# Nate Tice: Tice picked the Packers, Texans, Bears, Ravens and Bills in Week 6 games, expected Caleb Williams and Michael Penix to be back on the field, and said they now have the Patriots winning the AFC East. **Claimed:** Oct 15, 2026 **Pundit:** Nate Tice — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/nate-tice **Outlet:** Football 301 with Nate Tice (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/football-301-with-nate-tice-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us **Original:** https://injector.simplecastaudio.com/0781c6b2-a56c-4448-9b62-fe6d25b9523b/episodes/7185e8b6-d6ca-4302-8e58-cec53020bf25/audio/128/default.mp3?aid=rss_feed&awCollectionId=0781c6b2-a56c-4448-9b62-fe6d25b9523b&awEpisodeId=7185e8b6-d6ca-4302-8e58-cec53020bf25&feed=Nvy5cWFT 7 checkable claims — 4 game outcome picks, 2 availability calls and 1 division winner — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call. It names 8 players and teams, each linked to their own record. 4 of 7 have settled so far, averaging 75 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls. > I will go Packers here. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Green Bay Packers to beat Cowboys** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Green Bay Packers - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 18, 2026): Cowboys by 1.5 · a toss-up, Cowboys 51%, Packers 49%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Baltimore Ravens to beat Browns** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Baltimore Ravens - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 18, 2026): Ravens by 3 · favorite pick, Ravens 60%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Chicago Bears to beat Falcons** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Chicago Bears - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 18, 2026): Bears by 1.5 · a toss-up, Bears 52%, Falcons 48%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Houston Texans to beat Jaguars** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Houston Texans - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 18, 2026): Jaguars by 2.5 · underdog pick, Texans 44%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **New England Patriots to win the division** - Kind: Division Winners · About: New England Patriots - Verdict: not settled yet - “Falcons offense, I think Michael Penick is playing. I I believe he practiced with the rib injury. (Week 6)” - Kind: Availability Calls · About: Michael Penix Jr., Atlanta Falcons - Verdict: not settled yet - “now Cale Williams trending towards playing. I think he is playing. (Week 6 vs Falcons)” - Kind: Availability Calls · About: Caleb Williams, Chicago Bears - Verdict: not settled yet ## Who this take is about - Green Bay Packers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/packers - Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/ravens - Chicago Bears — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bears - Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/texans - New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/patriots - Michael Penix Jr. — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/michael-penix-jr - Atlanta Falcons — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/falcons - Caleb Williams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/caleb-williams ## What others said about the same people - Alex Curry on Kirk Cousins: Curry expects Fernando Mendoza to be taken No. 1 overall by the Raiders and to be thrown into the starting lineup immediately, and they say Kirk Cousins will be released by Atlanta within weeks. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2c6097f9-30ad-42dc-863f-e507225b7edc (scored 100) - Alex Curry on Kirk Cousins: Curry expects Fernando Mendoza to be the No. 1 overall pick and land with the Raiders, and they say Kirk Cousins will be released by Atlanta. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1c269ea1-7c35-4039-827d-ec1130aa0e04 (scored 100) - JP Acosta on Kirk Cousins: Acosta expects John Harbaugh's Giants to jump to roughly seven wins in year one, and forecast several offseason moves: Aaron Rodgers returning to Pittsburgh, Daniel Jones returning to the Colts, Kirk Cousins being released by Atlanta, and Brandon Aiyuk leaving San Francisco. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/17ab1ec5-a2f1-41c6-a6df-a0e6d949351b (scored 100) - Gregg Rosenthal on Kirk Cousins: Rosenthal gave their award ballot: Drake May atop their MVP list (though they expect Matthew Stafford to actually win), Myles Garrett for Defensive Player of the Year, Bijan Robinson for Offensive Player of the Year, Tetairoa McMillan for Offensive Rookie of the Year, Carson Schwesinger for Defensive Rookie of the Year, Mike Macdonald for Coach of the Year and Broncos O-line coach Zach Strief for Assistant Coach of the Year. They also expect Kirk Cousins to be cut by Atlanta. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d3a0da31-6e2f-4298-b5a5-b887333d3fd6 (scored 100) - John Middlekauff on Caleb Williams: Middlekauff expects either Josh Allen or Lamar Jackson to win this year's MVP, calling them the two best players in the league. They are pessimistic on the Bears, forecasting six or seven wins and saying they'd bet Caleb Williams doesn't work out as a franchise quarterback. They also see Oklahoma's John Mattier as a first-round pick who'll be in the Heisman mix. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/deaaf3f6-e53e-4080-a0ca-d5f872b54c6a (scored 0) - Bobby Skinner on Stefon Diggs: Skinner predicted Daniel Jones signs with and wins the starting job in Indianapolis, Milton Williams to New England, Lavonte David back to Tampa, Aaron Rodgers and Davante Adams to the Giants, DJ Reid to Arizona, Hassan Reddick to Washington and Justin Fields staying in Pittsburgh, plus alternates they had listed. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/6bc51663-60f7-4897-b5dc-40e284f869a2 (scored 0) ## More game outcome picks The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Sam Monson on New York Giants: Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f4cb7a1e-1380-4f08-b39b-1432b97db846 (scored 0) - Eva Geitheim on Washington Commanders: Geitheim picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Vikings, Jaguars, Colts, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c011abef-0b18-41ad-acad-6a67dfbd41fd (scored 100) - Conor Orr on New York Giants: Orr picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Chargers in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ba669379-043c-448a-a167-2f2e3695a52e (scored 0) - Albert Breer on New York Giants: Breer picked all 14 Week 10 games straight up, favoring the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fdc16abc-9ae2-4bf4-a327-8e9d9ae283b6 (scored 0) - Mitch Goldich on New York Giants: Goldich picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/706c628f-bb25-4892-b33e-84c81bfb6e4a (scored 0) - Matt Verderame on New York Giants: Verderame picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dfeb0994-1abf-414f-b153-d01b6e4e5365 (scored 0) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=nate-tice