Jaguars — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jaguars
- Dallas Cowboys — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cowboys

## What others said about the same people

- Jack Markowski on Brandon Smith: Markowski argues the Steelers should move on from Tyreek Hill given his injury and possible NFL discipline, and names promoting practice-squad receiver Brandon Smith to the 53-man roster as the most obvious way Pittsburgh addresses its receiver need. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/69805779-75a2-4bb5-be53-feb6ac642f0f (scored 0)
- Adam Carlson on Jordan Addison: Carlson names three Vikings he expects could be traded before the end of September: quarterback J.J. McCarthy, wide receiver Jordan Addison and linebacker Ivan Pace. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/65e3f9cf-c441-42a2-baaf-7cd3dbebafad (scored 0)
- Brian Peacock on Jordan Addison: Peacock delivered a seven-round 49ers mock draft plus projected offseason moves: signing tight end Kyle Pitts, trading Mac Jones to Minnesota and acquiring Jordan Addison, and drafting speed at receiver, edge, safety, center, corner, running back and tackle, with 40-time projections for several prospects. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d1325f8f-c996-4488-b063-fc4dfae1da59 (scored 0)
- John Green on Buffalo Bills: Green argues the Bills will beat the Rams on Monday Night Football at SoFi Stadium, citing Josh Allen's career success against Los Angeles, James Cook III's rushing against a middling Rams run defense, and Buffalo's edge in special teams field position. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b9a4d252-511b-48ff-b2cf-7cde00fb0894 (scored 100)
- Gennaro Filice on Buffalo Bills: Filice picked every Week 5 game with scores, backing Cincinnati in a closer-than-expected game at Miami, the Patriots in a low-scoring home win, Houston to finally get off the schneid in Tennessee, and upsets by the Saints, Jets, Packers and Bills. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7cc33db3-88e5-4811-8121-94bed7928d3a (scored 95.24)
- Bobby Kownack on Buffalo Bills: Kownack picked all Week 5 games with scores, including the Browns winning at the Jets to reach 4-1, the Broncos handling the Chargers, and the Giants upsetting Washington. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/57789de7-9bc6-4cce-aacc-c088bd5aa6fe (scored 90.48)

## More score predictions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Jared Dubin on Los Angeles Rams: Dubin picks the Rams to beat the Bills in the Week 5 Monday night game, projecting a 28-24 final score as Los Angeles' Nacua-Adams-Williams trio proves too much for Buffalo's defense. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4d5c92bc-d4b9-48e9-bb9f-695f82fee90b (scored 47.62)
- Ty Schmit on Los Angeles Rams: Predicted a 38-34 Rams win over the Bills on Monday night, and said Micah Parsons will be back on the field for the Packers within the next week or two. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/95627559-9ab1-4c1a-bb21-bb46709b6b6f (scored 47.62)
- Tyler Sullivan on Los Angeles Rams: Sullivan picked the Rams to beat the Bills 28-24 on Monday night. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/71e3f67c-e086-4efb-ac04-e77eeafc855b (scored 47.62)
- Pete Prisco on Los Angeles Rams: Prisco picked the Rams to edge the Bills 34-33 on Monday night. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/260feea4-f6df-4ec7-bafc-1d4803807bc6 (scored 45.24)
- John Breech on Los Angeles Rams: Breech picked the Rams to beat the Bills 38-31 on Monday night, and after San Francisco's road win in Seattle suggested the NFC West would run through the 49ers. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dbfca0ed-5831-4722-a2f4-263fd14485ba (scored 40.48)
- Jared Dubin on Los Angeles Rams: Dubin picked the Rams to beat the Bills 28-24 on Monday night. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ee897e80-0be9-4502-a092-bbe242df8eb4 (scored 47.62)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
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