# Pat Gustavson: Gustafson picks the Patriots, Bills, Seahawks and Bears in the divisional round with a Seahawks-Patriots Super Bowl, predicts Mike Tomlin and Matt LaFleur stay, Aaron Rodgers returns to Pittsburgh, and lays out his own coaching landing spots.

**Claimed:** Jan 13, 2026
**Pundit:** Pat Gustavson — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/pat-gustavson
**Outlet:** Bran Coverage with BenchwarmerBran (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/bran-coverage-with-benchwarmerbran-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us
**Original:** https://www.buzzsprout.com/2182919/episodes/18502088-wildcard-reactions-and-head-coach-landing-spot-predictions-podcast-for-1-13.mp3

12 checkable claims — 4 game outcome picks, 4 positional finishes, 2 conference champions, 1 score prediction and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 12 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

11 of 12 have settled so far, averaging 54.9 out of 100, against 51.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> But I'll probably say Seattle, New England.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Seattle Seahawks to reach the Super Bowl**
  - Kind: Conference Champions · About: Seattle Seahawks
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **New England Patriots to reach the Super Bowl**
  - Kind: Conference Champions · About: New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Seattle Seahawks to beat 49ers**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Seattle Seahawks
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Bijan Robinson to finish top 1 at his position, by rushing yards**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Bijan Robinson, Atlanta Falcons
  - Verdict: scored 75 out of 100, against 91.67 for a naive guess
- **Josh Allen to finish top 1 at his position, by passing yards**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills
  - Verdict: scored 16.67 out of 100, against 75 for a naive guess
- **Brock Bowers to finish top 1 at his position, by receiving yards**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Brock Bowers, Las Vegas Raiders
  - Verdict: scored 25 out of 100, against 25 for a naive guess
- **Drake London to finish top 10 at his position, by receiving yards**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Drake London, Atlanta Falcons
  - Verdict: scored 8.33 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **New England Patriots 16 — Texans 13**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 78.57 out of 100, against 76.26 for a naive guess
- **New England Patriots to beat Texans**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Buffalo Bills to beat Broncos**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Buffalo Bills
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Chicago Bears to beat Rams**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Chicago Bears
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Aaron Rodgers to move to Pittsburgh Steelers**
  - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Aaron Rodgers, Pittsburgh Steelers
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Seattle Seahawks — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/seahawks
- New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/patriots
- Bijan Robinson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/bijan-robinson
- Atlanta Falcons — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/falcons
- Josh Allen — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/josh-allen
- Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bills
- Brock Bowers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/brock-bowers
- Las Vegas Raiders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/raiders
- Drake London — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/drake-london
- Chicago Bears — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bears
- Aaron Rodgers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/aaron-rodgers
- Pittsburgh Steelers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/steelers

## What others said about the same people

- Chris Simms on Seattle Seahawks: Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/662b7ba3-1bf6-4ad0-9f93-9f2ab83143fd (scored 30.95)
- Connor Rogers on Seattle Seahawks: Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/83d1e88b-95a0-45ba-83d3-f86297170c6c (scored 0)
- Chris Long on Buffalo Bills: Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3df9ea25-e57f-4fd7-b20c-c910a1c3633a (scored 100)
- Steven Ruiz on Las Vegas Raiders: Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a30ff469-4972-4c48-855b-ba984e4de9d0 (scored 100)
- Nate Tice on Las Vegas Raiders: Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b8378e16-ea5c-4107-a883-28aaf0e71134 (scored 100)
- Sam Monson on Seattle Seahawks: Monson picked the Chargers to beat the Bills outright (jokingly crediting Buffalo's gray 'Nickel City' jerseys), took the Vikings to win outright in Tampa, and said Seattle would destroy Washington. He also reiterated his Super Bowl pick of Denver over the Rams, called the Dolphins destined for the No. 1 overall pick, and said the Saints are a worst-to-first candidate in the NFC South. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0b810ffd-fd93-4ea2-a208-b1353dea5fb0 (scored 0)

## More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Connor Rogers on New York Giants: Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/83d1e88b-95a0-45ba-83d3-f86297170c6c (scored 100)
- Chris Long on Cincinnati Bengals: Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3df9ea25-e57f-4fd7-b20c-c910a1c3633a (scored 0)
- Steven Ruiz on Houston Texans: Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a30ff469-4972-4c48-855b-ba984e4de9d0 (scored 0)
- Nate Tice on Baltimore Ravens: Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b8378e16-ea5c-4107-a883-28aaf0e71134 (scored 100)
- Sam Monson on Minnesota Vikings: Monson picked the Chargers to beat the Bills outright (jokingly crediting Buffalo's gray 'Nickel City' jerseys), took the Vikings to win outright in Tampa, and said Seattle would destroy Washington. He also reiterated his Super Bowl pick of Denver over the Rams, called the Dolphins destined for the No. 1 overall pick, and said the Saints are a worst-to-first candidate in the NFC South. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0b810ffd-fd93-4ea2-a208-b1353dea5fb0 (scored 100)
- Matt Harmon on Los Angeles Rams: Harmon picked the Bengals to beat the Texans in Week 2, expecting Nico Collins to miss the game with a hamstring injury, and also predicted the Titans would be shut out by the Eagles. He took the Rams over the Giants, the Bears over the Vikings, and the Jaguars at Denver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/21a71025-ab65-4716-ac2c-e77ad5ce3348 (scored 100)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

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