# Jared Dubin: Dubin picked the Bears to win 31-27 over the Patriots on Thursday night and took the Lions to beat the Packers 34-28 in a Week 7 shootout.

**Claimed:** Oct 22, 2026
**Pundit:** Jared Dubin — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jared-dubin
**Outlet:** CBS Sports — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/cbs-sports
**How it reached us:** published in writing
**Original:** https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/pick-six-patriots-bears-predictions-plus-nfl-week-7-picks-upsets/

2 checkable claims — 2 score predictions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 94.1 out of 100, against 89.2 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> Jared Dubin — Lions (-3) 34-28 over Packers.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Detroit Lions 34 — Packers 28**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Detroit Lions
  - Verdict: scored 92.86 out of 100, against 92.03 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 25, 2026): Lions by 3.5, total 55.5 · this 34–28 calls a bigger Lions win (by 6) and more points (62). Graded on the margin called, not on the spread. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Chicago Bears 31 — Patriots 27**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Chicago Bears
  - Verdict: scored 95.24 out of 100, against 86.37 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 22, 2026): Bears by 3, total 50.5 · this 31–27 calls a bigger Bears win (by 4) and more points (58). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.

## Who this take is about

- Detroit Lions — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/lions
- Chicago Bears — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bears

## What others said about the same people

- John Middlekauff on Caleb Williams: Middlekauff expects either Josh Allen or Lamar Jackson to win this year's MVP, calling them the two best players in the league. He is pessimistic on the Bears, forecasting six or seven wins and saying he'd bet Caleb Williams doesn't work out as a franchise quarterback. He also sees Oklahoma's John Mattier as a first-round pick who'll be in the Heisman mix. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/deaaf3f6-e53e-4080-a0ca-d5f872b54c6a (scored 0)
- Pete Prisco on Chicago Bears: Prisco gives score predictions for every Week 9 NFL game, picking the Bengals to rout the Falcons in Madrid, the Cowboys to rebound at Indianapolis, and the Jaguars to win in Baltimore without Lamar Jackson. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dc43909b-bc7f-47aa-b208-5cf7c95844bc (scored 100)
- Bryan DeArdo on Chicago Bears: DeArdo picks the Bears to beat the Buccaneers on Sunday night in a defensive game, predicting a 20-16 final score. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7b882443-b481-48fb-b19b-e7f989d85e46 (scored 97.62)
- Christian Booher on Anthony Lucas: Booher previews the Lions' Week 9 trip to Miami, predicting Derrick Barnes takes over as the green-dot linebacker in Jack Campbell's absence, Juice Scruggs starts at center, and boldly forecasting Detroit's first defensive touchdown of the season on an Aidan Hutchinson strip-sack recovered and returned by Barnes. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/228a7c0e-608b-4043-a8fa-eb3f8b2c4ce8 (scored 0)
- Danny Parkins on Chicago Bears: Parkins named the seven AFC teams he believes are already set as the playoff field, expects Chicago, Buffalo and Kansas City to win this week, took Green Bay over New England and Atlanta over Cincinnati outright, and kept Bills–Bears as his Super Bowl matchup with the Giants still winning the NFC East. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/272d1f8a-06f7-4b8b-8480-94d370ae5e6f (scored 100)
- Chris Simms on Chicago Bears: Simms gave a predicted final score for every Week 9 game, picking the Bengals, Chiefs, Broncos, Lions, Giants, Rams, Cowboys, Saints, 49ers, Patriots, Seahawks, Texans, Bears and Bills, and also said he wouldn't be shocked to see Jacksonville reach the AFC Championship Game. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/17eb747a-90b1-472f-bb6d-e71c0c69133a (scored 97.62)

## More score predictions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Jeremy Brener on Seattle Seahawks: Brener picked the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in Week 9 by a multi-score margin, giving a final score of 27-13, and expressed confidence Seattle would be fine with Drew Lock starting at quarterback. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7eb2d245-63d0-4be0-80ba-3f60197e2b16 (scored 100)
- Randy Gurzi on Seattle Seahawks: Gurzi expects Seattle to win comfortably again with Drew Lock starting, predicting a 27-10 Seahawks victory. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2aa76291-5bd8-4cc0-a321-36bded67c408 (scored 92.86)
- Pete Prisco on Houston Texans: Prisco gives score predictions for every Week 9 NFL game, picking the Bengals to rout the Falcons in Madrid, the Cowboys to rebound at Indianapolis, and the Jaguars to win in Baltimore without Lamar Jackson. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dc43909b-bc7f-47aa-b208-5cf7c95844bc (scored 54.76)
- Randy Gurzi on Seattle Seahawks: Predicts Seattle runs away with the game, 27-10 over Arizona. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c5d07f67-8755-451d-a76f-ac40ec60aeec (scored 92.86)
- Russell Baxter on Seattle Seahawks: Predicts the Seahawks beat the Cardinals 26-21 in Week 9, with Seattle's pass rush making Gardner Minshew uncomfortable. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4c6d407f-7cff-470d-8ce9-616b3d353715 (scored 78.57)
- Michael Hanich on Seattle Seahawks: Predicts a 24-18 Seahawks victory, with Drew Lock steadying the offense and the running game improving. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4fa5b2f3-6373-4cdc-a055-b7f553c60d74 (scored 80.95)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

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