# Pat Gustavson: Gustafson picks the Patriots, Bills, Seahawks and Bears in the divisional round with a Seahawks-Patriots Super Bowl, predicts Mike Tomlin and Matt LaFleur stay, Aaron Rodgers returns to Pittsburgh, and lays out their own coaching landing spots. **Claimed:** Jan 13, 2026 **Pundit:** Pat Gustavson — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/pat-gustavson **Outlet:** Bran Coverage with BenchwarmerBran (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/bran-coverage-with-benchwarmerbran-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us **Original:** https://www.buzzsprout.com/2182919/episodes/18502088-wildcard-reactions-and-head-coach-landing-spot-predictions-podcast-for-1-13.mp3 12 checkable claims — 4 game outcome picks, 4 positional finishes, 2 conference champions, 1 score prediction and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call. It names 12 players and teams, each linked to their own record. 11 of 12 have settled so far, averaging 54.9 out of 100, against 51.6 for a naive guess at the same calls. > But I'll probably say Seattle, New England. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Seattle Seahawks to reach the Super Bowl** - Kind: Conference Champions · About: Seattle Seahawks - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **New England Patriots to reach the Super Bowl** - Kind: Conference Champions · About: New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Seattle Seahawks to beat 49ers** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Seattle Seahawks - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Jan 17, 2026): Seahawks by 6.5 · favorite pick, Seahawks 72%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Bijan Robinson to finish top 1 at his position, by rushing yards** - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Bijan Robinson, Atlanta Falcons - Verdict: scored 75 out of 100, against 91.67 for a naive guess - **Josh Allen to finish top 1 at his position, by passing yards** - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills - Verdict: scored 16.67 out of 100, against 75 for a naive guess - **Brock Bowers to finish top 1 at his position, by receiving yards** - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Brock Bowers, Las Vegas Raiders - Verdict: scored 25 out of 100, against 25 for a naive guess - **Drake London to finish top 10 at his position, by receiving yards** - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Drake London, Atlanta Falcons - Verdict: scored 8.33 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **New England Patriots 16 — Texans 13** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 78.57 out of 100, against 76.26 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Jan 18, 2026): Patriots by 3, total 40.5 · this 16–13 calls the line’s margin (Patriots by 3) and fewer points (29). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **New England Patriots to beat Texans** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Jan 18, 2026): Patriots by 3 · favorite pick, Patriots 62%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Buffalo Bills to beat Broncos** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Buffalo Bills - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Jan 17, 2026): Broncos by 1.5 · a toss-up, Bills 48%, Broncos 52%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Chicago Bears to beat Rams** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Chicago Bears - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Jan 18, 2026): Rams by 3.5 · underdog pick, Bears about 1 in 3 (36%). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Aaron Rodgers to move to Pittsburgh Steelers** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Aaron Rodgers, Pittsburgh Steelers - Verdict: not settled yet ## Who this take is about - Seattle Seahawks — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/seahawks - New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/patriots - Bijan Robinson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/bijan-robinson - Atlanta Falcons — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/falcons - Josh Allen — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/josh-allen - Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bills - Brock Bowers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/brock-bowers - Las Vegas Raiders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/raiders - Drake London — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/drake-london - Chicago Bears — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bears - Aaron Rodgers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/aaron-rodgers - Pittsburgh Steelers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/steelers ## What others said about the same people - Alex Curry on Kirk Cousins: Curry expects Fernando Mendoza to be taken No. 1 overall by the Raiders and to be thrown into the starting lineup immediately, and they say Kirk Cousins will be released by Atlanta within weeks. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2c6097f9-30ad-42dc-863f-e507225b7edc (scored 100) - Alex Curry on Kirk Cousins: Curry expects Fernando Mendoza to be the No. 1 overall pick and land with the Raiders, and they say Kirk Cousins will be released by Atlanta. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1c269ea1-7c35-4039-827d-ec1130aa0e04 (scored 100) - JP Acosta on Kirk Cousins: Acosta expects John Harbaugh's Giants to jump to roughly seven wins in year one, and forecast several offseason moves: Aaron Rodgers returning to Pittsburgh, Daniel Jones returning to the Colts, Kirk Cousins being released by Atlanta, and Brandon Aiyuk leaving San Francisco. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/17ab1ec5-a2f1-41c6-a6df-a0e6d949351b (scored 100) - Gregg Rosenthal on Kirk Cousins: Rosenthal gave their award ballot: Drake May atop their MVP list (though they expect Matthew Stafford to actually win), Myles Garrett for Defensive Player of the Year, Bijan Robinson for Offensive Player of the Year, Tetairoa McMillan for Offensive Rookie of the Year, Carson Schwesinger for Defensive Rookie of the Year, Mike Macdonald for Coach of the Year and Broncos O-line coach Zach Strief for Assistant Coach of the Year. They also expect Kirk Cousins to be cut by Atlanta. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d3a0da31-6e2f-4298-b5a5-b887333d3fd6 (scored 100) - John Middlekauff on Caleb Williams: Middlekauff expects either Josh Allen or Lamar Jackson to win this year's MVP, calling them the two best players in the league. They are pessimistic on the Bears, forecasting six or seven wins and saying they'd bet Caleb Williams doesn't work out as a franchise quarterback. They also see Oklahoma's John Mattier as a first-round pick who'll be in the Heisman mix. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/deaaf3f6-e53e-4080-a0ca-d5f872b54c6a (scored 0) - Pete Prisco on Buffalo Bills: Prisco picked the Bills to win 21-14 at Minnesota. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/baf85732-a389-4d56-8efe-5ce1e77fb8ae (scored 76.19) ## More game outcome picks The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Sam Monson on New York Giants: Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f4cb7a1e-1380-4f08-b39b-1432b97db846 (scored 0) - Eva Geitheim on Washington Commanders: Geitheim picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Vikings, Jaguars, Colts, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c011abef-0b18-41ad-acad-6a67dfbd41fd (scored 100) - Conor Orr on New York Giants: Orr picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Chargers in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ba669379-043c-448a-a167-2f2e3695a52e (scored 0) - Albert Breer on New York Giants: Breer picked all 14 Week 10 games straight up, favoring the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fdc16abc-9ae2-4bf4-a327-8e9d9ae283b6 (scored 0) - Mitch Goldich on New York Giants: Goldich picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/706c628f-bb25-4892-b33e-84c81bfb6e4a (scored 0) - Matt Verderame on New York Giants: Verderame picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dfeb0994-1abf-414f-b153-d01b6e4e5365 (scored 0) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. 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